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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Linear and Nonlinear Dynamics of the Turkish Trade Balance
  • 作者:Huseyin Karamelikli
  • 期刊名称:International Journal of Economics and Finance
  • 印刷版ISSN:1916-971X
  • 电子版ISSN:1916-9728
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:8
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:70
  • DOI:10.5539/ijef.v8n2p70
  • 出版社:Canadian Center of Science and Education
  • 摘要:

    This study empirically analyses bilateral trade of Turkey with her main trade partners using monthly time series data over the period of 2000 to 2015. J-curve theory and short-run dynamics of bilateral trade is tested by linear ARDL and Non-linear ARDL approaches. The empirical results indicate that there is no J-curve effect during short-run for United States and for France; it symmetrically exists to Germany and asymmetrically to United Kingdom. Also long-run relationship between exchange rate and trade balance has mixed results. Asymmetric long-run relationship between exchange rate and trade balance for United States exists where it is symmetrically most appropriate for Germany. In the other hand this study failed to verify any long-run relationship between exchange rate and trade balance for France and for United Kingdom.

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