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  • 标题:Household savings, financing and economic growth in South Africa
  • 作者:Itumeleng Pleasure Mongale ; Tumelo Mashamaite ; Nyiko Khoza
  • 期刊名称:Business and Economic Horizons
  • 印刷版ISSN:1804-1205
  • 电子版ISSN:1804-5006
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:14
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:105-116
  • DOI:10.15208/beh.2018.9
  • 出版社:Prague Development Center
  • 摘要:The South African economy is characterised by low levels of household savings which play a very crucial role in stimulating sustained economic growth. At the same time consumers borrow in order to consume. The paper intends to investigate the impact of household savings and financing on economic growth in South Africa. The study is envisaged to assist monetary authorities and policy makers to mitigate this problem. An annual time series data covering the period from 1980 to 2014 is analysed by means of the Vector Error Correction Model approach. The Johansen Cointegration test results confirmed the existence of a long run relationship amongst variables under investigations. Moreover, the results suggest that financing, namely; credit extensions and leasing finance have positive relationships with the country’s economic growth while household savings indicate a negative relationship with growth. That being the case, the recommendation is that since it has been established by other studies that a rapid increase in credit is not commonly perceived to be one of the leading indicators of financial instability, policymakers are advised to consider imposing stringent credit control measures so that the demand for financing can be kept under control.
  • 关键词:Household savings; credit extensions; leasing finance; VECM; South Africa.
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