Government Receipts and Expenditures: Third Quarter of 2018.
Ramey, Kelly
Government Receipts and Expenditures: Third Quarter of 2018.
Net government saving, the difference between current receipts and
current expenditures in the federal government and state and local
governments, was -$1,194.1 billion in the third quarter of 2018,
increasing $42.0 billion from -$1236.1 billion in the second quarter of
2018 (charts 1 and 2 and table 1).
"Net lending or net borrowing (-)" is an alternative
measure of the government fiscal position. Net borrowing is the
financing requirement of the government sector, and it is derived as net
government saving plus the consumption of fixed capital and net capital
transfers received less gross investment and net purchases of
nonproduced assets.
Net borrowing was $1,327.3 billion in the third quarter, decreasing
$18.6 billion from $1,345.9 billion in the second quarter (charts 3 and
4 and table 1).
Federal Government
Net federal government saving was -$967.3 billion in the third
quarter, increasing $26.4 billion from -$993.7 billion in the second
quarter (table 2). In the third quarter, both current receipts and
current expenditures accelerated.
Federal government net borrowing was $1,044.2 billion in the third
quarter, decreasing $1.3 billion from $1,045.5 billion in the second
quarter.
* Personal current taxes (line 3) accelerated in the third quarter,
reflecting the pattern of wages.
* Taxes on production and imports (line 4) accelerated in the third
quarter, reflecting an acceleration in customs duties. New tariffs were
introduced on steel, aluminum, and other products in the first and
second quarters.
* Taxes on corporate income (line 5) decelerated in the third
quarter, reflecting a deceleration in corporate profits.
* Contributions for government social insurance (line 7)
accelerated in the third quarter, reflecting the pattern of wages.
* Income receipts on assets (line 8) turned up in the third
quarter, reflecting an acceleration in dividends from Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac and a smaller decrease in remittances paid by the regional
Federal Reserve Banks.
* Current transfer receipts (line 9) accelerated in the third
quarter, reflecting a $2.1 billion ($8.4 billion at an annual rate)
settlement with Wells Fargo and a $4.9 billion ($19.6 billion at an
annual rate) settlement with the Royal Bank of Scotland.
* Government social benefits to persons (line 17) accelerated in
the third quarter, reflecting an acceleration in Medicare benefits.
* Grants-in-aid to state and local governments (line 20) turned up,
reflecting an acceleration in Medicaid grants and an upturn in other
health grants.
* Other current transfer payments to the rest of the world (line
21) turned down in the third quarter; second-quarter transfers were
boosted by economic support payments to Egypt and Israel.
* Interest payments (line 22) accelerated in the third quarter,
reflecting an upturn in the interest on Treasury Inflation Protected
Securities.
* Capital transfer payments (line 33) turned up, reflecting the
payment of $5.0 billion ($20.0 billion at an annual rate) in
disaster-related insurance benefits from the National Flood Insurance
Program for Hurricane Florence.
Source Data and Other Information About Federal Government
Estimates
Estimates of federal government current receipts, current
expenditures, and net federal government saving are based on data from
the federal budget, from the Monthly Treasury Statement and other
reports from the Department of the Treasury, and from other federal
government agencies. Total receipts, total expenditures, and net lending
or net borrowing, which are alternative measures of the federal fiscal
position, are based on these same sources.
Quarterly and annual estimates are available monthly in NIPA table
3.2. Detailed annual estimates of these transactions by component are
available in NIPA tables 3.4-3.8, 3.12, and 3.13, and quarterly
estimates for selected series are available in NIPA underlying detail
tables.
Each year, BEA translates the information in the federal budget
into a NIPA framework. (1) For a historical time series of
reconciliations of the NIPA estimates with the federal budget, see NIPA
table 3.18b.
All the estimates are available in interactive tables on BEA's
website.
(1). See Mark S. Ludwick and Brendan Brankin, "NIPA
Translation of the Fiscal Year 2019 Federal Budget," Survey of
Current Business 98 (March 2018).
State and Local Government
Net state and local government saving was -$226.8 billion in the
third quarter, increasing $15.6 billion from -$242.4 billion in the
second quarter. In the third quarter, current receipts accelerated, and
current expenditures decelerated (table 3).
State and local government net borrowing was $283.1 billion,
decreasing $17.3 billion from $300.4 billion in the second quarter.
* Personal current taxes (line 3) turned up in the third quarter,
reflecting an upturn in personal income taxes.
* Taxes on corporate income (line 5) decelerated in the third
quarter, reflecting a deceleration in corporate profits.
* Federal grants-in-aid (line 9) turned up in the third quarter,
reflecting an acceleration in Medicaid grants and an upturn in other
health grants.
* Government social benefits (line 14) decelerated in the third
quarter, reflecting a deceleration in Medicaid benefits.
* Capital transfer receipts (line 22) turned up in the third
quarter, reflecting $0.8 billion ($3.2 billion at an annual rate) in
disaster-related insurance benefits for Hurricane Florence.
* Gross government investment (line 25) decelerated in the third
quarter, reflecting a deceleration in structures investment.
Source Data and Other Information About Estimates of State and
Local Government
Receipts and Expenditures
The estimates of state and local government current receipts and
expenditures and total receipts and expenditures are mainly based on
compilations of data for state and local government finances. The Census
Bureau produces the primary source data: the census of governments that
is conducted in years that end in a 2 or a 7 and the Government Finances
series of surveys for the other years. In addition, other sources of
Census Bureau data are from the Quarterly Summary of State and Local
Government Tax Revenue and the monthly Value of Construction Put in
Place. Data sources from the Bureau of Labor Statistics include the
Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages and the Employment Cost Index.
Quarterly and annual estimates are available monthly in NIPA table
3.3. Detailed annual estimates of state and local government
transactions by component are available in NIPA tables 3.4-3.8, 3.12,
and 3.13, and quarterly estimates for selected series are available in
NIPA underlying detail tables. For a historical time series of
reconciliations of the NIPA estimates with the Census Bureau data from
Government Finances, see NIPA table 3.19.
Annual estimates of receipts and expenditures of state governments
and of local governments are available in NIPA table 3.20 (state
government receipts and expenditures) and in NIPA table 3.21 (local
government receipts and expenditures). (1)
All the estimates are available in interactive tables on BEA's
website.
(1). Bruce E. Baker, "Receipts and Expenditures of State
Governments and of Local Governments," Survey of Current Business
85 (October 2005): 5-10.
Prepared by Kelly Ramey
Table 1. Net Government Saving and Net Lending or Net Borrowing
(Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates)
Line Level Change from preceding quarter
2018 2017 2018 2018 2018
III IV I II III
1 Current receipts 5,574.1 -22.6 -88.3 47.4 113.6
2 Current 6,768.2 110.6 63.5 83.2 71.6
expenditures
3 Net government -1,194.1 -133.2 -151.7 -35.9 42.0
saving
4 Federal -967.3 -143.1 -166.3 -23.8 26.4
5 State and local -226.8 9.8 14.5 -12.0 15.6
6 Net lending or -1,327.3 920.6 -1,153.4 -46.2 18.6
net borrowing (-)
7 Federal -1,044.2 925.8 -1,164.0 -25.7 1.3
8 State and local -283.1 -5.2 10.6 -20.5 17.3
Table 2. Federal Government Current Receipts and Expenditures
(Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates)
Line Level Change from preceding quarter
2018 2017 2018 2018 2018
III IV I II III
1 Current receipts 3,541.8 -56.7 -105.3 27.9 85.6
2 Current tax receipts 1,970.4 -21.7 -149.2 27.8 33.8
3 Personal current 1,622.8 7.4 -49.4 15.3 23.6
taxes
4 Taxes on production 159.0 1.7 15.6 2.5 7.0
and imports
5 Taxes on corporate 161.7 -31.6 -115.4 9.1 3.6
income
6 Taxes from the rest 27.0 0.8 -0.1 1.0 -0.3
of the world
7 Contributions for 1,348.6 11.0 26.0 8.7 12.4
government social
insurance
8 Income receipts 126.7 -20.0 13.3 -9.6 13.9
on assets
9 Current transfer 105.2 -23.6 7.5 2.9 25.2
receipts
10 Current surplus of -9.1 -2.4 -3.0 -1.8 0.2
government
enterprises
11 Current 4,509.1 86.3 61.0 51.7 59.2
expenditures
12 Consumption 1,041.3 13.2 14.8 15.2 13.4
expenditures
13 National defense 628.6 6.2 8.1 11.8 10.2
14 Nondefense 412.7 7.1 6.5 3.5 3.2
15 Current transfer 2,852.9 17.9 45.5 28.7 24.1
payments
16 Government social 2,211.8 14.5 36.8 16.6 23.0
benefits
17 To persons 2,188.9 13.7 36.5 16.6 23.0
18 To the rest 23.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.1
of the world
19 Other current 641.0 3.3 8.8 12.1 1.0
transfer payments
20 Grants-in-aid to 587.0 -6.1 18.0 -2.6 10.4
state and local
governments
21 To the rest 54.0 9.3 -9.2 14.7 -9.4
of the world
22 Interest payments 555.6 54.1 4.4 9.0 21.1
23 Subsidies 59.4 1.1 -3.6 -1.3 0.7
24 Net federal -967.3 -143.1 -166.3 -23.8 26.4
government saving
25 Social insurance -365.6 -2.5 -7.6 -10.2 -11.2
funds
26 Other -601.7 -140.5 -158.6 -13.7 37.6
Addenda:
27 Total receipts 3,564.7 944.5 -1,105.0 26.1 85.5
28 Current receipts 3,541.8 -56.7 -105.3 27.9 85.6
29 Capital transfer 22.9 1,001.3 -999.7 -1.8 -0.1
receipts
30 Total expenditures 4,608.9 18.7 59.0 51.8 84.2
31 Current 4,509.1 86.3 61.0 51.7 59.2
expenditures
32 Gross government 288.2 3.5 -0.4 2.9 3.1
investment
33 Capital transfer 96.5 -76.2 -0.1 -0.6 24.2
payments
34 Net purchases -0.6 6.7 0.1 -0.2 0.1
of nonproduced
assets
35 Less: Consumption 284.3 1.5 1.6 2.1 2.3
of fixed capital
36 Net lending or -1,044.2 925.8 -1,164.0 -25.7 1.3
net borrowing (-)
Table 3. State and Local Government Current Receipts and Expenditures
(Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates)
Line Level Change from preceding quarter
2018 2017 2018 2018 2018
III IV I II III
1 Current receipts 2,619.3 28.0 35.0 16.8 38.5
2 Current tax receipts 1,786.6 31.8 14.3 17.0 25.5
3 Personal current 439.7 15.0 8.5 -10.0 3.6
taxes
4 Taxes on production 1,276.6 14.6 12.3 13.0 15.2
and imports
5 Taxes on corporate 70.3 2.1 -6.3 13.9 6.7
income
6 Contributions for 21.9 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
government social
insurance
7 Income receipts 87.7 0.6 -0.2 0.6 0.5
on assets
8 Current transfer 726.9 -4.3 20.1 -0.7 12.4
receipts
9 Federal 587.0 -6.1 18.0 -2.6 10.4
grants-in-aid
10 Other 139.9 1.7 2.2 2.0 1.9
11 Current surplus of -3.9 -0.4 0.3 -0.3 -0.3
government
enterprises
12 Current 2,846.1 18.2 20.5 28.9 22.8
expenditures
13 Consumption 1,822.6 20.5 16.4 18.7 19.5
expenditures
14 Government social 744.9 -2.6 7.8 13.1 5.3
benefits
15 Interest payments 278.0 0.4 -3.7 -3.0 -2.0
16 Subsidies 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17 Net state and -226.8 9.8 14.5 -12.0 15.6
local government
saving
18 Social insurance funds 4.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
19 Other -231.3 9.7 14.4 -12.2 15.6
Addenda:
20 Total receipts 2,696.1 15.5 35.2 16.6 45.9
21 Current receipts 2,619.3 28.0 35.0 16.8 38.5
22 Capital transfer 76.8 -12.5 0.1 -0.2 7.4
receipts
23 Total expenditures 2,979.2 20.7 24.7 37.1 28.5
24 Current 2,846.1 18.2 20.5 28.9 22.8
expenditures
25 Gross government 398.6 9.4 7.1 12.9 8.1
investment
26 Capital transfer -- -- -- -- --
payments
27 Net purchases of 14.6 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3
nonproduced assets
28 Less: Consumption 280.1 2.1 3.3 4.8 2.8
of fixed capital
29 Net lending or -283.1 -5.2 10.6 -20.5 17.3
net borrowing (-)
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