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  • 标题:Projections of the future disappearance of the Quelccaya Ice Cap in the Central Andes
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Christian Yarleque ; Mathias Vuille ; Douglas R. Hardy
  • 期刊名称:Scientific Reports
  • 电子版ISSN:2045-2322
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:8
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:15564
  • DOI:10.1038/s41598-018-33698-z
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Springer Nature
  • 摘要:century, resulting in a pronounced increase in freezing level height (FLH). The impact of this warming on the QIC was quantified using equilibrium-line altitude (ELA) projections. The change in the ELA was quantified based on an empirical ELA-FLH relationship, and calibrated with observations of the highest annual snowline altitude (SLA) derived from LANDSAT data. Results show that from the mid-2050s onwards, the ELA will be located above the QIC summit in the RCP8.5 scenario. At that time, surface mass balance at QIC and most tropical glaciers at similar elevations will become increasingly negative, leading to their eventual complete disappearance. Our analysis further corroborates that elevation-dependent warming (EDW) contributes significantly to the enhanced warming over the QIC, and that EDW at Quelccaya depends on the rate of anthropogenic forcing.
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