摘要:Given the fact that every maritime venture is exposed to continuous risks, it is necessary
to create a hierarchic structure of its predictors and to manage them efficiently. In view
of that, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) suggests the possibility of risk
management through the Formal Safety Assessment (FSA). The key element in the
implementation of this method is to determine the optimum point of investment in risk
reduction with the purpose of achieving the balance between the costs of protective
measures and the profit. Although it may be inappropriate to discuss the price of a
human life, it is nevertheless possible to calculate it by formal mathematical procedures
through the Cost of Averting a Fatality (CAF) and the Implied Cost of Averting a Fatality
(ICAF). This methodology has allowed to produce – and to present in this paper – the
above values for the Republic of Croatia for the very first time. In addition, by using the
ϰ2 test, it has been possible to examine the relations between the observed actions
(foundering, collision / impact, flooding, fire, disabled and adrift, man overboard) and
the period (years 2006-2017). The results clearly show a statistically relevant dependence
(ϰ2(88)=143,17; p<0,001) among the observed categories, which probably results from
various implementation dynamics of the risk reduction measures that are performed in
Croatia on a yearly basis. The results obtained by this research can provide important
additional guidelines for the optimisation of the risk management model.
关键词:risk management; Formal Safety Assessment; Cost of Averting a Fatality