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  • 标题:Annual Update of the U.S. International Transactions Accounts.
  • 作者:Berman, Barbara ; Xin, Erin Yiran ; Weinberg, Douglas B.
  • 期刊名称:Survey of Current Business
  • 印刷版ISSN:0039-6222
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 期号:July
  • 出版社:U.S. Government Printing Office
  • 摘要:In June 2018, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released annual updates of the U.S. international transactions accounts (ITAs) and the U.S. international investment position (IIP) accounts. (1) With this annual update of the ITAs, quarterly and annual statistics on U.S. international transactions were revised to incorporate newly available and revised source data, special adjustments to address a problem with source data, improved estimation methods, and a new approach to seasonal and trading day adjustments.

    Revisions due to newly available and revised source data and special adjustments include the following:

    * Goods exports and imports for 2015-2017 were revised to incorporate revised source data from the U.S. Census Bureau.

    * Services exports and imports for 2015-2017 were revised to incorporate newly available and revised source data, mainly from BEA's quarterly surveys of international trade in services.

    * Primary income receipts and payments for 2014-2017 were revised to incorporate newly available and revised source data mainly from BEA's direct investment surveys, including BEA's 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad, and from the U.S. Department of the Treasury's Treasury International Capital (TIC) surveys.

    * Financial asset and liability transactions for direct investment, portfolio investment, other investment, and financial derivatives for 2014-2017 were revised to incorporate newly available and revised source data mainly from BEA's direct investment surveys, including the 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad, and from the TIC surveys.

Annual Update of the U.S. International Transactions Accounts.


Berman, Barbara ; Xin, Erin Yiran ; Weinberg, Douglas B. 等


Annual Update of the U.S. International Transactions Accounts.

In June 2018, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released annual updates of the U.S. international transactions accounts (ITAs) and the U.S. international investment position (IIP) accounts. (1) With this annual update of the ITAs, quarterly and annual statistics on U.S. international transactions were revised to incorporate newly available and revised source data, special adjustments to address a problem with source data, improved estimation methods, and a new approach to seasonal and trading day adjustments.

Revisions due to newly available and revised source data and special adjustments include the following:

* Goods exports and imports for 2015-2017 were revised to incorporate revised source data from the U.S. Census Bureau.

* Services exports and imports for 2015-2017 were revised to incorporate newly available and revised source data, mainly from BEA's quarterly surveys of international trade in services.

* Primary income receipts and payments for 2014-2017 were revised to incorporate newly available and revised source data mainly from BEA's direct investment surveys, including BEA's 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad, and from the U.S. Department of the Treasury's Treasury International Capital (TIC) surveys.

* Financial asset and liability transactions for direct investment, portfolio investment, other investment, and financial derivatives for 2014-2017 were revised to incorporate newly available and revised source data mainly from BEA's direct investment surveys, including the 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad, and from the TIC surveys.

* Exports of travel services and transport services for 2015-2017 were revised to incorporate adjustments to address an undercount of foreign visitors to the United States in BEA's source data.

Improved estimation methods include the following:

* Exports of goods were revised to incorporate an improved method for estimating goods exported under the Foreign Military Sales (FMS) program, beginning with statistics for 2010. This change in methodology also affects the financial account because the value of exports of FMS goods is also recorded under general government trade credit and advances as a reduction in the liabilities of the U.S. government.

* Exports of services were revised to incorporate an improved method for estimating selected military grant programs, beginning with statistics for 2010.

In addition, BEA adopted a new approach to seasonal and trading day adjustments:

* With previous annual updates, quarterly ITA statistics were typically revised to incorporate newly available and revised source data as well as recalculated seasonal factors and trading day adjustments for the most recent 3 years. When underlying not seasonally adjusted source data were revised prior to the standard 3-year period, BEA incorporated recalculated seasonal factors for all revised periods. As part of BEA's goal to more accurately portray the changing U.S. economy, with this annual update BEA expanded the minimum period for incorporating revised seasonal factors to 5 years; this year's annual update incorporated revised factors for 2013-2017. With future annual updates, BEA will revise seasonal factors for the most recent 5 years and additional years depending on the period of revision for underlying not seasonally adjusted data.

Appendices A and B provide a numerical summary of the revisions; for a comparison of this year's revisions with revisions from past annual updates, see the box "2018 Annual Update in a Historical Context." Revised statistics on the detailed components of the ITAs are presented in "U.S. International Transactions Tables" in this issue of the Survey of Current Business.

For 2010-2017, this annual update has not altered the overall picture of U.S. international transactions. Revisions to the current-account deficit for 2010-2017 did not alter its direction of change (increase or decrease) for any year. Likewise, revisions to net borrowing from financial-account transactions for 2010-2017 did not alter its direction of change for any year. The largest revisions to the current-account deficit were downward revisions of $26.8 billion for 2015, $18.8 billion for 2016, and $17.1 billion for 2017 (table A, chart 1). The largest revisions to net borrowing from financial account transactions were downward revisions of $29.6 billion for 2014 and $17.3 billion for 2017 (chart 2).

The next section of this article discusses the incorporation of data from the 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad, improvements in methodology, and special adjustments to source data. The final section summarizes the effect of the revisions on the current account, the financial account, and the statistical discrepancy of the ITAs.

2018 Annual Update in a Historical Context

The 2018 annual update represents the first annual update of statistics for 2017, the second annual update of statistics for 2016, and the third annual update of statistics for 2015. Revisions to both the annual and quarterly statistics as a percentage of trend gross domestic product are generally similar to or smaller than typical first, second, and third annual revisions that were released each June in 2000-2017 (for statistics for 1999-2016). (1)

As shown in table I, mean absolute revisions (MARs) for the quarterly and annual statistics for the current-account balance and net lending/borrowing from financial-account transactions are mostly smaller than comparable MARs from past years, with the exception of the third annual revision to 2015 quarterly and annual statistics for the current-account balance. (In this table, a "ratio" value less than one indicates that the June 2018 revisions are smaller than average annual revisions in past years.) In particular, revisions to the annual statistics on net lending/borrowing from financial-account transactions were significantly smaller than in previous annual updates. The larger revisions for the current-account balance in 2015, which resulted in smaller estimates of current-account deficits, partly reflected the incorporation of BEA's annual and quarterly surveys of direct investment.

Geometric means of MARs ratios are shown in table II for some of the main aggregates and balances. (To illustrate, the value of 0.87 for the balance on current account in the first column is the geometric mean of 1.34, 0.71, and 0.71 from the third column of table I). The 2018 revisions to exports of goods and services and income receipts were similar to historical revisions while revisions to imports of goods and services and income payments were considerably smaller than historical revisions.

Table II also presents two addenda ratios that exclude the effects in the historical averages of definitional changes implemented in the 2014 comprehensive restructuring of the ITAs. In 2014, "exports of goods and services and income receipts" and "imports of goods and services and income payments" were redefined to include secondary income receipts and secondary income payments respectively. Previously, secondary income statistics were only published on a net basis in "balance on secondary income." (2) Inclusion of gross secondary income flows in the current-account aggregates resulted in revisions to these series for 2014 that were much larger than typical years. To avoid the distortions created by these redefinitions, the values in the addenda are based on calculations of 2014 revisions that use a common definition for the revised and the previously published estimates that excludes secondary income. The recalculated 2014 revisions are more similar to typical revisions of the aggregates, so the historical averages used in computing the ratios in the addenda are more reflective of typical revisions than those used for computing ratios shown in the main body of the table. In the addendum, revisions on the export side are now slightly larger than historical revisions, but revisions on the import side remain smaller than historical revisions.

Overall, revisions to statistics in the ITAs with the 2018 annual update are generally smaller than historical averages with a few series having significantly smaller revisions this annual update compared with previous annual updates.

Incorporation of Benchmark Survey, Improved Methods, and Special Adjustments to Source Data

Data from the 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad

BEA collects information on U.S. direct investment abroad through mandatory benchmark, annual, and quarterly surveys of U.S. multinational enterprises. Benchmark surveys (or censuses), which are conducted every 5 years, are the most comprehensive surveys in two respects: they collect greater detail than is collected on the annual and quarterly surveys, and they cover the entire population--or universe--of U.S. multinational enterprises. In addition to the benchmark surveys, BEA conducts quarterly and annual sample surveys. To reduce their reporting burden, U.S. enterprises that respond to sample surveys are not required to report on foreign affiliates that have sales, assets, and net income (or loss) of $60 million or less. (2) Instead, BEA estimates the data for these affiliates by extrapolating their data from the most recent benchmark survey based on the changes reflected in the sample data. Therefore, coverage of the U.S. multinational enterprise universe is complete whether the periods are covered by benchmark surveys or sample surveys.

Transactions in financial assets and liabilities and related income receipts and payments for 2014-2017 were revised to incorporate the results of the 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad. The survey collected data on the U.S. and foreign operations of all U.S. investors that owned 10 percent or more of a foreign business enterprise. (3)

Improved method for estimating exports of goods under the U.S. FMS program

BEA's previous methodology for estimating exports of goods under the FMS program involved two data sources: (1) goods identified as FMS exports in the U.S. Census Bureau's merchandise trade statistics, which were collected through the Automated Export System (AES), and (2) deliveries of FMS goods reported to BEA by the U.S. Department of Defense (DOD). BEA previously removed the FMS exports recorded in the AES and replaced them with the DOD data. (4) This approach was implemented in 2007 after a BEA study concluded that the DOD data more accurately reflected FMS exports than the data recorded in the AES, primarily because the DOD data provided better coverage of these transactions at the time. However, enhancements to the AES since then-such as implementation of mandatory electronic filing in late 2008 and the Census Bureau's routine outreach to, and training for, AES filers on export compliance and reporting requirements--have improved the coverage and accuracy of FMS export transactions. In addition, recent BEA research has determined that the FMS exports in the AES more accurately reflect when the economic ownership of the goods transfers to nonresidents. (5)

With this annual update, BEA is now using the AES data as the source for exports of goods under the FMS program beginning with statistics for 2010. Given the double-entry accounting that underlies the ITAs, the revised values of FMS exports were also recorded in the financial account under general government trade credit and advances as a reduction in the liabilities of the U.S. government. (6)

Improved method for estimating exports under selected U.S. military grant programs

The U.S. government provides defense assistance, either in kind or in cash, to several partner countries through military grant programs called Building Partner Capacity (BPC) programs. (7) When these grants are in kind, BEA records the value of the goods or services provided in exports of services under government goods and services n.i.e. (not included elsewhere). (8) Given the double-entry accounting that underlies the ITAs, BEA also records the value of in-kind grants in payments of secondary income (current transfers) under U.S. government grants. When the grants from military programs are in cash, BEA records the value of the cash transfers in the financial account under currency and deposits; however, these cash grants cannot be distinguished from other transactions in currency and deposits. As with in-kind grants, the value of cash grants is also recorded under U.S. government grants.

Previously, BEA treated all BPC grants as entailing the transfer of goods and services. However, BEA research has revealed that the source data also include cash transfers. Specifically, BEA has identified that cash transfers disbursed through the Afghanistan Security Forces Fund program are included in the BPC source data and has removed them from exports of government goods and services n.i.e. beginning with statistics for 2010. No adjustment to the financial-account side of the transaction was necessary because these cash grants, while not identifiable, can be presumed to have already been captured in BEA's source data on financial transactions. Because the total amount of BPC grants is unchanged, no adjustment to U.S. government grants was required either.

Adjustments to address a problem with source data for travel and transport services

Exports of travel services (for all purposes including education) reflect expenditures on goods and services by foreign residents visiting the United States and include both business and personal travel. Combined, exports of "other" business travel and "other" personal travel compose a subaggregate measure of travel exports that excludes both expenditures by travelers whose primary purpose for travel is education or health and expenditures by border, seasonal, and other short-term workers.

For all countries other than Canada and Mexico, and excluding cruise-related travel expenditures, this subaggregate measure of travel exports is derived by multiplying the number of foreign travelers by an estimate of their average expenditures. (9) The number of travelers is obtained from the National Travel and Tourism Office (NTTO) of the International Trade Administration in the U.S. Department of Commerce and is based on data collected by the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security on form I-94. In May this year, NTTO suspended the release of its foreign visitor arrivals data pending the resolution of underlying technical issues that resulted in a probable undercount of foreign visitors. (10) This undercount was the result of an increased number of foreign visitors traveling to the United States being erroneously categorized as U.S. residents, which caused them to be dropped from BEA and NTTO's foreign visitor counts.

BEA worked closely with NTTO to assess the extent of the undercount and to determine a methodology for adjusting the data. BEA determined that country of citizenship is a reliable proxy for country of residence. Therefore, BEA adjusted the foreign visitor counts beginning with July 2016 by substituting the country of citizenship for the country of residence in the affected records. For January 2015-June 2016, country of citizenship information was not available, so BEA adjusted foreign visitor counts by redistributing visitors erroneously categorized as U.S. residents to residents of other countries based on each country's share of total visitors. These adjustments resulted in upward revisions to "other" business and "other" personal travel exports for 2015-2017.

The I-94 arrivals data are also used to measure exports of air passenger transport, the fares paid by foreign visitors to U.S. air carriers for transportation to and from the United States. Therefore, transport services exports were also revised up for 2015-2017 due to the incorporation of the adjusted source data on foreign visitors.

Effects of the Revisions

Current-account highlights

As previously described, current-account statistics for 2010-2017 were revised to incorporate newly available and revised source data, including the results of the 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad, updated seasonal factors, improved methods for foreign military sales and for military grant programs, and adjustments to source data on travelers (tables A and B). The current-account deficit was revised up for 2010-2012 and revised down for 2013-2017. Despite these revisions in levels, the trend in the current-account deficit reflected in the revised statistics for all years is unchanged from the trend reflected in the previously published statistics.

The revisions to the quarterly statistics did not affect the direction (increase or decrease) of most quarter-to-quarter changes in the current-account deficit (chart 3). For most quarters of 2010-2017, the revisions also did not significantly affect the magnitude of the quarter-to-quarter changes in the current-account deficit. The largest revision to the quarter-to-quarter change was for the fourth quarter of 2017; the previously published $26.7 billion increase in the deficit was revised down $14.0 billion to a $12.7 billion increase.

Goods and services. The deficit on goods and services was revised up for 2010-2012 and revised down for 2013-2017. The largest revision was a downward revision of $16.2 billion for 2017. The revised statistics show the same trend as the previously published statistics.

The deficit on goods was revised down for most years, but was revised up for 2011 and 2015. The largest revision was a downward revision of $3.7 billion for 2017. The revisions to exports of goods primarily reflect revised source data from the Census Bureau and the improved method for estimating exports under the FMS program. The revisions to imports of goods primarily reflect revised source data from the Census Bureau.

The surplus on services was revised down for 2010-2014 and revised up for 2015-2017. The largest revision was an upward revision of $12.4 billion for 2017. The revisions to exports and imports of services reflect newly available and revised source data, primarily from BEA's quarterly surveys of international trade in services, the adjustments to source data on foreign visitors to the United States, and the improved method for estimating transactions from military grant programs.

Primary income. The surplus on primary income was revised up for 2014-2017. The largest upward revisions were $22.6 billion for 2015 and $19.8 billion for 2016. Revisions for 2014-2017 primarily reflect the results of the 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad and newly available and revised source data from the Department of the Treasury's TIC surveys. (11)

Secondary income. The deficit on secondary income (current transfers) was revised down for 2014 and 2015 and revised up for 2016 and 2017. The largest revisions were upward revisions of $3.8 billion for both 2016 and 2017. The revisions to secondary income for 2014-2017 primarily reflect revisions to withholding taxes resulting from the incorporation of the results of the 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad and newly available source data from the Internal Revenue Service. In addition, the revisions for 2015-2017 primarily reflect newly available and revised source data on U.S. government transfers from the U.S. Department of Defense and the U.S. Agency for International Development, and on private transfers related to insurance transactions from BEA services surveys.

Financial-account highlights

Financial-account statistics for 2010-2017 were revised to incorporate newly available and revised source data, including BEA's quarterly, annual, and benchmark surveys of direct investment and the Department of Treasury's TIC surveys, updated seasonal factors, and the improved method for estimating exports of FMS goods. The value of these FMS goods is also recorded in financial account liabilities under general government trade credit and advances as a reduction in the liabilities of the U.S. government. The revisions resulting from the improved method for estimating exports of FMS goods were small, averaging -$0.9 billion per year for 2010-2017.

Net borrowing was revised up less than $0.1 billion for 2010, $0.4 billion for 2011, and $7.4 billion for 2016; it was revised down $0.7 billion for 2012, $3.7 billion for 2013, $29.6 billion for 2014, $7.2 billion for 2015, and $17.3 billion for 2017 (tables A and C). Revisions to net borrowing reflect the combined revisions to net U.S. acquisition of financial assets excluding financial derivatives, to net U.S. incurrence of liabilities excluding financial derivatives, and to net transactions in financial derivatives. The revised annual financial transactions for each of these major accounts are similar in size and direction (increase or decrease) to the previously published financial transactions. The revisions to the quarterly statistics did not affect the direction of most quarter-to-quarter changes in net borrowing for 2010-2017 (chart 4).

Net U.S. acquisition of financial assets excluding financial derivatives

Net U.S. acquisition of financial assets excluding financial derivatives was revised up for 2014-2016 and revised down for 2017. The revisions reflect (1) an upward revision to net acquisition of direct investment assets for 2014; (2) a downward revision to net liquidation of other investment assets for 2015; (3) small, nearly offsetting revisions for 2016; and (4) a downward revision to net acquisition of direct investment assets for 2017.

Direct investment assets. Net acquisition of direct investment assets was revised up for 2014 and 2016 and down for 2015 and 2017. The largest revisions were a $48.7 billion upward revision for 2014 and a $45.2 billion downward revision for 2017. The revision for 2014 mostly reflects the results of the 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad. The revisions for 2015-2017 mostly reflect newly available and revised source data from BEA's quarterly and annual surveys of direct investment.

Portfolio investment assets. Net acquisition of portfolio investment assets (equity and debt securities) was revised down for 2014-2017. The largest revisions were a $4.4 billion downward revision for 2016 and a $2.8 billion downward revision for 2017. The revisions reflect newly available and revised source data from the TIC surveys of U.S. holdings of foreign securities. (12)

Other investment assets. Net liquidation of other investment assets (currency and deposits, loans, insurance technical reserves, and trade credit and advances) was revised up for 2014 and down for 2015 and 2016. Net acquisition of other investment assets was revised up for 2017. The largest revisions were a $18.4 billion upward revision in net acquisition for 2017 and a $12.1 billion downward revision in net liquidation for 2015. The revisions mainly reflect newly available and revised source data from the TIC surveys of U.S. claims on foreigners and from newly available data from the Bank for International Settlements on deposits placed by U.S. nonfinancial companies in foreign banks. (13)

Net U.S. incurrence of liabilities excluding financial derivatives

Net U.S. incurrence of liabilities excluding financial derivatives was revised up for 2010, 2011, 2014, and 2016, and revised down for 2012, 2013, 2015, and 2017. These revisions reflect newly available and revised source data from several sources as well as the improved method for estimating exports of FMS goods. The revisions reflect (1) an upward revision to net repayment of other investment liabilities for 2012, (2) a downward revision to net incurrence of other investment liabilities for 2013, (3) upward revisions to net incurrence of direct investment liabilities and other investment liabilities for 2014, (4) an upward revision to net repayment of other investment liabilities for 2015, (5) an upward revision to net incurrence of direct investment liabilities for 2016 that was almost completely offset by downward revisions to net incurrence of portfolio investment and other investment liabilities, and (6) downward revisions to net incurrence of portfolio investment liabilities and other investment liabilities for 2017.

Direct investment liabilities. Net incurrence of direct investment liabilities was revised up for 2014-2017. The largest revisions were a $15.0 billion upward revision for 2016 and a $14.2 billion upward revision for 2014. The revision for 2014 mostly reflects the results of the 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad. The revisions for 2015-2017 mostly reflect newly available and revised source data from BEA's quarterly and annual surveys of direct investment.

Portfolio investment liabilities. Net incurrence of portfolio investment liabilities was revised down for 2014-2017. The largest revisions were a $37.9 billion downward revision for 2017, a $6.0 billion downward revision for 2016, and a $5.9 billion downward revision for 2014. The revisions reflect newly available and revised source data from the TIC surveys of foreign holdings of U.S. securities. (14)

Other investment liabilities. Net incurrence of other investment liabilities was revised up for 2010, 2011, and 2014 and down for 2013, 2016, and 2017. Net repayment of other investment liabilities was revised up for 2012 and 2015. The largest revisions were a $18.5 billion downward revision in net incurrence for 2017, a $9.8 billion upward revision in net incurrence for 2014, and a $8.9 billion downward revision in net incurrence for 2016. The revisions reflect newly available and revised source data from the TIC surveys of U.S. liabilities to foreigners, revised source data from the Defense Finance and Accounting Service for U.S. government liabilities, and the improved method for estimating exports of FMS goods. (15)

Statistical discrepancy

The statistical discrepancy is the difference between net acquisition of assets and net incurrence of liabilities in the financial account (including financial derivatives) less the difference between total credits and total debits recorded in the current and capital accounts. In principle, the combined deficit (or surplus) on recorded transactions in the current and capital accounts should equal net borrowing (or net lending) measured by recorded transactions in the financial account. In practice, however, they differ because of incomplete source data, gaps in coverage, and timing differences.

Table A presents revisions to the statistical discrepancy for 2010-2017. The revisions mainly reflect revisions to net borrowing from financial-account transactions and to the deficit on the current account. The largest revisions to the statistical discrepancy were for 2014-2016.

Acknowledgments

Paul W. Farello, Associate Director for International Economics, provided overall supervision of the preparation of this year's annual update of the international transactions accounts.

Kristy L. Howell, Chief of the Balance of Payments Division; Christopher A. Gohrband, Chief of the Financial Accounts Branch; and Patricia E. Abaroa, Chief of the Direct Investment Division, directed major parts of the update. Raymond J. Mataloni Jr., Assistant Division Chief for Research and Analysis, provided general guidance.

The following BEA staff contributed significantly to the update:

Trade in goods: Benjamin P. Kavanaugh, Marc Bouchard, Danielle N. Clavon, Mai-Chi Hoang, Fritz Mayhew, Mitchell Shabani, and Christian Thieme.

Trade in services and secondary income (current transfers): Molly E. Garber, Ami V. Adjoh-Baliki, Shari A. Allen, Elye D. Bliss, Jeffrey R. Bogen, Laura L. Brokenbaugh, Edward F. Dozier, C. Omar Kebbeh, Michelle Murillo, Maya Ortiz, Theodore W. Peck, Alice K. Ramey, John A. Sondheimer, and Erin (Yiran) Xin.

International services surveys: Christopher J. Stein, Pamela N. Aiken, Suhail Ally, Damon C. Battaglia, Faith M. Brannam, Kiesha V. Brown, Jamela DesVignes, Michael D. Flinch, Andre Garber, Brian C. Goddard, Nazre Jamil, Hope R. Jones, Eddie Lee Key, Steven J. Muno, Alyssa N. Reinland, Makia M. Riley, Mark P. Samuel, and Daniel Wakjira.

Financial account and income: Christopher A. Gohrband, Barbara H. Berman, Eric A. Bryda, Dena A. Holland, Nicholas J. Martinez, Elena L. Nguyen, Douglas B. Weinberg, and Erin M. Whitaker.

Methodology and special studies: Daniel R. Yorgason, Alexis N. Grimm, and Ryan Howley.

Research: James J. Fetzer, Thomas Anderson, and Sarah Stutzman.

Direct investment: Jessica M. Hanson, Leila C. Morrison, Iris Branscome, Maryam Fatima, Jared M. Felice, Louis C. Luu, Shiara A. Penn, Jacob P. Simmons, Dwayne Torney, Ryan T. Smith, Peter J. Fox, Akeeia P. Griffin, Susan M. LaPorte, Jesse P. Magolon, Gazala I. Merchant, and Helen P. Yiu.

Computer systems and operations: Barbara Hubbard, Paula Brown, Sherry Lee, Karen Minor, and Kevin Smith.

Statistical production and data dissemination: Benjamin P. Kavanaugh, Gentian Cala, Danielle N. Clavon, Steve Holliday, Walter Kampas, Paul Kilday, Anna Libkhen, Marina Melnik, Ying Ni, Kenneth Pond, Mitchell Shabani, Douglas Weinberg, and Shirley Zhou.

Secretarial and program assistance: Pamela N. Aiken, Ayana Dudley, and Sheila L. Johnson.
Appendix A. Revisions to Annual U.S. International Transactions
Statistics
[Millions of dollars]

                                 2010      2011      2012      2013

Balance on goods
and services:
  Revised                    -495,225  -549,699  -537,408  -461,135
  Previously published       -494,658  -548,625  -536,773  -461,876
  Amount                         -567    -1,074      -635       741
of revision
Balance on primary income:
  Revised                     168,221   211,084   207,475   205,977
  Previously published        168,221   211,084   207,475   205,977
  Amount                            0         0         0         0
of revision
Balance on secondary
income:
  Revised                    -104,261  -107,047   -96,900   -93,643
  Previously published       -104,261  -107,047   -96,900   -93,643
  Amount of revision                0         0         0         0
Balance on current account:
  Revised                    -431,265  -445,662  -426,832  -348,801
  Previously published       -430,698  -444,589  -426,198  -349,543
  Amount of revision             -567    -1,073      -634       742
Balance on capital account:
  Revised                        -157    -1,186     6,904      -412
  Previously published           -157    -1,186     6,904      -412
  Amount of revision                0         0         0         0
Net lending (+) or net
borrowing (-) from
financial-account
transactions:
  Revised                    -446,415  -525,998  -448,205  -400,259
  Previously published       -446,411  -525,636  -448,857  -403,979
  Amount of revision               -4      -362       652     3,720

                             2014      2015      2016      2017

Balance on goods
and services:
  Revised                    -489,584  -498,525  -502,001  -552,277
  Previously published       -490,336  -500,445  -504,793  -568,442
  Amount                          752     1,920     2,792    16,165
of revision
Balance on primary income:
  Revised                     218,391   203,608   193,023   221,731
  Previously published        210,774   180,962   173,225   216,998
  Amount                        7,617    22,646    19,798     4,733
of revision
Balance on secondary
income:
  Revised                     -94,006  -112,848  -123,895  -118,597
  Previously published        -94,238  -115,116  -120,117  -114,802
  Amount of revision              232     2,268    -3,778    -3,795
Balance on current account:
  Revised                    -365,199  -407,764  -432,873  -449,142
  Previously published       -373,800  -434,598  -451,685  -466,246
  Amount of revision            8,601    26,834    18,812    17,104
Balance on capital account:
  Revised                         -45       -42       -59    24,746
  Previously published            -45       -42       -59    24,847
  Amount of revision                0         0         0      -101
Net lending (+) or net
borrowing (-) from
financial-account
transactions:
  Revised                    -297,255  -325,948  -385,078  -331,860
  Previously published       -326,836  -333,155  -377,685  -349,191
  Amount of revision           29,581     7,207    -7,393    17,331

Appendix B. Revisions to Quarterly U.S. International Transactions
Statistics
[Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted]

                             2010
                             I          II         III        IV

Balance on goods and
services:
  Revised                    -118,266   -128,809   -129,557   -118,594
  Previously published       -117,954   -128,754   -129,376   -118,575
  Amount of revision             -312        -55       -181        -19
Balance on primary income:
  Revised                      41,658     41,903     40,366     44,294
  Previously published         41,658     41,903     40,366     44,294
  Amount of revision                0          0          0          0
Balance on secondary
income:
  Revised                     -29,032    -24,438    -26,108    -24,683
  Previously published        -29,032    -24,438    -26,108    -24,683
  Amount of revision                0          0          0          0
Balance on current account:
  Revised                    -105,640   -111,344   -115,299    -98,983
  Previously published       -105,328   -111,289   -115,118    -98,963
  Amount of revision             -312        -55       -181        -20
Balance on capital account:
  Revised                          -3         -2       -146         -7
  Previously published             -3         -2       -146         -7
  Amount of revision                0          0          0          0
Net lending (+) or
net borrowing
(-) from financial-account
transactions:
  Revised                     -79,102    -34,663   -238,472    -94,177
  Previously published        -78,916    -34,733   -238,416    -94,347
  Amount of revision             -186         70        -56        170

                             2012
                             I          II         III        IV

Balance on goods
and services:
  Revised                    -144,840   -136,728   -127,977   -127,863
  Previously published       -144,771   -136,685   -127,540   -127,777
  Amount of revision              -69        -43       -437        -86
Balance on primary
income:
  Revised                      55,965     50,835     50,908     49,768
  Previously published         55,965     50,835     50,908     49,768
  Amount of revision                0          0          0          0
Balance on secondary
income:
  Revised                     -26,615    -25,686    -23,592    -21,007
  Previously published        -26,615    -25,686    -23,592    -21,007
  Amount of revision                0          0          0          0
Balance on current
account:
  Revised                    -115,491   -111,579   -100,661    -99,102
  Previously published       -115,422   -111,536   -100,224    -99,016
  Amount of revision              -69        -43       -437        -86
Balance on capital
account:
  Revised                         -53       -241       -470      7,668
  Previously published            -53       -241       -470      7,668
  Amount of revision                0          0          0          0
Net lending (+) or
net borrowing
(-) from financial
-account
transactions:
  Revised                    -258,914    -53,226     -1,628   -134,437
  Previously published       -259,779    -53,290     -1,207   -134,582
  Amount of revision              865         64       -421        145

                             2014
                             I          II         IV         IV

Balance on goods and
services:
  Revised                    -121,862   -125,091   -119,583   -123,048
  Previously published       -122,487   -125,035   -119,959   -122,855
  Amount of revision              625        -56        376       -193
Balance on primary income:
  Revised                      55,300     53,418     59,143     50,530
  Previously published         54,196     51,619     55,498     49,462
  Amount of revision            1,104      1,799      3,645      1,068
Balance on secondary
income:
  Revised                     -22,970    -14,437    -27,368    -29,231
  Previously published        -22,979    -14,481    -27,420    -29,358
  Amount of revision                9         44         52        127
Balance on current
account:
  Revised                     -89,533    -86,110    -87,807   -101,749
  Previously published        -91,271    -87,897    -91,881   -102,751
  Amount of revision            1,738      1,787      4,074      1,002
Balance on capital
account:
  Revised                         -43         -2         -1        (*)
  Previously published            -43         -2         -1        (*)
  Amount of revision                0          0          0          0
Net lending (+) or
net borrowing
(-) from financial-account
transactions:
  Revised                    -113,676    -82,178    -58,459    -42,942
  Previously published       -113,710    -99,077    -68,860    -45,188
  Amount of revision               34     16,899     10,401      2,246

                             2016
                             I          II         III        IV

Balance on goods
and services:
  Revised                    -125,261   -122,099   -121,770   -132,871
  Previously published       -126,079   -123,777   -120,889   -134,048
  Amount of revision              818      1,678       -881      1,177
Balance on primary
income:
  Revised                      45,447     47,543     43,909     56,124
  Previously published         38,059     42,746     41,123     51,297
  Amount of revision            7,388      4,797      2,786      4,827
Balance on secondary
income:
  Revised                     -32,087    -28,501    -31,465    -31,842
  Previously published        -31,189    -27,169    -30,504    -31,255
  Amount of revision             -898     -1,332       -961       -587
Balance on current
account:
  Revised                    -111,901   -103,057   -109,327   -108,589
  Previously published       -119,210   -108,200   -110,270   -114,006
  Amount of revision            7,309      5,143        943      5,417
Balance on capital
account:
  Revised                         -58          0         -1          0
  Previously published            -58          0         -1          0
  Amount of revision                0          0          0          0
Net lending (+) or
net borrowing
(-) from financial
-account
transactions:
  Revised                    -101,609    -17,541   -199,854    -66,073
  Previously published        -85,363    -42,274   -175,295    -74,753
  Amount of revision          -16,246     24,733    -24,559      8,680

                             2011
                             I          II         III        IV

Balance on goods and
services:
  Revised                    -135,041   -138,842   -134,670   -141,146
  Previously published       -134,319   -138,879   -133,962   -141,466
  Amount of revision             -722         37       -708        320
Balance on primary income:
  Revised                      47,701     48,662     55,165     59,555
  Previously published         47,701     48,662     55,165     59,555
  Amount of revision                0          0          0          0
Balance on secondary
income:
  Revised                     -28,506    -27,090    -25,287    -26,165
  Previously published        -28,506    -27,090    -25,287    -26,165
  Amount of revision                0          0          0          0
Balance on current account:
  Revised                    -115,847   -117,269   -104,792   -107,755
  Previously published       -115,124   -117,307   -104,083   -108,076
  Amount of revision             -723         38       -709        321
Balance on capital account:
  Revised                         -29       -854       -300         -3
  Previously published            -29       -854       -300         -3
  Amount of revision                0          0          0          0
Net lending (+) or
net borrowing
(-) from financial-account
transactions:
  Revised                    -209,742   -138,259   -165,911    -12,085
  Previously published       -209,210   -138,486   -165,392    -12,548
  Amount of revision             -532        227       -519        463

                             2013
                             I          II         III        IV

Balance on goods
and services:
  Revised                    -119,068   -117,165   -117,425   -107,478
  Previously published       -119,610   -117,731   -117,070   -107,466
  Amount of revision              542        566       -355        -12
Balance on primary
income:
  Revised                      47,204     50,805     54,259     53,709
  Previously published         47,415     51,594     53,331     53,636
  Amount of revision             -211       -789        928         73
Balance on secondary
income:
  Revised                     -22,441    -24,432    -24,950    -21,821
  Previously published        -22,443    -24,404    -24,969    -21,826
  Amount of revision                2        -28         19          5
Balance on current
account:
  Revised                     -94,304    -90,791    -88,116    -75,590
  Previously published        -94,637    -90,541    -88,709    -75,656
  Amount of revision              333       -250        593         66
Balance on capital
account:
  Revised                         -40       -227       -146        (*)
  Previously published            -40       -227       -146        (*)
  Amount of revision                0          0          0         0
Net lending (+) or
net borrowing
(-) from financial
-account
transactions:
  Revised                     -47,980    -36,060   -141,943   -174,276
  Previously published        -47,344    -35,871   -144,189   -176,576
  Amount of revision             -636       -189      2,246      2,300

                             2015
                             I          II         III        IV

Balance on goods and
services:
  Revised                    -125,708   -121,473   -127,531   -123,813
  Previously published       -127,059   -122,980   -126,757   -123,649
  Amount of revision            1,351      1,507       -774       -164
Balance on primary income:
  Revised                      52,378     49,152     49,016     53,062
  Previously published         48,375     42,302     42,013     48,272
  Amount of revision            4,003      6,850      7,003      4,790
Balance on secondary
income:
  Revised                     -28,270    -24,677    -31,035    -28,865
  Previously published        -29,345    -25,819    -31,819    -28,133
  Amount of revision            1,075      1,142        784       -732
Balance on current
account:
  Revised                    -101,600    -96,999   -109,550    -99,616
  Previously published       -108,029   -106,496   -116,563   -103,509
  Amount of revision            6,429      9,497      7,013      3,893
Balance on capital
account:
  Revised                         -22        -20         -1          0
  Previously published            -22        -20         -1          0
  Amount of revision                0          0          0          0
Net lending (+) or
net borrowing
(-) from financial-account
transactions:
  Revised                    -121,288   -133,654    -36,535    -34,471
  Previously published       -135,889   -136,663    -40,736    -19,866
  Amount of revision           14,601      3,009      4,201    -14,605

                             2017
                             I          II         III        IV

Balance on goods
and services:
  Revised                    -134,959   -136,700   -132,791   -147,826
  Previously published       -137,845   -141,446   -135,265   -153,886
  Amount of revision            2,886      4,746      2,474      6,060
Balance on primary
income:
  Revised                      52,604     48,535     58,222     62,371
  Previously published         50,429     50,879     58,495     57,195
  Amount of revision            2,175     -2,344       -273      5,176
Balance on secondary
income:
  Revised                     -25,355    -33,672    -28,878    -30,692
  Previously published        -25,455    -33,175    -24,706    -31,467
  Amount of revision              100       -497     -4,172        775
Balance on current
account:
  Revised                    -107,709   -121,837   -103,447   -116,148
  Previously published       -112,871   -123,742   -101,475   -128,158
  Amount of revision            5,162      1,905     -1,972     12,010
Balance on capital
account:
  Revised                          -1          0     24,787        -40
  Previously published             -1          0     24,868        -20
  Amount of revision                0          0        -81        -20
Net lending (+) or
net borrowing
(-) from financial
-account
transactions:
  Revised                     -68,606   -120,111   -111,891    -31,252
  Previously published        -87,693   -109,942   -121,757    -29,799
  Amount of revision           19,087    -10,169      9,866     -1,453

(*) A nonzero value between -$500,000 and $500,000.


By Barbara Berman, Erin (Yiran) Xin, and Douglas B. Weinberg

(1.) Trend GDP is derived using a Hodrick-Prescott filter to separate out the quarter-to-quarter deviations from the time series trend. For additional information on trend GDP calculation, see footnote 17 of Ryan Howley, "An Analysis of the Reliability of BEA's International Transactions Accounts," Survey of Current Business 97 (February 2017).

(2.) For more information on the 2014 comprehensive restructuring, see Jeffrey R. Bogen, Mai-Chi Hoang, Kristy L. Howell, and Erin M. Whitaker, "Comprehensive Restructuring and Annual Revision of the U.S. International Transactions Accounts." Survey 94 (July 2014).

(1.) For a discussion of the revisions to the IIP accounts, see Elena L. Nguyen and Douglas B. Weinberg, "U.S. Net International Investment Position: First Quarter 2018, Year 2017, and Annual Update" in this issue of the Survey of Current Business.

(2.) For more information, see "A Guide to BEA's Direct Investment Surveys" on BEA's website.

(3.) As well as being a source for ITA direct investment statistics on financial transactions and income between U.S. parents and their foreign affiliates, the benchmark survey is also the source of BEA's statistics on direct investment positions between U.S. parents and foreign affiliates and on the activities of U.S. multinational enterprises for 2014. Statistics on positions and the revisions to these statistics resulting from incorporation of the benchmark survey data are presented in Elena L. Nguyen and Douglas B. Weinberg, "U.S. Net International Investment Position: First Quarter 2018, Year 2017, and Annual Update" in this issue of the Survey of Current Business. Statistics on the activities of U.S. multinational enterprises for 2014 are available on BEA's website.

(4.) The net effect of this replacement for years prior to 2010 is shown in line 3 of ITA Table 2.4 "U.S. International Trade in Goods, Balance of Payments Adjustments."

(5.) Change in economic ownership is a fundamental concept that determines whether a transaction is recorded in the ITAs.

(6.) A liability was recorded in the ITAs in a prior period when a foreign government made advance payments for FMS goods.

(7.) Chapter 15 of the Security Assistance Management Manual, published by the Defense Security Cooperation Agency, notes that BPC programs are funded with U.S. government appropriations and may provide defense articles for the purpose of building the capacity of partner nation security forces and enhancing their capability to conduct counterterrorism, counterdrug, and counterinsurgency operations, or to support U.S. military and stability operations, multilateral peace operations, and other programs.

(8.) Because the types of goods or services cannot be identified, BEA records them in government goods and services n.i.e. If they could be identified, BEA would record them in the appropriate goods or services account.

(9.) BEA receives data on arrivals from Canada and Mexico from Statistics Canada and the Bank of Mexico, respectively, and estimates cruise-related travel separately. For more information on how BEA calculates its statistics on travel (for all purposes including education), see "International Transactions Accounts" in U.S. International Economic Accounts: Concepts and Methods, chapter 10, paragraphs 10.88-10.95.

(10.) See the press release "International Trade Administration Announces Suspension of 2017 I-94 Overseas Arrivals Data Releases."

(11.) Statistics for portfolio investment income and for other investment income are based partly on resident-nonresident transactions and positions collected monthly and quarterly on the TIC surveys, as explained in U.S. International Economic Accounts: Concepts and Methods, Chapter 10, paragraphs 10.169-10.189.

(12.) Revised data from the following TIC surveys were incorporated: (1) Aggregate Holdings of Long-Term Securities by U.S. and Foreign Residents (foreign securities), (2) Report of U.S. Ownership of Foreign Securities, Including Selected Money Market Instruments, and (3) Reports by Financial Institutions of Liabilities to, and Claims on, Foreign Residents by U.S. Residents (claims).

(13.) Revised data from the following TIC surveys were incorporated: (1) Reports by Financial Institutions of Liabilities to, and Claims on, Foreign Residents by U.S. Residents (claims) and (2) Reports of Liabilities to, and Claims on, Unaffiliated Foreign Residents by U.S. Resident Non-Financial Institutions (claims).

(14.) Revised data from the following TIC surveys were incorporated: (1) Aggregate Holdings of Long-Term Securities by U.S. and Foreign Residents (U.S. securities), (2) Foreign-residents' Holdings of U.S. Securities, including Selected Money Market Instruments, and (3) Reports by Financial Institutions of Liabilities to, and Claims on, Foreign Residents by U.S. Residents (liabilities).

(15.) Revised data from the following TIC surveys were incorporated: (1) Reports by Financial Institutions of Liabilities to, and Claims on, Foreign Residents by U.S. Residents (liabilities) and (2) Reports of Liabilities to, and Claims on, Unaffiliated Foreign Residents by U.S. Resident Non-Financial Institutions (liabilities).
Table A. Revisions to Current-Account and Capital-Account Balances, Net
Lending or Net Borrowing From Financial-Account Transactions, and the
Statistical Discrepancy, 2010-2017
[Billions of dollars]

                                   2010    2011    2012    2013

Balance on current
account (line 101):
  Revised                          -431.3  -445.7  -426.8  -348.8
  Previously published             -430.7  -444.6  -426.2  -349.5
  Amount of revision                 -0.6    -1.1    -0.6     0.7
  Balance on goods
  and services (line 102):
    Revised                        -495.2  -549.7  -537.4  -461.1
    Previously published           -494.7  -548.6  -536.8  -461.9
    Amount of revision               -0.6    -1.1    -0.6     0.7
  Balance on primary
  income (line 105):
    Revised                         168.2   211.1   207.5   206.0
    Previously published            168.2   211.1   207.5   206.0
    Amount of revision                0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
  Balance on secondary
  income (line 106):
    Revised                        -104.3  -107.0   -96.9   -93.6
    Previously published           -104.3  -107.0   -96.9   -93.6
    Amount of revision                0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Balance on capital
account (line 107):
  Revised                            -0.2    -1.2     6.9    -0.4
  Previously published               -0.2    -1.2     6.9    -0.4
  Amount of revision                  0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Net lending (+) or net
borrowing (-) from financial
-account transactions (line 109):
Revised                            -446.4  -526.0  -448.2  -400.3
  Previously published             -446.4  -525.6  -448.9  -404.0
  Amount of revision               (*)       -0.4     0.7     3.7
  Statistical
  discrepancy (line 100):
  Revised                           -15.0   -79.2   -28.3   -51.0
  Previously published              -15.6   -79.9   -29.6   -54.0
  Amount of revision                  0.6     0.7     1.3     3.0

                                   2014    2015    2016    2017

Balance on current
account (line 101):
  Revised                          -365.2  -407.8  -432.9  -449.1
  Previously published             -373.8  -434.6  -451.7  -466.2
  Amount of revision                  8.6    26.8    18.8    17.1
  Balance on goods
  and services (line 102):
    Revised                        -489.6  -498.5  -502.0  -552.3
    Previously published           -490.3  -500.4  -504.8  -568.4
    Amount of revision                0.8     1.9     2.8    16.2
  Balance on primary
  income (line 105):
    Revised                         218.4   203.6   193.0   221.7
    Previously published            210.8   181.0   173.2   217.0
    Amount of revision                7.6    22.6    19.8     4.7
  Balance on secondary
  income (line 106):
    Revised                         -94.0  -112.8  -123.9  -118.6
    Previously published            -94.2  -115.1  -120.1  -114.8
    Amount of revision                0.2     2.3    -3.8    -3.8
Balance on capital
account (line 107):
  Revised                            (*)     (*)     -0.1    24.7
  Previously published               (*)     (*)     -0.1    24.8
  Amount of revision                  0.0     0.0     0.0    -0.1
Net lending (+) or net
borrowing (-) from financial
-account transactions (line 109):
Revised                            -297.3  -325.9  -385.1  -331.9
  Previously published             -326.8  -333.2  -377.7  -349.2
  Amount of revision                 29.6     7.2    -7.4    17.3
  Statistical
  discrepancy (line 100):
  Revised                            68.0    81.9    47.9    92.5
  Previously published               47.0   101.5    74.1    92.2
  Amount of revision                 21.0   -19.6   -26.2     0.3

(*) A nonzero value between -$50,000,000 and $50,000,000.
Note. Line numbers refer to ITA table 1.2 on BEA's website.

Table I. Comparison of Revisions From the 2018 Annual Update With
Revisions From Previous Annual Updates

                         MAR from the     MAR from previous   Ratio (1)
                         2018 annual      annual updates
                         update

 Balance on current account
Quarterly statistics
  2015 (2)               0.149            0.112               1.34
  2016 (3)               0.101            0.142               0.71
  2017 (4)               0.108            0.153               0.71
Annual statistics
  2015 (2)               0.149            0.091               1.64
  2016 (3)               0.101            0.120               0.84
  2017 (4)               0.088            0.139               0.64
 Net lending or net borrowing from financial-account transactions
Quarterly statistics
  2015 (2)               0.202            0.457               0.44
  2016 (3)               0.398            0.663               0.60
  2017 (4)               0.211            0.677               0.31
Annual statistics
  2015 (2)               0.040            0.356               0.11
  2016 (3)               0.040            0.323               0.12
  2017 (4)               0.089            0.386               0.23

MAR Mean absolute revision
(1.) Ratio is MAR from the 2018 annual update divided by MAR from
previous annual updates.
(2.) Revisions to statistics on transactions for 2015 are compared with
revisions in previous third annual updates in 2002-2017.
(3.) Revisions to statistics on transactions for 2016 are compared with
revisions in previous second annual updates in 2001-2017.
(4.) Revisions to statistics on transactions for 2017 are compared with
revisions in previous first annual updates in 2000-2017.
Note. All revisions are computed as a percentage of trend
current-dollar gross domestic product.

Table II. Ratios of the Revisions From the 2018 Annual Update to
Revisions From Previous Annual Updates
[Geometric mean of ratios of MARs]1

                                          Quarterly   Annual
                                          statistics  statistics

Exports of goods and services             0.94        0.99
and income receipts
  Exports of goods                        0.51        0.35
  Exports of services                     0.74        0.77
  Primary income receipts                 0.94        0.53
Imports of goods and services             0.27        0.23
and income payments
  Imports of goods                        0.64        0.17
  Imports of services                     0.53        0.31
  Primary income payments                 0.29        0.30
Net U.S. acquisition                      0.51        0.08
of financial assets
excluding financial derivatives
Net U.S. incurrence                       0.38        0.03
of liabilities excluding
financial derivatives
Balance on goods                          0.76        0.12
Balance on services                       0.44        0.44
Balance on goods                          0.68        0.70
and services
Balance on                                0.74        0.65
primary income
Balance on                                0.61        0.57
secondary income
Balance on                                0.87        0.96
current account
Net lending or net                        0.44        0.15
borrowing
from financial-account
transactions
Addenda:
Exports of goods and services             1.22        1.32
and income receipts excluding
effects of the 2014 definitional
changes (2)
Imports of goods and services and income  0.49        0.48
payments excluding effects of
the 2014 definitional changes (2)

MARs Mean absolute revisions
(1.) Geometric mean computed over three ratios: (1) ratio of MAR of
statistics for 2017 to MAR from other first annual updates; (2) ratio
of MAR of statistics for 2016 to MAR from other second annual updates;
(3) ratio of MAR of statistics for 2015 to MAR from other third annual
updates.
(2.) See the discussion in the text.

Table B. Revisions to Selected Current-Account Transactions, 2010-2017
[Billions of dollars]

                                  2010     2011     2012     2013

Exports of goods and
services and income
receipts (line 1):
  Revised                         2,624.0  2,981.5  3,095.0  3,213.0
  Previously published            2,624.6  2,982.6  3,095.7  3,212.2
  Amount of revision                 -0.6     -1.1     -0.6      0.7
    Improved method                  (*)      -0.4      0.1      1.7
for foreign military
sales
    Adjustments to                    0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
address a problem in
source data on travelers
    Improved method for              -0.6     -0.7     -0.7     -1.0
military grant programs
    Newly available                   0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
and revised source data
  Exports of goods (line 3):
    Revised                       1,290.3  1,498.9  1,562.6  1,593.7
    Previously published          1,290.3  1,499.2  1,562.6  1,592.0
    Amount of revision               (*)      -0.4      0.1      1.7
      Improved method                (*)      -0.4      0.1      1.7
for foreign military sales
      Newly available and             0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
revised source data
  Exports of services (line 13):
    Revised                         562.8    627.1    655.7    700.5
    Previously published            563.3    627.8    656.4    701.5
    Amount of revision               -0.6     -0.7     -0.7     -1.0
      Adjustments to address          0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
a problem in source data
on travelers
      Improved method for            -0.6     -0.7     -0.7     -1.0
military grant programs
      Newly available and             0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
revised source data
    Transport (line 15):
      Revised                        71.7     79.8     83.9     86.8
      Previously published           71.7     79.8     83.9     86.8
      Amount of revision              0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
        Adjustments to address a      0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
problem in source data
on travelers
        Newly available               0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
and revised source data
    Travel (for all purposes
including education)
(1) (line 16):
      Revised                       137.0    150.9    161.6    177.5
      Previously published          137.0    150.9    161.6    177.5
      Amount of revision              0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
        Adjustments to address        0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
a problem in source
data on travelers
        Newly available and           0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
revised source data
    Government goods and
services n.i.e. (line 22):
      Revised                        19.2     21.5     22.1     21.9
      Previously published           19.8     22.2     22.8     22.8
      Amount of revision             -0.6     -0.7     -0.7     -1.0
        Improved method              -0.6     -0.7     -0.7     -1.0
for military grant programs
        Newly available and           0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
revised source data
  Primary income
  receipts (line 23):
    Revised                         680.2    755.9    768.0    792.8
    Previously published            680.2    755.9    768.0    792.8
    Amount of revision                0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
    Direct investment
income receipts (line 25):
      Revised                       443.0    473.6    464.8    476.2
      Previously published          443.0    473.6    464.8    476.2
      Amount of revision              0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
  Secondary income
receipts (line 30):
    Revised                          90.8     99.7    108.7    126.0
    Previously published             90.8     99.7    108.7    126.0
    Amount of revision                0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
Imports of goods
and services
and income payments
(line 31):
  Revised                         3,055.3  3,427.2  3,521.9  3,561.8
  Previously published            3,055.3  3,427.2  3,521.9  3,561.8
  Amount of revision                  0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
  Imports of goods (line 33):
    Revised                       1,939.0  2,239.9  2,303.7  2,294.2
    Previously published          1,939.0  2,239.9  2,303.7  2,294.2
    Amount of revision                0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
  Imports of services
  (line 42):
    Revised                         409.3    435.8    452.0    461.1
    Previously published            409.3    435.8    452.0    461.1
    Amount of revision                0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
  Primary income
payments (line 52):
    Revised                         511.9    544.9    560.5    586.8
    Previously published            511.9    544.9    560.5    586.8
    Amount of revision                0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
  Secondary income
payments (line 58):
    Revised                         195.0    206.7    205.6    219.6
    Previously published            195.0    206.7    205.6    219.6
    Amount of revision                0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
Balance on current
account (line 101):
  Revised                          -431.3   -445.7   -426.8   -348.8
  Previously published             -430.7   -444.6   -426.2   -349.5
  Amount of revision                 -0.6     -1.1     -0.6      0.7
    Improved method for              (*)      -0.4      0.1      1.7
foreign military sales
    Adjustments to address a          0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
problem in source
data on travelers
    Improved method for              -0.6     -0.7     -0.7     -1.0
military grant programs
    Newly available and               0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
revised source data
  Balance on goods and
services (line 102):
    Revised                        -495.2   -549.7   -537.4   -461.1
    Previously published           -494.7   -548.6   -536.8   -461.9
    Amount of revision               -0.6     -1.1     -0.6      0.7
      Improved method                (*)      -0.4      0.1      1.7
for foreign military sales
      Adjustments to address          0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
a problem in source

data on travelers
      Improved method for            -0.6     -0.7     -0.7     -1.0
military grant programs
      Newly available and             0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
revised source data
  Balance on primary
  income (line 105):
    Revised                         168.2    211.1    207.5    206.0
    Previously published            168.2    211.1    207.5    206.0
    Amount of revision                0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
  Balance on secondary
income (line 106):
    Revised                        -104.3   -107.0    -96.9    -93.6
    Previously published           -104.3   -107.0    -96.9    -93.6
    Amount of revision                0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0

                                  2014     2015     2016     2017

Exports of goods and
services and income
receipts (line 1):
  Revised                         3,341.8  3,207.3  3,183.8  3,433.2
  Previously published            3,333.3  3,173.0  3,157.2  3,408.2
  Amount of revision                  8.4     34.3     26.5     25.1
    Improved method                   1.6      0.4      1.2      2.5
for foreign military
sales
    Adjustments to                    0.0      2.0      2.6     12.9
address a problem in
source data on travelers
    Improved method for              -0.8     -0.8     -0.9     -0.7
military grant programs
    Newly available                   7.7     32.7     23.6     10.4
and revised source data
  Exports of goods (line 3):
    Revised                       1,635.6  1,511.4  1,457.0  1,553.4
    Previously published          1,634.0  1,510.8  1,455.7  1,550.7
    Amount of revision                1.6      0.6      1.3      2.7
      Improved method                 1.6      0.4      1.2      2.5
for foreign military sales
      Newly available and             0.0      0.2  (*)          0.2
revised source data
  Exports of services (line 13):
    Revised                         741.1    755.3    758.9    797.7
    Previously published            741.9    753.2    752.4    780.9
    Amount of revision               -0.8      2.2      6.5     16.8
      Adjustments to address          0.0      2.0      2.6     12.9
a problem in source data
on travelers
      Improved method for            -0.8     -0.8     -0.9     -0.7
military grant programs
      Newly available and             0.0      0.9      4.8      4.7
revised source data
    Transport (line 15):
      Revised                        90.7     87.7     84.7     88.6
      Previously published           90.7     87.6     84.3     86.5
      Amount of revision              0.0      0.1      0.4      2.1
        Adjustments to address a      0.0      0.3      0.5      1.5
problem in source data
on travelers
        Newly available               0.0     -0.2     -0.1      0.6
and revised source data
    Travel (for all purposes
including education)
(1) (line 16):
      Revised                       191.9    206.9    206.9    210.7
      Previously published          191.9    205.4    205.9    203.7
      Amount of revision              0.0      1.5      1.0      7.1
        Adjustments to address        0.0      1.8      2.1     11.4
a problem in source
data on travelers
        Newly available and           0.0     -0.2     -1.1     -4.3
revised source data
    Government goods and
services n.i.e. (line 22):
      Revised                        19.7     20.1     18.8     19.3
      Previously published           20.5     21.2     18.8     19.2
      Amount of revision             -0.8     -1.1  (*)          0.2
        Improved method              -0.8     -0.8     -0.9     -0.7
for military grant programs
        Newly available and           0.0     -0.3      0.9      0.9
revised source data
  Primary income
  receipts (line 23):
    Revised                         824.5    810.1    830.2    928.1
    Previously published            817.3    783.0    814.0    926.9
    Amount of revision                7.2     27.1     16.2      1.3
    Direct investment
income receipts (line 25):
      Revised                       482.1    459.9    456.4    504.4
      Previously published          474.8    436.9    444.0    507.0
      Amount of revision              7.2     23.0     12.4     -2.6
  Secondary income
receipts (line 30):
    Revised                         140.6    130.5    137.8    154.0
    Previously published            140.1    126.1    135.2    149.7
    Amount of revision                0.5      4.4      2.6      4.3
Imports of goods
and services
and income payments
(line 31):
  Revised                         3,707.0  3,615.1  3,616.7  3,882.4
  Previously published            3,707.1  3,607.6  3,608.9  3,874.4
  Amount of revision                 -0.2      7.5      7.7      7.9
  Imports of goods (line 33):
    Revised                       2,385.5  2,273.2  2,208.0  2,360.9
    Previously published          2,385.5  2,272.6  2,208.2  2,361.9
    Amount of revision                0.0      0.6     -0.2     -1.1
  Imports of services
  (line 42):
    Revised                         480.8    492.0    509.8    542.5
    Previously published            480.8    491.7    504.7    538.1
    Amount of revision                0.0      0.2      5.2      4.4
  Primary income
payments (line 52):
    Revised                         606.2    606.5    637.2    706.4
    Previously published            606.6    602.0    640.8    709.9
    Amount of revision               -0.4      4.4     -3.6     -3.5
  Secondary income
payments (line 58):
    Revised                         234.6    243.4    261.7    272.6
    Previously published            234.3    241.2    255.3    264.5
    Amount of revision                0.3      2.2      6.4      8.1
Balance on current
account (line 101):
  Revised                          -365.2   -407.8   -432.9   -449.1
  Previously published             -373.8   -434.6   -451.7   -466.2
  Amount of revision                  8.6     26.8     18.8     17.1
    Improved method for               1.6      0.4      1.2      2.5
foreign military sales
    Adjustments to address a          0.0      2.0      2.6     12.9
problem in source
data on travelers
    Improved method for              -0.8     -0.8     -0.9     -0.7
military grant programs
    Newly available and               7.8     25.2     15.9      2.5
revised source data
  Balance on goods and
services (line 102):
    Revised                        -489.6   -498.5   -502.0   -552.3
    Previously published           -490.3   -500.4   -504.8   -568.4
    Amount of revision                0.8      1.9      2.8     16.2
      Improved method                 1.6      0.4      1.2      2.5
for foreign military sales
      Adjustments to address          0.0      2.0      2.6     12.9
a problem in source
data on travelers
      Improved method for            -0.8     -0.8     -0.9     -0.7
military grant programs
      Newly available and             0.0      0.3     -0.2      1.5
revised source data
  Balance on primary
  income (line 105):
    Revised                         218.4    203.6    193.0    221.7
    Previously published            210.8    181.0    173.2    217.0
    Amount of revision                7.6     22.6     19.8      4.7
  Balance on secondary
income (line 106):
    Revised                         -94.0   -112.8   -123.9   -118.6
    Previously published            -94.2   -115.1   -120.1   -114.8
    Amount of revision                0.2      2.3     -3.8     -3.8

(*) A nonzero value between -$50,000,000 and $50,000,000.
(1.) All travel purposes include 1) business travel, including
expenditures by border, seasonal, and other short-term workers and 2)
personal travel, including health-related and education-related travel.
Note. Line numbers refer to ITA table 1.2 on BEA's website.

Table C. Revisions to Selected Financial-Account Transactions,
2010-2017
[Billions of dollars]

                                  2010    2011    2012   2013

Net U.S. acquisition
of financial
assets excluding financial
derivatives (net increase in
assets/financial
outflow (+)) (line 61):
  Revised                         958.7   492.5   176.8    649.6
  Previously published            958.7   492.5   176.8    649.6
  Amount of revision                0.0     0.0     0.0      0.0
  Direct investment
assets (line 62):
    Revised                       349.8   436.6   377.2    392.8
    Previously published          349.8   436.6   377.2    392.8
    Amount of revision              0.0     0.0     0.0      0.0
  Portfolio investment
assets (line 65):
    Revised                       199.6    85.4   248.8    481.3
    Previously published          199.6    85.4   248.8    481.3
    Amount of revision              0.0     0.0     0.0      0.0
    Equity and investment
fund shares (line 66):
      Revised                      79.2     7.0   104.0    287.4
      Previously published         79.2     7.0   104.0    287.4
      Amount of revision            0.0     0.0     0.0      0.0
    Debt securities
      Short term (line 68):
        Revised                    62.3   -51.3    -8.6     48.8
        Previously published       62.3   -51.3    -8.6     48.8
        Amount of revision          0.0     0.0     0.0      0.0
      Long term (line 69):
        Revised                    58.2   129.7   153.4    145.1
        Previously published       58.2   129.7   153.4    145.1
        Amount of revision          0.0     0.0     0.0      0.0
  Other investment
assets (line 70):
    Revised                       407.4   -45.3  -453.7   -221.4
    Previously published          407.4   -45.3  -453.7   -221.4
    Amount of revision              0.0     0.0     0.0      0.0
    Currency and
    deposits (line 71):
      Revised                     150.2   -89.2  -521.9   -127.0
      Previously published        150.2   -89.2  -521.9   -127.0
      Amount of revision            0.0     0.0     0.0      0.0
    Loans (line 72):
      Revised                     251.1    39.8    67.5   -104.3
      Previously published        251.1    39.8    67.5   -104.3
      Amount of revision            0.0     0.0     0.0      0.0
Net U.S. incurrence
of liabilities
excluding financial
derivatives (net increase in
liabilities/financial
inflow (+)) (line 84):
  Revised                       1,391.0   983.5   632.0  1,052.1
  Previously published          1,391.0   983.2   632.7  1,055.8
  Amount of revision               (*)      0.4    -0.7     -3.7
    Improved method                (*)      0.4    (*)      -1.7
for foreign military sales
    Newly available                 0.0     0.0    -0.6     -2.0
and revised source data
  Direct investment
liabilities (line 85):
    Revised                       264.0   263.5   250.3    288.1
    Previously published          264.0   263.5   250.3    288.1
    Amount of revision              0.0     0.0     0.0      0.0
  Portfolio investment
liabilities (line 88):
    Revised                       820.4   311.6   747.0    512.0
    Previously published          820.4   311.6   747.0    512.0
    Amount of revision              0.0     0.0     0.0      0.0
    Equity and investment fund
shares (line 89):
      Revised                     179.0   123.4   239.1    -62.6
      Previously published        179.0   123.4   239.1    -62.6
      Amount of revision            0.0     0.0     0.0      0.0
    Debt securities
      Short term (line 91):
        Revised                   -53.0   -86.7    16.3     45.7
        Previously published      -53.0   -86.7    16.3     45.7
        Amount of revision          0.0     0.0     0.0      0.0
      Long term (line 92):
        Revised                   694.5   275.0   491.6    529.0
        Previously published      694.5   275.0   491.6    529.0
        Amount of revision          0.0     0.0     0.0      0.0
  Other investment
  liabilities (line 93):
    Revised                       306.6   408.4  -365.3    251.9
    Previously published          306.6   408.0  -364.7    255.7
    Amount of revision             (*)      0.4    -0.7     -3.7
      Improved method for          (*)      0.4    (*)      -1.7
foreign military sales
      Newly available and           0.0     0.0    -0.6     -2.0
      revised source data
    Currency and deposits
    (line 94):
      Revised                     115.7   475.7  -246.0    202.8
      Previously published        115.7   475.7  -246.0    202.8
      Amount of revision            0.0     0.0     0.0      0.0
    Loans (line 95):
      Revised                     172.3   -84.8  -130.3     41.3
      Previously published        172.3   -84.8  -130.3     41.3
      Amount of revision            0.0     0.0     0.0      0.0
    Trade credit and
    advances (line 97):
      Revised                      18.6    17.5    11.0      7.8
      Previously published         18.6    17.1    11.6     11.5
      Amount of revision           (*)      0.4    -0.7     -3.7
        Improved method for        (*)      0.4    (*)      -1.7
foreign military sales
        Newly available and         0.0     0.0    -0.6     -2.0
revised source data
Financial derivatives
other than
reserves, net transactions
(line 99):
  Revised                         -14.1   -35.0     7.1      2.2
  Previously published            -14.1   -35.0     7.1      2.2
  Amount of revision                0.0     0.0     0.0      0.0
Net lending (+) or net
borrowing (-) from
financial-account
transactions (line 109):
  Revised                        -446.4  -526.0  -448.2   -400.3
  Previously published           -446.4  -525.6  -448.9   -404.0
  Amount of revision               (*)     -0.4     0.7      3.7
    Improved method for            (*)     -0.4    (*)       1.7
    foreign military sales
    Newly available and             0.0     0.0     0.6      2.0
    revised source data

                                   2014   2015    2016   2017

Net U.S. acquisition
of financial
assets excluding financial
derivatives (net increase in
assets/financial
outflow (+)) (line 61):
  Revised                         866.5   202.2   348.6  1,182.7
  Previously published            818.8   194.2   347.9  1,212.4
  Amount of revision               47.7     8.0     0.7    -29.6
  Direct investment
assets (line 62):
    Revised                       387.5   307.1   313.0    379.2
    Previously published          338.9   311.1   311.6    424.4
    Amount of revision             48.7    -4.1     1.4    -45.2
  Portfolio investment
assets (line 65):
    Revised                       582.7   160.4    36.3    586.7
    Previously published          582.7   160.4    40.6    589.5
    Amount of revision             (*)     (*)     -4.4     -2.8
    Equity and investment
fund shares (line 66):
      Revised                     431.6   196.9    21.7    166.8
      Previously published        431.6   196.9    14.4    193.8
      Amount of revision            0.0     0.0     7.3    -27.0
    Debt securities
      Short term (line 68):
        Revised                    11.4    43.0   -27.4    193.9
        Previously published       11.4    43.0   -21.1    176.4
        Amount of revision         (*)     (*)     -6.3     17.4
      Long term (line 69):
        Revised                   139.7   -79.6    42.0    226.0
        Previously published      139.7   -79.6    47.3    219.3
        Amount of revision          0.0    (*)     -5.3      6.7
  Other investment
assets (line 70):
    Revised                      -100.1  -259.0    -2.7    218.5
    Previously published          -99.2  -271.1    -6.4    200.1
    Amount of revision             -0.9    12.1     3.7     18.4
    Currency and
    deposits (line 71):
      Revised                    -160.5  -191.5   -91.3    172.0
      Previously published       -161.8  -201.6   -89.7    148.7
      Amount of revision            1.3    10.2    -1.7     23.2
    Loans (line 72):
      Revised                      66.2   -65.8    87.7     40.9
      Previously published         68.4   -67.7    82.3     46.9
      Amount of revision           -2.2     1.9     5.4     -6.1
Net U.S. incurrence
of liabilities
excluding financial
derivatives (net increase in
liabilities/financial
inflow (+)) (line 84):
  Revised                       1,109.4   501.1   741.5  1,537.7
  Previously published          1,091.4   502.1   741.4  1,587.9
  Amount of revision               18.1    -1.0     0.1    -50.2
    Improved method                -1.6    -0.4    -1.2     -2.4
for foreign military sales
    Newly available                19.7    -0.6     1.3    -47.8
and revised source data
  Direct investment
liabilities (line 85):
    Revised                       251.9   509.1   494.5    354.8
    Previously published          237.7   506.2   479.4    348.7
    Amount of revision             14.2     2.9    15.0      6.2
  Portfolio investment
liabilities (line 88):
    Revised                       697.6   213.9   231.3    799.2
    Previously published          703.5   214.0   237.4    837.1
    Amount of revision             -5.9    -0.1    -6.0    -37.9
    Equity and investment fund
shares (line 89):
      Revised                     154.3  -187.3  -139.7    155.7
      Previously published        154.3  -187.3  -141.1    166.8
      Amount of revision            0.0     0.0     1.4    -11.1
    Debt securities
      Short term (line 91):
        Revised                    22.4    45.8   -12.1     15.9
        Previously published       22.3    45.9    -8.6     37.9
        Amount of revision          0.1    -0.1    -3.5    -22.1
      Long term (line 92):
        Revised                   520.9   355.4   383.1    627.7
        Previously published      526.8   355.4   387.0    632.3
        Amount of revision         -5.9    (*)     -3.9     -4.6
  Other investment
  liabilities (line 93):
    Revised                       160.0  -221.9    15.7    383.7
    Previously published          150.2  -218.0    24.6    402.2
    Amount of revision              9.8    -3.8    -8.9    -18.5
      Improved method for          -1.6    -0.4    -1.2     -2.4
foreign military sales
      Newly available and          11.3    -3.5    -7.7    -16.1
      revised source data
    Currency and deposits
    (line 94):
      Revised                      61.1    35.1    17.2    217.4
      Previously published         59.7    36.2    19.7    236.5
      Amount of revision            1.4    -1.1    -2.5    -19.1
    Loans (line 95):
      Revised                      87.9  -265.0    -7.6    150.8
      Previously published         77.9  -262.6    -2.3    147.6
      Amount of revision           10.0    -2.4    -5.3      3.2
    Trade credit and
    advances (line 97):
      Revised                      11.0     8.0     6.1     15.4
      Previously published         12.6     8.4     7.3     18.1
      Amount of revision           -1.6    -0.4    -1.2     -2.7
        Improved method for        -1.6    -0.4    -1.2     -2.4
foreign military sales
        Newly available and         0.0    (*)     (*)      -0.3
revised source data
Financial derivatives
other than
reserves, net transactions
(line 99):
  Revised                         -54.3   -27.0     7.8     23.1
  Previously published            -54.3   -25.2    15.8     26.4
  Amount of revision               -0.1    -1.8    -8.0     -3.3
Net lending (+) or net
borrowing (-) from
financial-account
transactions (line 109):
  Revised                        -297.3  -325.9  -385.1   -331.9
  Previously published           -326.8  -333.2  -377.7   -349.2
  Amount of revision               29.6     7.2    -7.4     17.3
    Improved method for             1.6     0.4     1.2      2.4
    foreign military sales
    Newly available and            28.0     6.8    -8.6     14.9
    revised source data

(*) A nonzero value between -$50,000,000 and $50,000,000.
Note. Line numbers refer to ITA table 1.2 on BEA's website.
COPYRIGHT 2018 U.S. Government Printing Office
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2018 Gale, Cengage Learning. All rights reserved.

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