Annual Update of the U.S. International Transactions Accounts.
Berman, Barbara ; Xin, Erin Yiran ; Weinberg, Douglas B. 等
Annual Update of the U.S. International Transactions Accounts.
In June 2018, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released annual
updates of the U.S. international transactions accounts (ITAs) and the
U.S. international investment position (IIP) accounts. (1) With this
annual update of the ITAs, quarterly and annual statistics on U.S.
international transactions were revised to incorporate newly available
and revised source data, special adjustments to address a problem with
source data, improved estimation methods, and a new approach to seasonal
and trading day adjustments.
Revisions due to newly available and revised source data and
special adjustments include the following:
* Goods exports and imports for 2015-2017 were revised to
incorporate revised source data from the U.S. Census Bureau.
* Services exports and imports for 2015-2017 were revised to
incorporate newly available and revised source data, mainly from
BEA's quarterly surveys of international trade in services.
* Primary income receipts and payments for 2014-2017 were revised
to incorporate newly available and revised source data mainly from
BEA's direct investment surveys, including BEA's 2014
Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad, and from the U.S.
Department of the Treasury's Treasury International Capital (TIC)
surveys.
* Financial asset and liability transactions for direct investment,
portfolio investment, other investment, and financial derivatives for
2014-2017 were revised to incorporate newly available and revised source
data mainly from BEA's direct investment surveys, including the
2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad, and from the TIC
surveys.
* Exports of travel services and transport services for 2015-2017
were revised to incorporate adjustments to address an undercount of
foreign visitors to the United States in BEA's source data.
Improved estimation methods include the following:
* Exports of goods were revised to incorporate an improved method
for estimating goods exported under the Foreign Military Sales (FMS)
program, beginning with statistics for 2010. This change in methodology
also affects the financial account because the value of exports of FMS
goods is also recorded under general government trade credit and
advances as a reduction in the liabilities of the U.S. government.
* Exports of services were revised to incorporate an improved
method for estimating selected military grant programs, beginning with
statistics for 2010.
In addition, BEA adopted a new approach to seasonal and trading day
adjustments:
* With previous annual updates, quarterly ITA statistics were
typically revised to incorporate newly available and revised source data
as well as recalculated seasonal factors and trading day adjustments for
the most recent 3 years. When underlying not seasonally adjusted source
data were revised prior to the standard 3-year period, BEA incorporated
recalculated seasonal factors for all revised periods. As part of
BEA's goal to more accurately portray the changing U.S. economy,
with this annual update BEA expanded the minimum period for
incorporating revised seasonal factors to 5 years; this year's
annual update incorporated revised factors for 2013-2017. With future
annual updates, BEA will revise seasonal factors for the most recent 5
years and additional years depending on the period of revision for
underlying not seasonally adjusted data.
Appendices A and B provide a numerical summary of the revisions;
for a comparison of this year's revisions with revisions from past
annual updates, see the box "2018 Annual Update in a Historical
Context." Revised statistics on the detailed components of the ITAs
are presented in "U.S. International Transactions Tables" in
this issue of the Survey of Current Business.
For 2010-2017, this annual update has not altered the overall
picture of U.S. international transactions. Revisions to the
current-account deficit for 2010-2017 did not alter its direction of
change (increase or decrease) for any year. Likewise, revisions to net
borrowing from financial-account transactions for 2010-2017 did not
alter its direction of change for any year. The largest revisions to the
current-account deficit were downward revisions of $26.8 billion for
2015, $18.8 billion for 2016, and $17.1 billion for 2017 (table A, chart
1). The largest revisions to net borrowing from financial account
transactions were downward revisions of $29.6 billion for 2014 and $17.3
billion for 2017 (chart 2).
The next section of this article discusses the incorporation of
data from the 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad,
improvements in methodology, and special adjustments to source data. The
final section summarizes the effect of the revisions on the current
account, the financial account, and the statistical discrepancy of the
ITAs.
2018 Annual Update in a Historical Context
The 2018 annual update represents the first annual update of
statistics for 2017, the second annual update of statistics for 2016,
and the third annual update of statistics for 2015. Revisions to both
the annual and quarterly statistics as a percentage of trend gross
domestic product are generally similar to or smaller than typical first,
second, and third annual revisions that were released each June in
2000-2017 (for statistics for 1999-2016). (1)
As shown in table I, mean absolute revisions (MARs) for the
quarterly and annual statistics for the current-account balance and net
lending/borrowing from financial-account transactions are mostly smaller
than comparable MARs from past years, with the exception of the third
annual revision to 2015 quarterly and annual statistics for the
current-account balance. (In this table, a "ratio" value less
than one indicates that the June 2018 revisions are smaller than average
annual revisions in past years.) In particular, revisions to the annual
statistics on net lending/borrowing from financial-account transactions
were significantly smaller than in previous annual updates. The larger
revisions for the current-account balance in 2015, which resulted in
smaller estimates of current-account deficits, partly reflected the
incorporation of BEA's annual and quarterly surveys of direct
investment.
Geometric means of MARs ratios are shown in table II for some of
the main aggregates and balances. (To illustrate, the value of 0.87 for
the balance on current account in the first column is the geometric mean
of 1.34, 0.71, and 0.71 from the third column of table I). The 2018
revisions to exports of goods and services and income receipts were
similar to historical revisions while revisions to imports of goods and
services and income payments were considerably smaller than historical
revisions.
Table II also presents two addenda ratios that exclude the effects
in the historical averages of definitional changes implemented in the
2014 comprehensive restructuring of the ITAs. In 2014, "exports of
goods and services and income receipts" and "imports of goods
and services and income payments" were redefined to include
secondary income receipts and secondary income payments respectively.
Previously, secondary income statistics were only published on a net
basis in "balance on secondary income." (2) Inclusion of gross
secondary income flows in the current-account aggregates resulted in
revisions to these series for 2014 that were much larger than typical
years. To avoid the distortions created by these redefinitions, the
values in the addenda are based on calculations of 2014 revisions that
use a common definition for the revised and the previously published
estimates that excludes secondary income. The recalculated 2014
revisions are more similar to typical revisions of the aggregates, so
the historical averages used in computing the ratios in the addenda are
more reflective of typical revisions than those used for computing
ratios shown in the main body of the table. In the addendum, revisions
on the export side are now slightly larger than historical revisions,
but revisions on the import side remain smaller than historical
revisions.
Overall, revisions to statistics in the ITAs with the 2018 annual
update are generally smaller than historical averages with a few series
having significantly smaller revisions this annual update compared with
previous annual updates.
Incorporation of Benchmark Survey, Improved Methods, and Special
Adjustments to Source Data
Data from the 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment
Abroad
BEA collects information on U.S. direct investment abroad through
mandatory benchmark, annual, and quarterly surveys of U.S. multinational
enterprises. Benchmark surveys (or censuses), which are conducted every
5 years, are the most comprehensive surveys in two respects: they
collect greater detail than is collected on the annual and quarterly
surveys, and they cover the entire population--or universe--of U.S.
multinational enterprises. In addition to the benchmark surveys, BEA
conducts quarterly and annual sample surveys. To reduce their reporting
burden, U.S. enterprises that respond to sample surveys are not required
to report on foreign affiliates that have sales, assets, and net income
(or loss) of $60 million or less. (2) Instead, BEA estimates the data
for these affiliates by extrapolating their data from the most recent
benchmark survey based on the changes reflected in the sample data.
Therefore, coverage of the U.S. multinational enterprise universe is
complete whether the periods are covered by benchmark surveys or sample
surveys.
Transactions in financial assets and liabilities and related income
receipts and payments for 2014-2017 were revised to incorporate the
results of the 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad.
The survey collected data on the U.S. and foreign operations of all U.S.
investors that owned 10 percent or more of a foreign business
enterprise. (3)
Improved method for estimating exports of goods under the U.S. FMS
program
BEA's previous methodology for estimating exports of goods
under the FMS program involved two data sources: (1) goods identified as
FMS exports in the U.S. Census Bureau's merchandise trade
statistics, which were collected through the Automated Export System
(AES), and (2) deliveries of FMS goods reported to BEA by the U.S.
Department of Defense (DOD). BEA previously removed the FMS exports
recorded in the AES and replaced them with the DOD data. (4) This
approach was implemented in 2007 after a BEA study concluded that the
DOD data more accurately reflected FMS exports than the data recorded in
the AES, primarily because the DOD data provided better coverage of
these transactions at the time. However, enhancements to the AES since
then-such as implementation of mandatory electronic filing in late 2008
and the Census Bureau's routine outreach to, and training for, AES
filers on export compliance and reporting requirements--have improved
the coverage and accuracy of FMS export transactions. In addition,
recent BEA research has determined that the FMS exports in the AES more
accurately reflect when the economic ownership of the goods transfers to
nonresidents. (5)
With this annual update, BEA is now using the AES data as the
source for exports of goods under the FMS program beginning with
statistics for 2010. Given the double-entry accounting that underlies
the ITAs, the revised values of FMS exports were also recorded in the
financial account under general government trade credit and advances as
a reduction in the liabilities of the U.S. government. (6)
Improved method for estimating exports under selected U.S. military
grant programs
The U.S. government provides defense assistance, either in kind or
in cash, to several partner countries through military grant programs
called Building Partner Capacity (BPC) programs. (7) When these grants
are in kind, BEA records the value of the goods or services provided in
exports of services under government goods and services n.i.e. (not
included elsewhere). (8) Given the double-entry accounting that
underlies the ITAs, BEA also records the value of in-kind grants in
payments of secondary income (current transfers) under U.S. government
grants. When the grants from military programs are in cash, BEA records
the value of the cash transfers in the financial account under currency
and deposits; however, these cash grants cannot be distinguished from
other transactions in currency and deposits. As with in-kind grants, the
value of cash grants is also recorded under U.S. government grants.
Previously, BEA treated all BPC grants as entailing the transfer of
goods and services. However, BEA research has revealed that the source
data also include cash transfers. Specifically, BEA has identified that
cash transfers disbursed through the Afghanistan Security Forces Fund
program are included in the BPC source data and has removed them from
exports of government goods and services n.i.e. beginning with
statistics for 2010. No adjustment to the financial-account side of the
transaction was necessary because these cash grants, while not
identifiable, can be presumed to have already been captured in
BEA's source data on financial transactions. Because the total
amount of BPC grants is unchanged, no adjustment to U.S. government
grants was required either.
Adjustments to address a problem with source data for travel and
transport services
Exports of travel services (for all purposes including education)
reflect expenditures on goods and services by foreign residents visiting
the United States and include both business and personal travel.
Combined, exports of "other" business travel and
"other" personal travel compose a subaggregate measure of
travel exports that excludes both expenditures by travelers whose
primary purpose for travel is education or health and expenditures by
border, seasonal, and other short-term workers.
For all countries other than Canada and Mexico, and excluding
cruise-related travel expenditures, this subaggregate measure of travel
exports is derived by multiplying the number of foreign travelers by an
estimate of their average expenditures. (9) The number of travelers is
obtained from the National Travel and Tourism Office (NTTO) of the
International Trade Administration in the U.S. Department of Commerce
and is based on data collected by the U.S. Customs and Border Protection
(CBP) of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security on form I-94. In May
this year, NTTO suspended the release of its foreign visitor arrivals
data pending the resolution of underlying technical issues that resulted
in a probable undercount of foreign visitors. (10) This undercount was
the result of an increased number of foreign visitors traveling to the
United States being erroneously categorized as U.S. residents, which
caused them to be dropped from BEA and NTTO's foreign visitor
counts.
BEA worked closely with NTTO to assess the extent of the undercount
and to determine a methodology for adjusting the data. BEA determined
that country of citizenship is a reliable proxy for country of
residence. Therefore, BEA adjusted the foreign visitor counts beginning
with July 2016 by substituting the country of citizenship for the
country of residence in the affected records. For January 2015-June
2016, country of citizenship information was not available, so BEA
adjusted foreign visitor counts by redistributing visitors erroneously
categorized as U.S. residents to residents of other countries based on
each country's share of total visitors. These adjustments resulted
in upward revisions to "other" business and "other"
personal travel exports for 2015-2017.
The I-94 arrivals data are also used to measure exports of air
passenger transport, the fares paid by foreign visitors to U.S. air
carriers for transportation to and from the United States. Therefore,
transport services exports were also revised up for 2015-2017 due to the
incorporation of the adjusted source data on foreign visitors.
Effects of the Revisions
Current-account highlights
As previously described, current-account statistics for 2010-2017
were revised to incorporate newly available and revised source data,
including the results of the 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct
Investment Abroad, updated seasonal factors, improved methods for
foreign military sales and for military grant programs, and adjustments
to source data on travelers (tables A and B). The current-account
deficit was revised up for 2010-2012 and revised down for 2013-2017.
Despite these revisions in levels, the trend in the current-account
deficit reflected in the revised statistics for all years is unchanged
from the trend reflected in the previously published statistics.
The revisions to the quarterly statistics did not affect the
direction (increase or decrease) of most quarter-to-quarter changes in
the current-account deficit (chart 3). For most quarters of 2010-2017,
the revisions also did not significantly affect the magnitude of the
quarter-to-quarter changes in the current-account deficit. The largest
revision to the quarter-to-quarter change was for the fourth quarter of
2017; the previously published $26.7 billion increase in the deficit was
revised down $14.0 billion to a $12.7 billion increase.
Goods and services. The deficit on goods and services was revised
up for 2010-2012 and revised down for 2013-2017. The largest revision
was a downward revision of $16.2 billion for 2017. The revised
statistics show the same trend as the previously published statistics.
The deficit on goods was revised down for most years, but was
revised up for 2011 and 2015. The largest revision was a downward
revision of $3.7 billion for 2017. The revisions to exports of goods
primarily reflect revised source data from the Census Bureau and the
improved method for estimating exports under the FMS program. The
revisions to imports of goods primarily reflect revised source data from
the Census Bureau.
The surplus on services was revised down for 2010-2014 and revised
up for 2015-2017. The largest revision was an upward revision of $12.4
billion for 2017. The revisions to exports and imports of services
reflect newly available and revised source data, primarily from
BEA's quarterly surveys of international trade in services, the
adjustments to source data on foreign visitors to the United States, and
the improved method for estimating transactions from military grant
programs.
Primary income. The surplus on primary income was revised up for
2014-2017. The largest upward revisions were $22.6 billion for 2015 and
$19.8 billion for 2016. Revisions for 2014-2017 primarily reflect the
results of the 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad
and newly available and revised source data from the Department of the
Treasury's TIC surveys. (11)
Secondary income. The deficit on secondary income (current
transfers) was revised down for 2014 and 2015 and revised up for 2016
and 2017. The largest revisions were upward revisions of $3.8 billion
for both 2016 and 2017. The revisions to secondary income for 2014-2017
primarily reflect revisions to withholding taxes resulting from the
incorporation of the results of the 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct
Investment Abroad and newly available source data from the Internal
Revenue Service. In addition, the revisions for 2015-2017 primarily
reflect newly available and revised source data on U.S. government
transfers from the U.S. Department of Defense and the U.S. Agency for
International Development, and on private transfers related to insurance
transactions from BEA services surveys.
Financial-account highlights
Financial-account statistics for 2010-2017 were revised to
incorporate newly available and revised source data, including
BEA's quarterly, annual, and benchmark surveys of direct investment
and the Department of Treasury's TIC surveys, updated seasonal
factors, and the improved method for estimating exports of FMS goods.
The value of these FMS goods is also recorded in financial account
liabilities under general government trade credit and advances as a
reduction in the liabilities of the U.S. government. The revisions
resulting from the improved method for estimating exports of FMS goods
were small, averaging -$0.9 billion per year for 2010-2017.
Net borrowing was revised up less than $0.1 billion for 2010, $0.4
billion for 2011, and $7.4 billion for 2016; it was revised down $0.7
billion for 2012, $3.7 billion for 2013, $29.6 billion for 2014, $7.2
billion for 2015, and $17.3 billion for 2017 (tables A and C). Revisions
to net borrowing reflect the combined revisions to net U.S. acquisition
of financial assets excluding financial derivatives, to net U.S.
incurrence of liabilities excluding financial derivatives, and to net
transactions in financial derivatives. The revised annual financial
transactions for each of these major accounts are similar in size and
direction (increase or decrease) to the previously published financial
transactions. The revisions to the quarterly statistics did not affect
the direction of most quarter-to-quarter changes in net borrowing for
2010-2017 (chart 4).
Net U.S. acquisition of financial assets excluding financial
derivatives
Net U.S. acquisition of financial assets excluding financial
derivatives was revised up for 2014-2016 and revised down for 2017. The
revisions reflect (1) an upward revision to net acquisition of direct
investment assets for 2014; (2) a downward revision to net liquidation
of other investment assets for 2015; (3) small, nearly offsetting
revisions for 2016; and (4) a downward revision to net acquisition of
direct investment assets for 2017.
Direct investment assets. Net acquisition of direct investment
assets was revised up for 2014 and 2016 and down for 2015 and 2017. The
largest revisions were a $48.7 billion upward revision for 2014 and a
$45.2 billion downward revision for 2017. The revision for 2014 mostly
reflects the results of the 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct
Investment Abroad. The revisions for 2015-2017 mostly reflect newly
available and revised source data from BEA's quarterly and annual
surveys of direct investment.
Portfolio investment assets. Net acquisition of portfolio
investment assets (equity and debt securities) was revised down for
2014-2017. The largest revisions were a $4.4 billion downward revision
for 2016 and a $2.8 billion downward revision for 2017. The revisions
reflect newly available and revised source data from the TIC surveys of
U.S. holdings of foreign securities. (12)
Other investment assets. Net liquidation of other investment assets
(currency and deposits, loans, insurance technical reserves, and trade
credit and advances) was revised up for 2014 and down for 2015 and 2016.
Net acquisition of other investment assets was revised up for 2017. The
largest revisions were a $18.4 billion upward revision in net
acquisition for 2017 and a $12.1 billion downward revision in net
liquidation for 2015. The revisions mainly reflect newly available and
revised source data from the TIC surveys of U.S. claims on foreigners
and from newly available data from the Bank for International
Settlements on deposits placed by U.S. nonfinancial companies in foreign
banks. (13)
Net U.S. incurrence of liabilities excluding financial derivatives
Net U.S. incurrence of liabilities excluding financial derivatives
was revised up for 2010, 2011, 2014, and 2016, and revised down for
2012, 2013, 2015, and 2017. These revisions reflect newly available and
revised source data from several sources as well as the improved method
for estimating exports of FMS goods. The revisions reflect (1) an upward
revision to net repayment of other investment liabilities for 2012, (2)
a downward revision to net incurrence of other investment liabilities
for 2013, (3) upward revisions to net incurrence of direct investment
liabilities and other investment liabilities for 2014, (4) an upward
revision to net repayment of other investment liabilities for 2015, (5)
an upward revision to net incurrence of direct investment liabilities
for 2016 that was almost completely offset by downward revisions to net
incurrence of portfolio investment and other investment liabilities, and
(6) downward revisions to net incurrence of portfolio investment
liabilities and other investment liabilities for 2017.
Direct investment liabilities. Net incurrence of direct investment
liabilities was revised up for 2014-2017. The largest revisions were a
$15.0 billion upward revision for 2016 and a $14.2 billion upward
revision for 2014. The revision for 2014 mostly reflects the results of
the 2014 Benchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad. The
revisions for 2015-2017 mostly reflect newly available and revised
source data from BEA's quarterly and annual surveys of direct
investment.
Portfolio investment liabilities. Net incurrence of portfolio
investment liabilities was revised down for 2014-2017. The largest
revisions were a $37.9 billion downward revision for 2017, a $6.0
billion downward revision for 2016, and a $5.9 billion downward revision
for 2014. The revisions reflect newly available and revised source data
from the TIC surveys of foreign holdings of U.S. securities. (14)
Other investment liabilities. Net incurrence of other investment
liabilities was revised up for 2010, 2011, and 2014 and down for 2013,
2016, and 2017. Net repayment of other investment liabilities was
revised up for 2012 and 2015. The largest revisions were a $18.5 billion
downward revision in net incurrence for 2017, a $9.8 billion upward
revision in net incurrence for 2014, and a $8.9 billion downward
revision in net incurrence for 2016. The revisions reflect newly
available and revised source data from the TIC surveys of U.S.
liabilities to foreigners, revised source data from the Defense Finance
and Accounting Service for U.S. government liabilities, and the improved
method for estimating exports of FMS goods. (15)
Statistical discrepancy
The statistical discrepancy is the difference between net
acquisition of assets and net incurrence of liabilities in the financial
account (including financial derivatives) less the difference between
total credits and total debits recorded in the current and capital
accounts. In principle, the combined deficit (or surplus) on recorded
transactions in the current and capital accounts should equal net
borrowing (or net lending) measured by recorded transactions in the
financial account. In practice, however, they differ because of
incomplete source data, gaps in coverage, and timing differences.
Table A presents revisions to the statistical discrepancy for
2010-2017. The revisions mainly reflect revisions to net borrowing from
financial-account transactions and to the deficit on the current
account. The largest revisions to the statistical discrepancy were for
2014-2016.
Acknowledgments
Paul W. Farello, Associate Director for International Economics,
provided overall supervision of the preparation of this year's
annual update of the international transactions accounts.
Kristy L. Howell, Chief of the Balance of Payments Division;
Christopher A. Gohrband, Chief of the Financial Accounts Branch; and
Patricia E. Abaroa, Chief of the Direct Investment Division, directed
major parts of the update. Raymond J. Mataloni Jr., Assistant Division
Chief for Research and Analysis, provided general guidance.
The following BEA staff contributed significantly to the update:
Trade in goods: Benjamin P. Kavanaugh, Marc Bouchard, Danielle N.
Clavon, Mai-Chi Hoang, Fritz Mayhew, Mitchell Shabani, and Christian
Thieme.
Trade in services and secondary income (current transfers): Molly
E. Garber, Ami V. Adjoh-Baliki, Shari A. Allen, Elye D. Bliss, Jeffrey
R. Bogen, Laura L. Brokenbaugh, Edward F. Dozier, C. Omar Kebbeh,
Michelle Murillo, Maya Ortiz, Theodore W. Peck, Alice K. Ramey, John A.
Sondheimer, and Erin (Yiran) Xin.
International services surveys: Christopher J. Stein, Pamela N.
Aiken, Suhail Ally, Damon C. Battaglia, Faith M. Brannam, Kiesha V.
Brown, Jamela DesVignes, Michael D. Flinch, Andre Garber, Brian C.
Goddard, Nazre Jamil, Hope R. Jones, Eddie Lee Key, Steven J. Muno,
Alyssa N. Reinland, Makia M. Riley, Mark P. Samuel, and Daniel Wakjira.
Financial account and income: Christopher A. Gohrband, Barbara H.
Berman, Eric A. Bryda, Dena A. Holland, Nicholas J. Martinez, Elena L.
Nguyen, Douglas B. Weinberg, and Erin M. Whitaker.
Methodology and special studies: Daniel R. Yorgason, Alexis N.
Grimm, and Ryan Howley.
Research: James J. Fetzer, Thomas Anderson, and Sarah Stutzman.
Direct investment: Jessica M. Hanson, Leila C. Morrison, Iris
Branscome, Maryam Fatima, Jared M. Felice, Louis C. Luu, Shiara A. Penn,
Jacob P. Simmons, Dwayne Torney, Ryan T. Smith, Peter J. Fox, Akeeia P.
Griffin, Susan M. LaPorte, Jesse P. Magolon, Gazala I. Merchant, and
Helen P. Yiu.
Computer systems and operations: Barbara Hubbard, Paula Brown,
Sherry Lee, Karen Minor, and Kevin Smith.
Statistical production and data dissemination: Benjamin P.
Kavanaugh, Gentian Cala, Danielle N. Clavon, Steve Holliday, Walter
Kampas, Paul Kilday, Anna Libkhen, Marina Melnik, Ying Ni, Kenneth Pond,
Mitchell Shabani, Douglas Weinberg, and Shirley Zhou.
Secretarial and program assistance: Pamela N. Aiken, Ayana Dudley,
and Sheila L. Johnson.
Appendix A. Revisions to Annual U.S. International Transactions
Statistics
[Millions of dollars]
2010 2011 2012 2013
Balance on goods
and services:
Revised -495,225 -549,699 -537,408 -461,135
Previously published -494,658 -548,625 -536,773 -461,876
Amount -567 -1,074 -635 741
of revision
Balance on primary income:
Revised 168,221 211,084 207,475 205,977
Previously published 168,221 211,084 207,475 205,977
Amount 0 0 0 0
of revision
Balance on secondary
income:
Revised -104,261 -107,047 -96,900 -93,643
Previously published -104,261 -107,047 -96,900 -93,643
Amount of revision 0 0 0 0
Balance on current account:
Revised -431,265 -445,662 -426,832 -348,801
Previously published -430,698 -444,589 -426,198 -349,543
Amount of revision -567 -1,073 -634 742
Balance on capital account:
Revised -157 -1,186 6,904 -412
Previously published -157 -1,186 6,904 -412
Amount of revision 0 0 0 0
Net lending (+) or net
borrowing (-) from
financial-account
transactions:
Revised -446,415 -525,998 -448,205 -400,259
Previously published -446,411 -525,636 -448,857 -403,979
Amount of revision -4 -362 652 3,720
2014 2015 2016 2017
Balance on goods
and services:
Revised -489,584 -498,525 -502,001 -552,277
Previously published -490,336 -500,445 -504,793 -568,442
Amount 752 1,920 2,792 16,165
of revision
Balance on primary income:
Revised 218,391 203,608 193,023 221,731
Previously published 210,774 180,962 173,225 216,998
Amount 7,617 22,646 19,798 4,733
of revision
Balance on secondary
income:
Revised -94,006 -112,848 -123,895 -118,597
Previously published -94,238 -115,116 -120,117 -114,802
Amount of revision 232 2,268 -3,778 -3,795
Balance on current account:
Revised -365,199 -407,764 -432,873 -449,142
Previously published -373,800 -434,598 -451,685 -466,246
Amount of revision 8,601 26,834 18,812 17,104
Balance on capital account:
Revised -45 -42 -59 24,746
Previously published -45 -42 -59 24,847
Amount of revision 0 0 0 -101
Net lending (+) or net
borrowing (-) from
financial-account
transactions:
Revised -297,255 -325,948 -385,078 -331,860
Previously published -326,836 -333,155 -377,685 -349,191
Amount of revision 29,581 7,207 -7,393 17,331
Appendix B. Revisions to Quarterly U.S. International Transactions
Statistics
[Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted]
2010
I II III IV
Balance on goods and
services:
Revised -118,266 -128,809 -129,557 -118,594
Previously published -117,954 -128,754 -129,376 -118,575
Amount of revision -312 -55 -181 -19
Balance on primary income:
Revised 41,658 41,903 40,366 44,294
Previously published 41,658 41,903 40,366 44,294
Amount of revision 0 0 0 0
Balance on secondary
income:
Revised -29,032 -24,438 -26,108 -24,683
Previously published -29,032 -24,438 -26,108 -24,683
Amount of revision 0 0 0 0
Balance on current account:
Revised -105,640 -111,344 -115,299 -98,983
Previously published -105,328 -111,289 -115,118 -98,963
Amount of revision -312 -55 -181 -20
Balance on capital account:
Revised -3 -2 -146 -7
Previously published -3 -2 -146 -7
Amount of revision 0 0 0 0
Net lending (+) or
net borrowing
(-) from financial-account
transactions:
Revised -79,102 -34,663 -238,472 -94,177
Previously published -78,916 -34,733 -238,416 -94,347
Amount of revision -186 70 -56 170
2012
I II III IV
Balance on goods
and services:
Revised -144,840 -136,728 -127,977 -127,863
Previously published -144,771 -136,685 -127,540 -127,777
Amount of revision -69 -43 -437 -86
Balance on primary
income:
Revised 55,965 50,835 50,908 49,768
Previously published 55,965 50,835 50,908 49,768
Amount of revision 0 0 0 0
Balance on secondary
income:
Revised -26,615 -25,686 -23,592 -21,007
Previously published -26,615 -25,686 -23,592 -21,007
Amount of revision 0 0 0 0
Balance on current
account:
Revised -115,491 -111,579 -100,661 -99,102
Previously published -115,422 -111,536 -100,224 -99,016
Amount of revision -69 -43 -437 -86
Balance on capital
account:
Revised -53 -241 -470 7,668
Previously published -53 -241 -470 7,668
Amount of revision 0 0 0 0
Net lending (+) or
net borrowing
(-) from financial
-account
transactions:
Revised -258,914 -53,226 -1,628 -134,437
Previously published -259,779 -53,290 -1,207 -134,582
Amount of revision 865 64 -421 145
2014
I II IV IV
Balance on goods and
services:
Revised -121,862 -125,091 -119,583 -123,048
Previously published -122,487 -125,035 -119,959 -122,855
Amount of revision 625 -56 376 -193
Balance on primary income:
Revised 55,300 53,418 59,143 50,530
Previously published 54,196 51,619 55,498 49,462
Amount of revision 1,104 1,799 3,645 1,068
Balance on secondary
income:
Revised -22,970 -14,437 -27,368 -29,231
Previously published -22,979 -14,481 -27,420 -29,358
Amount of revision 9 44 52 127
Balance on current
account:
Revised -89,533 -86,110 -87,807 -101,749
Previously published -91,271 -87,897 -91,881 -102,751
Amount of revision 1,738 1,787 4,074 1,002
Balance on capital
account:
Revised -43 -2 -1 (*)
Previously published -43 -2 -1 (*)
Amount of revision 0 0 0 0
Net lending (+) or
net borrowing
(-) from financial-account
transactions:
Revised -113,676 -82,178 -58,459 -42,942
Previously published -113,710 -99,077 -68,860 -45,188
Amount of revision 34 16,899 10,401 2,246
2016
I II III IV
Balance on goods
and services:
Revised -125,261 -122,099 -121,770 -132,871
Previously published -126,079 -123,777 -120,889 -134,048
Amount of revision 818 1,678 -881 1,177
Balance on primary
income:
Revised 45,447 47,543 43,909 56,124
Previously published 38,059 42,746 41,123 51,297
Amount of revision 7,388 4,797 2,786 4,827
Balance on secondary
income:
Revised -32,087 -28,501 -31,465 -31,842
Previously published -31,189 -27,169 -30,504 -31,255
Amount of revision -898 -1,332 -961 -587
Balance on current
account:
Revised -111,901 -103,057 -109,327 -108,589
Previously published -119,210 -108,200 -110,270 -114,006
Amount of revision 7,309 5,143 943 5,417
Balance on capital
account:
Revised -58 0 -1 0
Previously published -58 0 -1 0
Amount of revision 0 0 0 0
Net lending (+) or
net borrowing
(-) from financial
-account
transactions:
Revised -101,609 -17,541 -199,854 -66,073
Previously published -85,363 -42,274 -175,295 -74,753
Amount of revision -16,246 24,733 -24,559 8,680
2011
I II III IV
Balance on goods and
services:
Revised -135,041 -138,842 -134,670 -141,146
Previously published -134,319 -138,879 -133,962 -141,466
Amount of revision -722 37 -708 320
Balance on primary income:
Revised 47,701 48,662 55,165 59,555
Previously published 47,701 48,662 55,165 59,555
Amount of revision 0 0 0 0
Balance on secondary
income:
Revised -28,506 -27,090 -25,287 -26,165
Previously published -28,506 -27,090 -25,287 -26,165
Amount of revision 0 0 0 0
Balance on current account:
Revised -115,847 -117,269 -104,792 -107,755
Previously published -115,124 -117,307 -104,083 -108,076
Amount of revision -723 38 -709 321
Balance on capital account:
Revised -29 -854 -300 -3
Previously published -29 -854 -300 -3
Amount of revision 0 0 0 0
Net lending (+) or
net borrowing
(-) from financial-account
transactions:
Revised -209,742 -138,259 -165,911 -12,085
Previously published -209,210 -138,486 -165,392 -12,548
Amount of revision -532 227 -519 463
2013
I II III IV
Balance on goods
and services:
Revised -119,068 -117,165 -117,425 -107,478
Previously published -119,610 -117,731 -117,070 -107,466
Amount of revision 542 566 -355 -12
Balance on primary
income:
Revised 47,204 50,805 54,259 53,709
Previously published 47,415 51,594 53,331 53,636
Amount of revision -211 -789 928 73
Balance on secondary
income:
Revised -22,441 -24,432 -24,950 -21,821
Previously published -22,443 -24,404 -24,969 -21,826
Amount of revision 2 -28 19 5
Balance on current
account:
Revised -94,304 -90,791 -88,116 -75,590
Previously published -94,637 -90,541 -88,709 -75,656
Amount of revision 333 -250 593 66
Balance on capital
account:
Revised -40 -227 -146 (*)
Previously published -40 -227 -146 (*)
Amount of revision 0 0 0 0
Net lending (+) or
net borrowing
(-) from financial
-account
transactions:
Revised -47,980 -36,060 -141,943 -174,276
Previously published -47,344 -35,871 -144,189 -176,576
Amount of revision -636 -189 2,246 2,300
2015
I II III IV
Balance on goods and
services:
Revised -125,708 -121,473 -127,531 -123,813
Previously published -127,059 -122,980 -126,757 -123,649
Amount of revision 1,351 1,507 -774 -164
Balance on primary income:
Revised 52,378 49,152 49,016 53,062
Previously published 48,375 42,302 42,013 48,272
Amount of revision 4,003 6,850 7,003 4,790
Balance on secondary
income:
Revised -28,270 -24,677 -31,035 -28,865
Previously published -29,345 -25,819 -31,819 -28,133
Amount of revision 1,075 1,142 784 -732
Balance on current
account:
Revised -101,600 -96,999 -109,550 -99,616
Previously published -108,029 -106,496 -116,563 -103,509
Amount of revision 6,429 9,497 7,013 3,893
Balance on capital
account:
Revised -22 -20 -1 0
Previously published -22 -20 -1 0
Amount of revision 0 0 0 0
Net lending (+) or
net borrowing
(-) from financial-account
transactions:
Revised -121,288 -133,654 -36,535 -34,471
Previously published -135,889 -136,663 -40,736 -19,866
Amount of revision 14,601 3,009 4,201 -14,605
2017
I II III IV
Balance on goods
and services:
Revised -134,959 -136,700 -132,791 -147,826
Previously published -137,845 -141,446 -135,265 -153,886
Amount of revision 2,886 4,746 2,474 6,060
Balance on primary
income:
Revised 52,604 48,535 58,222 62,371
Previously published 50,429 50,879 58,495 57,195
Amount of revision 2,175 -2,344 -273 5,176
Balance on secondary
income:
Revised -25,355 -33,672 -28,878 -30,692
Previously published -25,455 -33,175 -24,706 -31,467
Amount of revision 100 -497 -4,172 775
Balance on current
account:
Revised -107,709 -121,837 -103,447 -116,148
Previously published -112,871 -123,742 -101,475 -128,158
Amount of revision 5,162 1,905 -1,972 12,010
Balance on capital
account:
Revised -1 0 24,787 -40
Previously published -1 0 24,868 -20
Amount of revision 0 0 -81 -20
Net lending (+) or
net borrowing
(-) from financial
-account
transactions:
Revised -68,606 -120,111 -111,891 -31,252
Previously published -87,693 -109,942 -121,757 -29,799
Amount of revision 19,087 -10,169 9,866 -1,453
(*) A nonzero value between -$500,000 and $500,000.
By Barbara Berman, Erin (Yiran) Xin, and Douglas B. Weinberg
(1.) Trend GDP is derived using a Hodrick-Prescott filter to
separate out the quarter-to-quarter deviations from the time series
trend. For additional information on trend GDP calculation, see footnote
17 of Ryan Howley, "An Analysis of the Reliability of BEA's
International Transactions Accounts," Survey of Current Business 97
(February 2017).
(2.) For more information on the 2014 comprehensive restructuring,
see Jeffrey R. Bogen, Mai-Chi Hoang, Kristy L. Howell, and Erin M.
Whitaker, "Comprehensive Restructuring and Annual Revision of the
U.S. International Transactions Accounts." Survey 94 (July 2014).
(1.) For a discussion of the revisions to the IIP accounts, see
Elena L. Nguyen and Douglas B. Weinberg, "U.S. Net International
Investment Position: First Quarter 2018, Year 2017, and Annual
Update" in this issue of the Survey of Current Business.
(2.) For more information, see "A Guide to BEA's Direct
Investment Surveys" on BEA's website.
(3.) As well as being a source for ITA direct investment statistics
on financial transactions and income between U.S. parents and their
foreign affiliates, the benchmark survey is also the source of
BEA's statistics on direct investment positions between U.S.
parents and foreign affiliates and on the activities of U.S.
multinational enterprises for 2014. Statistics on positions and the
revisions to these statistics resulting from incorporation of the
benchmark survey data are presented in Elena L. Nguyen and Douglas B.
Weinberg, "U.S. Net International Investment Position: First
Quarter 2018, Year 2017, and Annual Update" in this issue of the
Survey of Current Business. Statistics on the activities of U.S.
multinational enterprises for 2014 are available on BEA's website.
(4.) The net effect of this replacement for years prior to 2010 is
shown in line 3 of ITA Table 2.4 "U.S. International Trade in
Goods, Balance of Payments Adjustments."
(5.) Change in economic ownership is a fundamental concept that
determines whether a transaction is recorded in the ITAs.
(6.) A liability was recorded in the ITAs in a prior period when a
foreign government made advance payments for FMS goods.
(7.) Chapter 15 of the Security Assistance Management Manual,
published by the Defense Security Cooperation Agency, notes that BPC
programs are funded with U.S. government appropriations and may provide
defense articles for the purpose of building the capacity of partner
nation security forces and enhancing their capability to conduct
counterterrorism, counterdrug, and counterinsurgency operations, or to
support U.S. military and stability operations, multilateral peace
operations, and other programs.
(8.) Because the types of goods or services cannot be identified,
BEA records them in government goods and services n.i.e. If they could
be identified, BEA would record them in the appropriate goods or
services account.
(9.) BEA receives data on arrivals from Canada and Mexico from
Statistics Canada and the Bank of Mexico, respectively, and estimates
cruise-related travel separately. For more information on how BEA
calculates its statistics on travel (for all purposes including
education), see "International Transactions Accounts" in U.S.
International Economic Accounts: Concepts and Methods, chapter 10,
paragraphs 10.88-10.95.
(10.) See the press release "International Trade
Administration Announces Suspension of 2017 I-94 Overseas Arrivals Data
Releases."
(11.) Statistics for portfolio investment income and for other
investment income are based partly on resident-nonresident transactions
and positions collected monthly and quarterly on the TIC surveys, as
explained in U.S. International Economic Accounts: Concepts and Methods,
Chapter 10, paragraphs 10.169-10.189.
(12.) Revised data from the following TIC surveys were
incorporated: (1) Aggregate Holdings of Long-Term Securities by U.S. and
Foreign Residents (foreign securities), (2) Report of U.S. Ownership of
Foreign Securities, Including Selected Money Market Instruments, and (3)
Reports by Financial Institutions of Liabilities to, and Claims on,
Foreign Residents by U.S. Residents (claims).
(13.) Revised data from the following TIC surveys were
incorporated: (1) Reports by Financial Institutions of Liabilities to,
and Claims on, Foreign Residents by U.S. Residents (claims) and (2)
Reports of Liabilities to, and Claims on, Unaffiliated Foreign Residents
by U.S. Resident Non-Financial Institutions (claims).
(14.) Revised data from the following TIC surveys were
incorporated: (1) Aggregate Holdings of Long-Term Securities by U.S. and
Foreign Residents (U.S. securities), (2) Foreign-residents'
Holdings of U.S. Securities, including Selected Money Market
Instruments, and (3) Reports by Financial Institutions of Liabilities
to, and Claims on, Foreign Residents by U.S. Residents (liabilities).
(15.) Revised data from the following TIC surveys were
incorporated: (1) Reports by Financial Institutions of Liabilities to,
and Claims on, Foreign Residents by U.S. Residents (liabilities) and (2)
Reports of Liabilities to, and Claims on, Unaffiliated Foreign Residents
by U.S. Resident Non-Financial Institutions (liabilities).
Table A. Revisions to Current-Account and Capital-Account Balances, Net
Lending or Net Borrowing From Financial-Account Transactions, and the
Statistical Discrepancy, 2010-2017
[Billions of dollars]
2010 2011 2012 2013
Balance on current
account (line 101):
Revised -431.3 -445.7 -426.8 -348.8
Previously published -430.7 -444.6 -426.2 -349.5
Amount of revision -0.6 -1.1 -0.6 0.7
Balance on goods
and services (line 102):
Revised -495.2 -549.7 -537.4 -461.1
Previously published -494.7 -548.6 -536.8 -461.9
Amount of revision -0.6 -1.1 -0.6 0.7
Balance on primary
income (line 105):
Revised 168.2 211.1 207.5 206.0
Previously published 168.2 211.1 207.5 206.0
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Balance on secondary
income (line 106):
Revised -104.3 -107.0 -96.9 -93.6
Previously published -104.3 -107.0 -96.9 -93.6
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Balance on capital
account (line 107):
Revised -0.2 -1.2 6.9 -0.4
Previously published -0.2 -1.2 6.9 -0.4
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net lending (+) or net
borrowing (-) from financial
-account transactions (line 109):
Revised -446.4 -526.0 -448.2 -400.3
Previously published -446.4 -525.6 -448.9 -404.0
Amount of revision (*) -0.4 0.7 3.7
Statistical
discrepancy (line 100):
Revised -15.0 -79.2 -28.3 -51.0
Previously published -15.6 -79.9 -29.6 -54.0
Amount of revision 0.6 0.7 1.3 3.0
2014 2015 2016 2017
Balance on current
account (line 101):
Revised -365.2 -407.8 -432.9 -449.1
Previously published -373.8 -434.6 -451.7 -466.2
Amount of revision 8.6 26.8 18.8 17.1
Balance on goods
and services (line 102):
Revised -489.6 -498.5 -502.0 -552.3
Previously published -490.3 -500.4 -504.8 -568.4
Amount of revision 0.8 1.9 2.8 16.2
Balance on primary
income (line 105):
Revised 218.4 203.6 193.0 221.7
Previously published 210.8 181.0 173.2 217.0
Amount of revision 7.6 22.6 19.8 4.7
Balance on secondary
income (line 106):
Revised -94.0 -112.8 -123.9 -118.6
Previously published -94.2 -115.1 -120.1 -114.8
Amount of revision 0.2 2.3 -3.8 -3.8
Balance on capital
account (line 107):
Revised (*) (*) -0.1 24.7
Previously published (*) (*) -0.1 24.8
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1
Net lending (+) or net
borrowing (-) from financial
-account transactions (line 109):
Revised -297.3 -325.9 -385.1 -331.9
Previously published -326.8 -333.2 -377.7 -349.2
Amount of revision 29.6 7.2 -7.4 17.3
Statistical
discrepancy (line 100):
Revised 68.0 81.9 47.9 92.5
Previously published 47.0 101.5 74.1 92.2
Amount of revision 21.0 -19.6 -26.2 0.3
(*) A nonzero value between -$50,000,000 and $50,000,000.
Note. Line numbers refer to ITA table 1.2 on BEA's website.
Table I. Comparison of Revisions From the 2018 Annual Update With
Revisions From Previous Annual Updates
MAR from the MAR from previous Ratio (1)
2018 annual annual updates
update
Balance on current account
Quarterly statistics
2015 (2) 0.149 0.112 1.34
2016 (3) 0.101 0.142 0.71
2017 (4) 0.108 0.153 0.71
Annual statistics
2015 (2) 0.149 0.091 1.64
2016 (3) 0.101 0.120 0.84
2017 (4) 0.088 0.139 0.64
Net lending or net borrowing from financial-account transactions
Quarterly statistics
2015 (2) 0.202 0.457 0.44
2016 (3) 0.398 0.663 0.60
2017 (4) 0.211 0.677 0.31
Annual statistics
2015 (2) 0.040 0.356 0.11
2016 (3) 0.040 0.323 0.12
2017 (4) 0.089 0.386 0.23
MAR Mean absolute revision
(1.) Ratio is MAR from the 2018 annual update divided by MAR from
previous annual updates.
(2.) Revisions to statistics on transactions for 2015 are compared with
revisions in previous third annual updates in 2002-2017.
(3.) Revisions to statistics on transactions for 2016 are compared with
revisions in previous second annual updates in 2001-2017.
(4.) Revisions to statistics on transactions for 2017 are compared with
revisions in previous first annual updates in 2000-2017.
Note. All revisions are computed as a percentage of trend
current-dollar gross domestic product.
Table II. Ratios of the Revisions From the 2018 Annual Update to
Revisions From Previous Annual Updates
[Geometric mean of ratios of MARs]1
Quarterly Annual
statistics statistics
Exports of goods and services 0.94 0.99
and income receipts
Exports of goods 0.51 0.35
Exports of services 0.74 0.77
Primary income receipts 0.94 0.53
Imports of goods and services 0.27 0.23
and income payments
Imports of goods 0.64 0.17
Imports of services 0.53 0.31
Primary income payments 0.29 0.30
Net U.S. acquisition 0.51 0.08
of financial assets
excluding financial derivatives
Net U.S. incurrence 0.38 0.03
of liabilities excluding
financial derivatives
Balance on goods 0.76 0.12
Balance on services 0.44 0.44
Balance on goods 0.68 0.70
and services
Balance on 0.74 0.65
primary income
Balance on 0.61 0.57
secondary income
Balance on 0.87 0.96
current account
Net lending or net 0.44 0.15
borrowing
from financial-account
transactions
Addenda:
Exports of goods and services 1.22 1.32
and income receipts excluding
effects of the 2014 definitional
changes (2)
Imports of goods and services and income 0.49 0.48
payments excluding effects of
the 2014 definitional changes (2)
MARs Mean absolute revisions
(1.) Geometric mean computed over three ratios: (1) ratio of MAR of
statistics for 2017 to MAR from other first annual updates; (2) ratio
of MAR of statistics for 2016 to MAR from other second annual updates;
(3) ratio of MAR of statistics for 2015 to MAR from other third annual
updates.
(2.) See the discussion in the text.
Table B. Revisions to Selected Current-Account Transactions, 2010-2017
[Billions of dollars]
2010 2011 2012 2013
Exports of goods and
services and income
receipts (line 1):
Revised 2,624.0 2,981.5 3,095.0 3,213.0
Previously published 2,624.6 2,982.6 3,095.7 3,212.2
Amount of revision -0.6 -1.1 -0.6 0.7
Improved method (*) -0.4 0.1 1.7
for foreign military
sales
Adjustments to 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
address a problem in
source data on travelers
Improved method for -0.6 -0.7 -0.7 -1.0
military grant programs
Newly available 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
and revised source data
Exports of goods (line 3):
Revised 1,290.3 1,498.9 1,562.6 1,593.7
Previously published 1,290.3 1,499.2 1,562.6 1,592.0
Amount of revision (*) -0.4 0.1 1.7
Improved method (*) -0.4 0.1 1.7
for foreign military sales
Newly available and 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
revised source data
Exports of services (line 13):
Revised 562.8 627.1 655.7 700.5
Previously published 563.3 627.8 656.4 701.5
Amount of revision -0.6 -0.7 -0.7 -1.0
Adjustments to address 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
a problem in source data
on travelers
Improved method for -0.6 -0.7 -0.7 -1.0
military grant programs
Newly available and 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
revised source data
Transport (line 15):
Revised 71.7 79.8 83.9 86.8
Previously published 71.7 79.8 83.9 86.8
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adjustments to address a 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
problem in source data
on travelers
Newly available 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
and revised source data
Travel (for all purposes
including education)
(1) (line 16):
Revised 137.0 150.9 161.6 177.5
Previously published 137.0 150.9 161.6 177.5
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adjustments to address 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
a problem in source
data on travelers
Newly available and 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
revised source data
Government goods and
services n.i.e. (line 22):
Revised 19.2 21.5 22.1 21.9
Previously published 19.8 22.2 22.8 22.8
Amount of revision -0.6 -0.7 -0.7 -1.0
Improved method -0.6 -0.7 -0.7 -1.0
for military grant programs
Newly available and 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
revised source data
Primary income
receipts (line 23):
Revised 680.2 755.9 768.0 792.8
Previously published 680.2 755.9 768.0 792.8
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Direct investment
income receipts (line 25):
Revised 443.0 473.6 464.8 476.2
Previously published 443.0 473.6 464.8 476.2
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Secondary income
receipts (line 30):
Revised 90.8 99.7 108.7 126.0
Previously published 90.8 99.7 108.7 126.0
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Imports of goods
and services
and income payments
(line 31):
Revised 3,055.3 3,427.2 3,521.9 3,561.8
Previously published 3,055.3 3,427.2 3,521.9 3,561.8
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Imports of goods (line 33):
Revised 1,939.0 2,239.9 2,303.7 2,294.2
Previously published 1,939.0 2,239.9 2,303.7 2,294.2
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Imports of services
(line 42):
Revised 409.3 435.8 452.0 461.1
Previously published 409.3 435.8 452.0 461.1
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Primary income
payments (line 52):
Revised 511.9 544.9 560.5 586.8
Previously published 511.9 544.9 560.5 586.8
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Secondary income
payments (line 58):
Revised 195.0 206.7 205.6 219.6
Previously published 195.0 206.7 205.6 219.6
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Balance on current
account (line 101):
Revised -431.3 -445.7 -426.8 -348.8
Previously published -430.7 -444.6 -426.2 -349.5
Amount of revision -0.6 -1.1 -0.6 0.7
Improved method for (*) -0.4 0.1 1.7
foreign military sales
Adjustments to address a 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
problem in source
data on travelers
Improved method for -0.6 -0.7 -0.7 -1.0
military grant programs
Newly available and 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
revised source data
Balance on goods and
services (line 102):
Revised -495.2 -549.7 -537.4 -461.1
Previously published -494.7 -548.6 -536.8 -461.9
Amount of revision -0.6 -1.1 -0.6 0.7
Improved method (*) -0.4 0.1 1.7
for foreign military sales
Adjustments to address 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
a problem in source
data on travelers
Improved method for -0.6 -0.7 -0.7 -1.0
military grant programs
Newly available and 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
revised source data
Balance on primary
income (line 105):
Revised 168.2 211.1 207.5 206.0
Previously published 168.2 211.1 207.5 206.0
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Balance on secondary
income (line 106):
Revised -104.3 -107.0 -96.9 -93.6
Previously published -104.3 -107.0 -96.9 -93.6
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2014 2015 2016 2017
Exports of goods and
services and income
receipts (line 1):
Revised 3,341.8 3,207.3 3,183.8 3,433.2
Previously published 3,333.3 3,173.0 3,157.2 3,408.2
Amount of revision 8.4 34.3 26.5 25.1
Improved method 1.6 0.4 1.2 2.5
for foreign military
sales
Adjustments to 0.0 2.0 2.6 12.9
address a problem in
source data on travelers
Improved method for -0.8 -0.8 -0.9 -0.7
military grant programs
Newly available 7.7 32.7 23.6 10.4
and revised source data
Exports of goods (line 3):
Revised 1,635.6 1,511.4 1,457.0 1,553.4
Previously published 1,634.0 1,510.8 1,455.7 1,550.7
Amount of revision 1.6 0.6 1.3 2.7
Improved method 1.6 0.4 1.2 2.5
for foreign military sales
Newly available and 0.0 0.2 (*) 0.2
revised source data
Exports of services (line 13):
Revised 741.1 755.3 758.9 797.7
Previously published 741.9 753.2 752.4 780.9
Amount of revision -0.8 2.2 6.5 16.8
Adjustments to address 0.0 2.0 2.6 12.9
a problem in source data
on travelers
Improved method for -0.8 -0.8 -0.9 -0.7
military grant programs
Newly available and 0.0 0.9 4.8 4.7
revised source data
Transport (line 15):
Revised 90.7 87.7 84.7 88.6
Previously published 90.7 87.6 84.3 86.5
Amount of revision 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1
Adjustments to address a 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.5
problem in source data
on travelers
Newly available 0.0 -0.2 -0.1 0.6
and revised source data
Travel (for all purposes
including education)
(1) (line 16):
Revised 191.9 206.9 206.9 210.7
Previously published 191.9 205.4 205.9 203.7
Amount of revision 0.0 1.5 1.0 7.1
Adjustments to address 0.0 1.8 2.1 11.4
a problem in source
data on travelers
Newly available and 0.0 -0.2 -1.1 -4.3
revised source data
Government goods and
services n.i.e. (line 22):
Revised 19.7 20.1 18.8 19.3
Previously published 20.5 21.2 18.8 19.2
Amount of revision -0.8 -1.1 (*) 0.2
Improved method -0.8 -0.8 -0.9 -0.7
for military grant programs
Newly available and 0.0 -0.3 0.9 0.9
revised source data
Primary income
receipts (line 23):
Revised 824.5 810.1 830.2 928.1
Previously published 817.3 783.0 814.0 926.9
Amount of revision 7.2 27.1 16.2 1.3
Direct investment
income receipts (line 25):
Revised 482.1 459.9 456.4 504.4
Previously published 474.8 436.9 444.0 507.0
Amount of revision 7.2 23.0 12.4 -2.6
Secondary income
receipts (line 30):
Revised 140.6 130.5 137.8 154.0
Previously published 140.1 126.1 135.2 149.7
Amount of revision 0.5 4.4 2.6 4.3
Imports of goods
and services
and income payments
(line 31):
Revised 3,707.0 3,615.1 3,616.7 3,882.4
Previously published 3,707.1 3,607.6 3,608.9 3,874.4
Amount of revision -0.2 7.5 7.7 7.9
Imports of goods (line 33):
Revised 2,385.5 2,273.2 2,208.0 2,360.9
Previously published 2,385.5 2,272.6 2,208.2 2,361.9
Amount of revision 0.0 0.6 -0.2 -1.1
Imports of services
(line 42):
Revised 480.8 492.0 509.8 542.5
Previously published 480.8 491.7 504.7 538.1
Amount of revision 0.0 0.2 5.2 4.4
Primary income
payments (line 52):
Revised 606.2 606.5 637.2 706.4
Previously published 606.6 602.0 640.8 709.9
Amount of revision -0.4 4.4 -3.6 -3.5
Secondary income
payments (line 58):
Revised 234.6 243.4 261.7 272.6
Previously published 234.3 241.2 255.3 264.5
Amount of revision 0.3 2.2 6.4 8.1
Balance on current
account (line 101):
Revised -365.2 -407.8 -432.9 -449.1
Previously published -373.8 -434.6 -451.7 -466.2
Amount of revision 8.6 26.8 18.8 17.1
Improved method for 1.6 0.4 1.2 2.5
foreign military sales
Adjustments to address a 0.0 2.0 2.6 12.9
problem in source
data on travelers
Improved method for -0.8 -0.8 -0.9 -0.7
military grant programs
Newly available and 7.8 25.2 15.9 2.5
revised source data
Balance on goods and
services (line 102):
Revised -489.6 -498.5 -502.0 -552.3
Previously published -490.3 -500.4 -504.8 -568.4
Amount of revision 0.8 1.9 2.8 16.2
Improved method 1.6 0.4 1.2 2.5
for foreign military sales
Adjustments to address 0.0 2.0 2.6 12.9
a problem in source
data on travelers
Improved method for -0.8 -0.8 -0.9 -0.7
military grant programs
Newly available and 0.0 0.3 -0.2 1.5
revised source data
Balance on primary
income (line 105):
Revised 218.4 203.6 193.0 221.7
Previously published 210.8 181.0 173.2 217.0
Amount of revision 7.6 22.6 19.8 4.7
Balance on secondary
income (line 106):
Revised -94.0 -112.8 -123.9 -118.6
Previously published -94.2 -115.1 -120.1 -114.8
Amount of revision 0.2 2.3 -3.8 -3.8
(*) A nonzero value between -$50,000,000 and $50,000,000.
(1.) All travel purposes include 1) business travel, including
expenditures by border, seasonal, and other short-term workers and 2)
personal travel, including health-related and education-related travel.
Note. Line numbers refer to ITA table 1.2 on BEA's website.
Table C. Revisions to Selected Financial-Account Transactions,
2010-2017
[Billions of dollars]
2010 2011 2012 2013
Net U.S. acquisition
of financial
assets excluding financial
derivatives (net increase in
assets/financial
outflow (+)) (line 61):
Revised 958.7 492.5 176.8 649.6
Previously published 958.7 492.5 176.8 649.6
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Direct investment
assets (line 62):
Revised 349.8 436.6 377.2 392.8
Previously published 349.8 436.6 377.2 392.8
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Portfolio investment
assets (line 65):
Revised 199.6 85.4 248.8 481.3
Previously published 199.6 85.4 248.8 481.3
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Equity and investment
fund shares (line 66):
Revised 79.2 7.0 104.0 287.4
Previously published 79.2 7.0 104.0 287.4
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Debt securities
Short term (line 68):
Revised 62.3 -51.3 -8.6 48.8
Previously published 62.3 -51.3 -8.6 48.8
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Long term (line 69):
Revised 58.2 129.7 153.4 145.1
Previously published 58.2 129.7 153.4 145.1
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other investment
assets (line 70):
Revised 407.4 -45.3 -453.7 -221.4
Previously published 407.4 -45.3 -453.7 -221.4
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Currency and
deposits (line 71):
Revised 150.2 -89.2 -521.9 -127.0
Previously published 150.2 -89.2 -521.9 -127.0
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Loans (line 72):
Revised 251.1 39.8 67.5 -104.3
Previously published 251.1 39.8 67.5 -104.3
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net U.S. incurrence
of liabilities
excluding financial
derivatives (net increase in
liabilities/financial
inflow (+)) (line 84):
Revised 1,391.0 983.5 632.0 1,052.1
Previously published 1,391.0 983.2 632.7 1,055.8
Amount of revision (*) 0.4 -0.7 -3.7
Improved method (*) 0.4 (*) -1.7
for foreign military sales
Newly available 0.0 0.0 -0.6 -2.0
and revised source data
Direct investment
liabilities (line 85):
Revised 264.0 263.5 250.3 288.1
Previously published 264.0 263.5 250.3 288.1
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Portfolio investment
liabilities (line 88):
Revised 820.4 311.6 747.0 512.0
Previously published 820.4 311.6 747.0 512.0
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Equity and investment fund
shares (line 89):
Revised 179.0 123.4 239.1 -62.6
Previously published 179.0 123.4 239.1 -62.6
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Debt securities
Short term (line 91):
Revised -53.0 -86.7 16.3 45.7
Previously published -53.0 -86.7 16.3 45.7
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Long term (line 92):
Revised 694.5 275.0 491.6 529.0
Previously published 694.5 275.0 491.6 529.0
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other investment
liabilities (line 93):
Revised 306.6 408.4 -365.3 251.9
Previously published 306.6 408.0 -364.7 255.7
Amount of revision (*) 0.4 -0.7 -3.7
Improved method for (*) 0.4 (*) -1.7
foreign military sales
Newly available and 0.0 0.0 -0.6 -2.0
revised source data
Currency and deposits
(line 94):
Revised 115.7 475.7 -246.0 202.8
Previously published 115.7 475.7 -246.0 202.8
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Loans (line 95):
Revised 172.3 -84.8 -130.3 41.3
Previously published 172.3 -84.8 -130.3 41.3
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Trade credit and
advances (line 97):
Revised 18.6 17.5 11.0 7.8
Previously published 18.6 17.1 11.6 11.5
Amount of revision (*) 0.4 -0.7 -3.7
Improved method for (*) 0.4 (*) -1.7
foreign military sales
Newly available and 0.0 0.0 -0.6 -2.0
revised source data
Financial derivatives
other than
reserves, net transactions
(line 99):
Revised -14.1 -35.0 7.1 2.2
Previously published -14.1 -35.0 7.1 2.2
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net lending (+) or net
borrowing (-) from
financial-account
transactions (line 109):
Revised -446.4 -526.0 -448.2 -400.3
Previously published -446.4 -525.6 -448.9 -404.0
Amount of revision (*) -0.4 0.7 3.7
Improved method for (*) -0.4 (*) 1.7
foreign military sales
Newly available and 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.0
revised source data
2014 2015 2016 2017
Net U.S. acquisition
of financial
assets excluding financial
derivatives (net increase in
assets/financial
outflow (+)) (line 61):
Revised 866.5 202.2 348.6 1,182.7
Previously published 818.8 194.2 347.9 1,212.4
Amount of revision 47.7 8.0 0.7 -29.6
Direct investment
assets (line 62):
Revised 387.5 307.1 313.0 379.2
Previously published 338.9 311.1 311.6 424.4
Amount of revision 48.7 -4.1 1.4 -45.2
Portfolio investment
assets (line 65):
Revised 582.7 160.4 36.3 586.7
Previously published 582.7 160.4 40.6 589.5
Amount of revision (*) (*) -4.4 -2.8
Equity and investment
fund shares (line 66):
Revised 431.6 196.9 21.7 166.8
Previously published 431.6 196.9 14.4 193.8
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 7.3 -27.0
Debt securities
Short term (line 68):
Revised 11.4 43.0 -27.4 193.9
Previously published 11.4 43.0 -21.1 176.4
Amount of revision (*) (*) -6.3 17.4
Long term (line 69):
Revised 139.7 -79.6 42.0 226.0
Previously published 139.7 -79.6 47.3 219.3
Amount of revision 0.0 (*) -5.3 6.7
Other investment
assets (line 70):
Revised -100.1 -259.0 -2.7 218.5
Previously published -99.2 -271.1 -6.4 200.1
Amount of revision -0.9 12.1 3.7 18.4
Currency and
deposits (line 71):
Revised -160.5 -191.5 -91.3 172.0
Previously published -161.8 -201.6 -89.7 148.7
Amount of revision 1.3 10.2 -1.7 23.2
Loans (line 72):
Revised 66.2 -65.8 87.7 40.9
Previously published 68.4 -67.7 82.3 46.9
Amount of revision -2.2 1.9 5.4 -6.1
Net U.S. incurrence
of liabilities
excluding financial
derivatives (net increase in
liabilities/financial
inflow (+)) (line 84):
Revised 1,109.4 501.1 741.5 1,537.7
Previously published 1,091.4 502.1 741.4 1,587.9
Amount of revision 18.1 -1.0 0.1 -50.2
Improved method -1.6 -0.4 -1.2 -2.4
for foreign military sales
Newly available 19.7 -0.6 1.3 -47.8
and revised source data
Direct investment
liabilities (line 85):
Revised 251.9 509.1 494.5 354.8
Previously published 237.7 506.2 479.4 348.7
Amount of revision 14.2 2.9 15.0 6.2
Portfolio investment
liabilities (line 88):
Revised 697.6 213.9 231.3 799.2
Previously published 703.5 214.0 237.4 837.1
Amount of revision -5.9 -0.1 -6.0 -37.9
Equity and investment fund
shares (line 89):
Revised 154.3 -187.3 -139.7 155.7
Previously published 154.3 -187.3 -141.1 166.8
Amount of revision 0.0 0.0 1.4 -11.1
Debt securities
Short term (line 91):
Revised 22.4 45.8 -12.1 15.9
Previously published 22.3 45.9 -8.6 37.9
Amount of revision 0.1 -0.1 -3.5 -22.1
Long term (line 92):
Revised 520.9 355.4 383.1 627.7
Previously published 526.8 355.4 387.0 632.3
Amount of revision -5.9 (*) -3.9 -4.6
Other investment
liabilities (line 93):
Revised 160.0 -221.9 15.7 383.7
Previously published 150.2 -218.0 24.6 402.2
Amount of revision 9.8 -3.8 -8.9 -18.5
Improved method for -1.6 -0.4 -1.2 -2.4
foreign military sales
Newly available and 11.3 -3.5 -7.7 -16.1
revised source data
Currency and deposits
(line 94):
Revised 61.1 35.1 17.2 217.4
Previously published 59.7 36.2 19.7 236.5
Amount of revision 1.4 -1.1 -2.5 -19.1
Loans (line 95):
Revised 87.9 -265.0 -7.6 150.8
Previously published 77.9 -262.6 -2.3 147.6
Amount of revision 10.0 -2.4 -5.3 3.2
Trade credit and
advances (line 97):
Revised 11.0 8.0 6.1 15.4
Previously published 12.6 8.4 7.3 18.1
Amount of revision -1.6 -0.4 -1.2 -2.7
Improved method for -1.6 -0.4 -1.2 -2.4
foreign military sales
Newly available and 0.0 (*) (*) -0.3
revised source data
Financial derivatives
other than
reserves, net transactions
(line 99):
Revised -54.3 -27.0 7.8 23.1
Previously published -54.3 -25.2 15.8 26.4
Amount of revision -0.1 -1.8 -8.0 -3.3
Net lending (+) or net
borrowing (-) from
financial-account
transactions (line 109):
Revised -297.3 -325.9 -385.1 -331.9
Previously published -326.8 -333.2 -377.7 -349.2
Amount of revision 29.6 7.2 -7.4 17.3
Improved method for 1.6 0.4 1.2 2.4
foreign military sales
Newly available and 28.0 6.8 -8.6 14.9
revised source data
(*) A nonzero value between -$50,000,000 and $50,000,000.
Note. Line numbers refer to ITA table 1.2 on BEA's website.
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