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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Empirical analysis of daily cash flow time-series and its implications for forecasting
  • 作者:Francisco Salas-Molina ; Juan A. Rodríguez-Aguilar ; Joan Serrà
  • 期刊名称:SORT-Statistics and Operations Research Transactions
  • 印刷版ISSN:2013-8830
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:1
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:73-98
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:SORT- Statistics and Operations Research Transactions
  • 摘要:Usual assumptions on the statistical properties of daily net cash flows include normality, absence of correlation and stationarity. We provide a comprehensive study based on a real-world cash flow data set showing that: (i) the usual assumption of normality, absence of correlation and stationarity hardly appear; (ii) non-linearity is often relevant for forecasting; and (iii) typical data transformations have little impact on linearity and normality. This evidence may lead to consider a more data-driven approach such as time-series forecasting in an attempt to provide cash managers with expert systems in cash management.
  • 其他摘要:Usual assumptions on the statistical properties of daily net cash flows include normality, absence of correlation and stationarity. We provide a comprehensive study based on a real-world cash flow data set showing that: (i) the usual assumption of normality, absence of correlation and stationarity hardly appear; (ii) non-linearity is often relevant for forecasting; and (iii) typical data transformations have little impact on linearity and normality. This evidence may lead to consider a more data-driven approach such as time-series forecasting in an attempt to provide cash managers with expert systems in cash management.
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