期刊名称:International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy
电子版ISSN:2146-4553
出版年度:2018
卷号:9
期号:1
页码:123-129
语种:English
出版社:EconJournals
其他摘要:This paper proposes the effect of oil price shocks on the Russian economic indicators using time series for the period 1991-2016 year to cover all of oil price shocks. The vector autoregressive and the Dickey-Fuller test were utilized to investigate the long-run and the short-run relationships between variables. From the results shows that one of the most important external impact factor is the world price of oil. The research suggests a positive and significant long-term relationship between oil prices and Russian GDP dynamics. Keywords: oil price shocks, GDP growth, forecasting, oil impact. JEL Classification s : C51, C58, F31, G12, G15 DOI: https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.6807
其他关键词:oil price shocks; GDP growth; forecasting; oil impact.