Statehood experience, legal traditions, and climate change policies.
Ang, James B. ; Fredriksson, Per G.
Statehood experience, legal traditions, and climate change policies.
I. INTRODUCTION
Climate change has severe impacts on developing countries,
affecting physical systems (rivers, lakes, floods, droughts, coastal
erosion, and sea-level effects), biological systems (terrestrial and
marine ecosystems), and human systems (health and livelihoods, and food
production) (IPCC 2014). The literature explaining the pattern of
policies addressing climate change and other environmental problems
tends to emphasize relatively modern determinants, including the current
levels of corruption, democracy, recent political instability, various
political institutions, and trade policy. (1) However, history should
not be ignored when we attempt to understand present-day policymaking.
Is it possible that history going as far back as 1 AD still matters
significantly for today's environmental policy outcomes? In this
article, we study the joint effect of long-term statehood experience and
legal heritage on climate change policy outcomes in former colonies. To
the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to merge these two
strands of the literature. Moreover, it is the first to investigate the
role of statehood history or state capacity for any type of
environmental policymaking.
Long-term historical processes, including the development of
agriculture, urbanization, the use of money as a medium of exchange,
taxation, and experience with government administration all build stocks
of human capital and experience through learning-by-doing (Acemoglu.
GarciaJimeno, and Robinson 2015; Burkett. Humblet, and Putterman 1999;
Putterman 2000). (2) The accumulation of statehood experience influences
a country's ability to consolidate and centralize power, and
creates a capable bureaucracy which provides overall "state
capacity" (Besley, Ilzetzki, and Persson 2013; Besley and Persson
2009, 2011; Gennaioli and Rainer 2007; Michalopoulos and Papaioannou
2014). Besley and Persson (2011) present a theory predicting that state
(fiscal) capacity and good institutions (legal capacity) are
complements, which is supported by empirical evidence provided by
Michalopoulos and Papaioannou (2014).
The form of legal system utilized has important implications for
regulatory, judicial, financial, and economic outcomes; the literature
has primarily focused on the implications of French civil law versus
British common law for financial development and regulation (see. e.g..
Botero et al. 2004; La Porta et al. 1997, 1998; La Porta,
Lopez-de-Silanes, and Shleifer 2008). The resulting Legal Origins Theory
(LOT) developed by La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, and Shleifer (2008)
argues that British common law allocates more weight to private markets,
the courts, and decentralized policymaking, while French civil law gives
a strong role to the centralized state. Recent empirical work based on
LOT finds that common law countries set weaker climate change policies
than civil law countries (Fredriksson and Wollscheid 2015).
So far, the literature on statehood experience has developed
parallel to the literature on legal origins. We remedy this gap in the
literature. We argue that the implications of receiving common law
versus civil law should be particularly important in countries with a
greater accumulated history of statehood at the time of colonization. In
those countries, state (administrative) capacity was further developed,
political power tended to be more centralized, the preexisting
accountability of local leaders was greater, and the ability to receive
and implement the transplanted legal framework from the colonizer was
therefore enhanced. In contrast, areas without much statehood experience
did not have a strong bureaucracy or state capacity, and the transfer of
the colonizer's legal approach was less complete. Our hypothesis is
consequently that a longer history of statehood at the time of
colonization serves to increase the differential impact of common and
civil law legal origins on the stringency of modern climate change
policies, as well as on other environmental policies.
Using a cross-section of up to 78 former colonies, our results lend
support to this hypothesis. Our estimates suggest that the difference
between common law and civil law countries in modern climate change
policies is conditional on statehood experience, measured by the length
of state history from 1 to 1800 AD. In particular, the divergence in
modern climate change policy stringency due to legal origin (common law
vs. civil law) is inflated by the length of statehood experience.
Moreover, legal origin has no effect in countries which, at or around
the time of colonization, had no statehood experience. We believe these
are novel findings in the literature. Moreover, our findings apply more
generally to several other measures of environmental policy outcomes.
These findings give a more fine-tuned picture of the role of legal
origin compared to the previous literature on regulation in previous
colonies. Our analysis helps improve our understanding of the long-term
determinants of climate change policies and other environmental
policies, as well as regulatory outcomes in general. Our result suggests
that it is important to take the accumulated statehood experience into
account when discussing the role of legal origin. The analysis may
facilitate the prediction of which countries will tend to become leaders
and laggards in the climate change policy formation process. An improved
understanding of the institutional barriers created by legal and state
history may also improve capacity building efforts, as well as the
formulation of mechanisms and designs within international climate
change treaties. Resource transfers may more easily be targeted toward
their most productive uses.
The article proceeds as follows. The next section reviews some of
the related literature. Section III provides a discussion on the
empirical specification, estimation issues, and data. The empirical
estimates are presented and analyzed in Section IV. Several robustness
checks are also performed, including the use of an alternative dependent
variable. The last section summarizes and concludes.
II. RELATED LITERATURE AND HYPOTHESIS SPECIFICATION
The state is one of the most important forms of institutional
development. The creation of nation states has led to a number of
fundamental and far-reaching changes in human history. In recent years,
statehood experience (sometimes denoted "state antiquity" in
the literature) has gained considerable attention from the literature on
long-run comparative economic development, helping to uncover the
reasons for low income levels (Putterman 2008; Putterman and Weil 2010),
bad institutions (Ang 2013b), unequal distribution of income (Putterman
and Weil 2010), and financial underdevelopment (Ang 2013a). The results
of these studies generally suggest that a longer state history is
associated with more favorable economic outcomes. A longer history of
statehood often implies a stronger state capacity in the form of legal
and fiscal capabilities (Becerra, Cavallo, and Scartascini 2012; Besley
and Persson 2009, 2011). In particular, Michalopoulos and Papaioannou
(2013) show that precolonial ethnic political centralization is strongly
related to contemporary regional development in Africa. However, despite
the above contributions, how statehood experience is related to
environmental regulations has so far not been considered in the
literature.
A large literature has investigated the implications of common law
and civil law for modern economic and legal institutions, for example,
for the regulation of firm entry and labor; degree of judicial
independence; formalism of judicial procedures; securities, company, and
bankruptcy laws; and government ownership of banks (Botero et al. 2004;
Djankov et al. 2002, 2003; La Porta et al. 1997, 1998; La Porta,
Lopez-de-Silanes, and Shleifer 2008). These institutions in turn have
important implications for economic outcomes, for example, unemployment
and labor participation rates, corruption and the share of the
unofficial economy, property rights, stock market development, and
private credit. While legal systems were transplanted in a nonvoluntary
fashion to the colonies (David 1985; McNeill and McNeill 2003), legal
philosophies are highly persistent even if domestic laws subsequently
evolved in the recipient countries.
La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, and Shleifer (2008) present LOT which
argues that British common law gives more weight to private markets and
the courts, while civil law assigns an important role to the state. (3)
Botero et al. (2004) suggest that countries with different legal origins
essentially employ alternative institutional technologies for the social
control of business activity (see also Glaeser and Shleifer 2002). The
legacies of legal origins exhibit a high degree of institutional
persistence and path dependency where historical, economic, political,
social, and cultural features have a lasting impact (Acemoglu, Johnson,
and Robinson 2001; Greif 1998; Hodgson 1998; Marchand 2016; North 2006).
Four implications of LOT are relevant for climate change policies.
First, common law favors markets and judicial resolutions, not
government regulation as emphasized by civil law. (4) Second,
decentralized systems used in common countries are less prone to take
transboundary pollution externalities into account compared to
centralized systems emerging in civil law countries (see Sigman 2014).
Third, as common law respects private property relatively more, climate
policies affecting capital owners are likely to be weaker in those
countries. Fourth, while common law may be more adaptable to new
situations as jurisprudence is more important as a source of law (Levine
2005; Ponzetto and Fernandez 2008), civil law country governments can
more easily address emerging social problems due to a larger local
bureaucracy (Mulligan and Shleifer 2005). Overall, most of the above
arguments support the hypothesis that common law should yield weaker
climate change policies.
Fredriksson and Wollscheid (2015) report that former colonies with
a common law legal heritage indeed set weaker climate change policies
than civil law countries. Oto-Peralias and Romero-Avila (2014) show that
the effect of legal origins on several financial outcomes and business
regulations is conditional on initial conditions (population density in
year 1500 AD). In particular, the effect of common law is negatively
related to precolonial population density, that is, the outcome is
closer to civil law countries when density is high. Berkowitz. Pistor,
and Richard (2003) argue that it does not matter significantly which
form of law a country uses for it to be effective. According to them,
what matters is whether the transplanted law was developed domestically,
if it was received through colonization but adapted to local conditions,
or whether the local population already had some familiarity with its
legal principles. Under these circumstances, the demand for the law
would be high and it would be used effectively to enhance economic
development.
Gennaioli and Rainer (2007) discuss the importance of precolonial
institutions in Africa, especially political centralization, for
modernization programs during the colonial and the postcolonial periods.
Policy coordination and implementation were facilitated by the existence
of a precolonial hierarchy of chiefs in areas with centralized ethnic
groups (see Schapera 1970). Bargaining with senior traditional chiefs in
these areas resulted in faster adoption of European policies than in
areas with high political fragmentation. Preexisting accountability of
local leaders in traditionally centralized systems was the mechanism
which facilitated reforms. In fragmented areas, local chiefs pursued
their own distorted policies, leading to lower rates of modernization
and even tyranny (Tosh 1978). Gennaioli and Rainer (2007) argue that
institutions emerging in the African colonies were heavily influenced by
the existing institutions found by the colonizers (see also Roberts and
Mann 1991).
Michalopoulos and Papaioannou (2013) document a strong association
between African precolonial ethnic political centralization and modern
regional development. Michalopoulos and Papaioannou (2013) argue that
state capacity and legal capacity are complements in Africa, supporting
the prediction of Besley and Persson (2011). In particular, they find
that differences in national institutions (rule of law and corruption)
yield differences in regional development among (Southern African)
countries with high levels of state capacity. However, in (Western
African) countries with low state capacity, no correlation is detected
between national institutions and regional development. (5) These
findings indicate that differences in the adoption of a colonizer's
legal system across centralized and fragmented areas should similarly be
determined by the level of statehood at the time of colonization. Path
dependency and institutional persistence (see, e.g., Greif 1998;
Marchand 2016; North 2006) have preserved or inflated the resulting
differences across legal origins over time.
Our hypothesis is thus that the transfer of legal origin should be
more thorough and deep-rooted, with a greater impact today, in countries
which at the time of colonization had a longer history of statehood
experience. These colonies had a more developed legal and administrative
bureaucracy, and hence were in a better position to facilitate the
absorption of the legal philosophies. Therefore, the difference in the
stringency of climate change policies between common and civil law
countries should be greater in former colonies with a more extensive
statehood experience. The divergence will increase due to a longer
statehood history both because the antiregulation stance of common law
will be more deeply embedded, and because the pro-regulation perspective
of civil law becomes more deeply rooted in the society. Our hypothesis
appears novel, as the previous literature has not investigated the
regulatory effects of the absorption of legal origins conditional on
state history, political centralization, or/and other forms of state
capacity.
III. EMPIRICAL APPROACH
A. Regression Model
The following model is regressed to investigate how climate change
policy is related to statehood history and the legal tradition of a
country:
(1) C[C.sup.policy.sub.i] = [alpha] + [beta][State.sub.i] +
[[gamma].sub.1] Common Law L[O.sub.i] + [[gamma].sub.2]Mixed Law
L[O.sub.i] + [[delta].sub.1] State i x Common Law L[O.sub.i] +
[[delta].sub.2][State.sub.i] x Mixed Law L[O.sub.i] +
[cv'.sub.i][theta] + [[epsilon].sub.i]
Where C[C.sup.policy] is an index of climate change policy, State
is a measure of statehood experience covering the period 1-1800 AD.
Common Law LO is a dummy variable for countries classified as having a
British common law tradition. Mixed Law LO is a dummy variable for
countries classified as having a mixed (i.e.. a combination of common
and civil) law traditions, cv' is a set of control variables
included in regressions to allow for the influence of some geographic
and other effects, and e is an unobserved error term. "Other legal
origins" is the excluded group, which includes 39 French and 3
German civil law countries.
Mixed legal tradition refers to those jurisdictions that have
inherited elements of both common law and civil law. For instance. South
Africa and Sri Lanka are coded as jurisdictions having a mixed legal
tradition as they were initially colonized by the Netherlands and hence
had inherited some form of civil law tradition. However, this legal
system was partially replaced with common law when they were
subsequently conquered by England (Klerman et al. 2011). Importantly,
the mixed legal heritage arose due to exogenously determined events from
the colonies' perspectives.
As discussed in the previous section, our main variable of interest
is the interaction term State X Common Law LO. The interaction term is
expected to carry a negative sign due to the proposition that, relative
to civil law countries, common law countries equipped with stronger
state capacity impose less stringent climate change rules and
regulations.
It is important to highlight that our estimations include only
former colonies, which are not Organization for Economic Cooperation and
Development members. This consideration is relevant because colonizers
typically imposed a system of law upon their colonies. The legal
structures imposed on former colonies under colonialism are therefore
exogenously determined. By contrast, development of the legal systems in
the origin countries, such as England, France, and Germany, was
influenced by their own economic, cultural, and political factors, and
hence is endogenously determined.
Countries which adopted foreign legal systems voluntarily, such as
Ethiopia, Japan, Thailand, and Turkey, present similar endogeneity
issues as they adopted a legal system, primarily French and German,
which was deemed favorable for improving their economic conditions.
Hence, a major advantage associated with the use of only former colonies
in our analysis is that the exogenous nature of legal systems
transplanted by colonialism enables us to interpret our estimates as
reflecting the causal impact of legal tradition on climate policies
(Klerman et al. 2011; La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, and Shleifer 2008).
B. Data
Climate Change Policy Index (C[C.sup.policy]). We use the Climate
Change Cooperation Index (C3-I) of Bernauer and Bohmelt (2013) as our
measure of climate change policy strictness. The C3-I provides
times-series cross-section data for up to 172 countries over the period
1996-2008. The index consists of a policy and an emissions component.
The policy component, which is used as our main measure of climate
change policy, is the aggregate of the following subcomponents: (1)
whether a country signed the United Nations Framework Convention on
Climate Change (UNFCCC) and how soon this was done; (2) whether a
country signed the Kyoto Protocol and how soon this was done; (3)
whether a country submitted the latest national climate report and if
this was done on time; and (4) how often a country made financial
contributions to the UNFCCC on time over the period 1996-2008. These
four subcomponents are summed and an average value of the climate policy
index (C[C.sup.policy]) is obtained for each country.
State History (State). We use the latest version (version 3.1) of
the state history data assembled by Putterman (2004), who provides state
antiquity data covering 39 half centuries from 1 AD to 1950 AD for 151
countries. This index of state history gives a score from 0 to 50,
reflecting: (1) the presence of a government above the tribal level (1
point if yes, 0 points if no); (2) whether this government is foreign or
locally based (1 point if locally based, 0.5 points if foreign [i.e.,
the country is a colony], 0.75 if in between [a local government with
substantial foreign oversight]); and (3) the proportion of the current
territory covered by this government (1 point if over 50%, 0.75 points
if between 25% and 50%, 0.5 points if between 10% and 25%, and 0.3
points if less than 10%).
To illustrate, state history (State) for the 18 centuries to 1800
AD is calculated as follows:
(2) [State.sub.i] = ][[SIGMA].sup.36.sub.t=1] [(1.05).sup.1-t] x
[S.sub.i,t]]/[[[SIGMA].sup.36.sub.t=1] [(1.05).sup.1- t] x 50]
where [S.sub.i,t] is the state presence for country i for the
50-year period t (see Putterman and Weil 2010). The scores on the three
questions were multiplied by one another and by 50, so that for a given
50-year period, a country has a score of 50 if it was an autonomous
nation, 0 if it had no government above the tribal level, 25 if the
entire territory was ruled by a foreign country, and so on. Appendix B
provides more details on the construction of State and several examples.
A 5% discount rate is applied to each of the half centuries so that less
importance is attached to states formed in the more distant past. Our
estimates are not sensitive to the use of alternative depreciation rates
ranging from 0% to 20%. This approach of measuring state antiquity is
broadly consistent with Putterman (2008), Putterman and Weil (2010), and
more recently, Ang (2013a, 2013b). The index is converted to a scale
from 0 to 1 where higher values reflect the presence of a longer state
history. Figure 1 shows the dispersion of State across the world for all
available countries in the Putterman dataset.
Although data on state history are available up to 1950 AD, we
measure it only up to 1800 AD--the period in which colonialism reached
its peak. Doing so not only preempts the issue of reverse causality from
climate policy to state capacity, but the period considered is also more
in tandem with the timing when legal systems were imposed on colonies.
In the robustness checks, state experiences accumulated up to 1500 and
1650 AD are also considered in order to check if the results are driven
by the period chosen.
Legal Origins (LO). The legal tradition of company law or the
commercial code for each country is classified into British common
(Common Law LO) or Mixed (Mixed Law LO), with civil law as the excluded
category, using binary variables. To do this, we follow the legal
tradition classification of Klerman et al. (2011). The advantage of
using this classification, as opposed to the more traditional
classification approach of La Porta et al. (1998), is that it enables us
to identify colonies which were influenced by both common law and civil
law legal structures (Mixed), which may have some bearing on the
results. Although Klerman et al. (2011) are legal scholars, who are
expected to have detailed insights into countries' legal histories,
we also consider the more widely adopted legal system classification of
La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, and Shleifer (2008) in the robustness
analysis.
After assembling the various sources of data, 78 observations
remain. The sample size is mainly constrained by the inclusion only of
former colonies in the analysis. Table A2 provides a list of these
countries, including legal origin and values of the State measure. Table
1 provides the summary statistics for the key variables used in the
estimations.
A simple comparison between common law and civil law countries with
similar levels of State, such as Malaysia and Nigeria (common law; State
= 0.585 and 0.544; C[C.sup.policy] = 36.923 and 30.082, respectively)
versus Armenia and Tajikistan (civil law; State = 0.561 and 0.524;
C[C.sup.policy] = 49.279 and 53.267, respectively) indicates that common
law countries tend to have weaker climate change policies. However,
countries with no statehood experience in 1800 AD (State = 0.00) such as
Zambia (common law; C[C.sup.policy] = 25.521) and Gabon (civil law;
C[C.sup.policy] = 28.869) exhibit only a small difference in
C[C.sup.policy].
Figure 2 shows the overall association between climate change
policy index and statehood experience. Figure 3 exhibits the various
relationships between our climate change policy index and statehood
experience across different types of legal tradition. Consistent with
our prediction, these diagrams provide preliminary evidence that State
and C[C.sup.policy] are negatively correlated in countries that have the
common law legal system. There is, however, no clear relationship
between these variables for countries with "mixed" legal
traditions.
However, it is necessary to check whether there is any difference
in outcomes in colonies that did not have any statehood experience in
1800 AD. In this connection, it is worth highlighting that the intercept
values of the regression models are quite similar in all three
subsamples. This implies that countries which lacked any statehood
experience in 1800 AD are likely to end up adopting more or less the
same level of stringency in climate change policies. This empirical
observation reinforces our proposition that how each type of legal
tradition influences climate change policies depends crucially on
statehood experience. To confirm this visual inspection, we perform an F
test on the equality of the intercept coefficients for the models that
include common law countries only and civil law countries only (their
respective intercept coefficients are 36.288 and 30.102). The
test-statistic obtained from the nested regression model is 2.590 (p =
0.113), suggesting that the intercept values are not statistically
different.
IV. RESULTS
A. Main Findings
The estimation results of Equation (1) are presented in Table 2. We
consider several alternative specifications in which the main covariates
are entered with different combinations in the regressions to ensure
that the results are not driven by any particular model specification.
In particular, column 1 considers only the effect of statehood whereas
column 2 includes only the legal origin dummies. We do not find any
evidence in support of the notion that the variation in climate change
policy across countries can be solely accounted for by differences in
statehood or legal traditions.
Finally, the last column in Table 2 provides the full specification
by adding common and mixed legal tradition and their interactions with
state history. This complete specification will be used as our baseline
model for robustness checks of the results. The results indicate that
the interaction between statehood and the common law dummy is
significantly correlated with climate change policy with the expected
negative sign. This correlation is found to be statistically significant
at the 1% level. Thus, the results suggest that a longer history of
statehood experience at the time of colonization inflates the difference
between civil law and common law countries' stringency of climate
change policy. The effects are economically meaningful.
The results in column 3 suggest that at the mean value of State,
the presence of common law legal origin is associated with a change in
C[C.sup.policy] by (6.186-0.32x28.069=) -2.796, equal to a decline by
0.26 standard deviation (SO). At 1 SD above the mean of State (0.58),
the marginal change in C[C.sup.policy] equals -10.09, equivalent to 0.95
SD. All other things being equal, this is equivalent to switching policy
from the one in Gambia (C[C.sup.policy] = 33.53) to the one in
Bangladesh (C[C.sup.policy] = 23.44). This may help explain why common
law country Sudan, which had a relatively extensive state experience in
1800 AD (State = 0.703; 2.20 S D above the mean), has C[C.sup.policy] =
21.43 (1.31 SD below the mean).
Statehood experience is found to be significantly correlated with
climate change policy, with a positive sign consistent with our
prediction. We also find that while the mixed legal system dummy
variable is statistically insignificant, its interaction with statehood
is weakly significant in differentiating the variation in climate change
policy observed across countries. On the whole, the results presented in
Table 2 lend some initial (strong) support to our hypothesis that the
stringency of climate change policy can be predicted by the strength of
the interaction between statehood and common law legal heritage.
Figure 4 shows the partial regression line for the correlation
between climate change policy and the interaction between state
experience and common law system, while controlling for the influence of
other variations stated in Equation (1). Evidently, the partial
regression line shows a strong negative correlation between the
variables, thus reinforcing the findings in Table 2.
B. Controlling for Other Effects
To ensure that the above results are not confounded by the
influence of some other effects and that the early advantage conferred
by statehood is not proxying some forms of geographic characteristics,
we include several control variables in the regressions and report the
results in Table 3. The nongeographic variables include manufacturing
output ratio, per capita real income, democratic capital, two indices of
institutional quality, and an index of ethnolinguistic
fractionalization. Controlling for these effects is necessary because
they may be correlated with statehood, legal origins, and the outcome
variable. (6) Geographic measures that have been argued to be
potentially influential for economic outcomes including latitude,
landlockedness, mean elevation, distance to the nearest coast or river,
and precipitation. These are also controlled for in the regressions.
Definitions and sources of these variables are given in Appendix A.
Columns 1 and 2 add the contemporary measures individually. Column
3 includes democratic capital stock. Column 4 controls for the effects
of institutions (control of corruption and political stability), column
5 controls for ethnolinguistic fractionalization, and column 6 includes
some additional effects of geography. The last column includes all
control variables simultaneously. It is evident that the coefficients of
our core variable of interest, State X Common Law LO, vary only slightly
from the baseline estimate reported in the last column of Table 2 when
the effects of manufacturing output, democratic capital (discounted
history of democracy), ethnolinguistic fragmentation, and geography are
allowed for in the regressions (columns 1, 3, 5, and 6). In these
models, the effect of State X Common Law LO remains precisely estimated
and is at least significant at the 5% significance level.
In absolute terms, the coefficient of State X Common Law LO falls
to 20.88 when per capita income is included as a control variable
(column 2). This result is not surprising given that prior studies have
shown that state history and climate change policy are both
significantly correlated with economic development. Similar findings are
obtained when two measures of institutional quality are included as
additional control variables in column 4. Nevertheless, the significant
effect of State X Common Law LO prevails even after we control for the
effect of income level or institutions.
In column 7, we add all control variables jointly into the
specification. We find that State X Common Law LO continue to exert a
strong explanatory power on climate change policy. This effect is found
to be significant at the 5% level.
C. Alternative Statehood Periods
Next, we consider several alternative statehood periods to shed
further light on the results. The estimations here include all the
geographic controls used earlier, and are reported in Table 4. Columns 1
and 3 consider statehood only up to 1500 and 1650 AD, respectively. This
is done to ensure that our results are not driven by states formed
during the European colonial period since the sixteenth century.
Interestingly, the results indicate that the absolute size of the
coefficient on State X Common Law LO declines when the alternative dates
are used, rather than the period 1-1800 AD as done previously in Tables
2 and 3. In particular, the coefficient sizes decline by 4% when
statehood up to 1650 AD is considered, and by 8% when statehood up to
1500 AD is used (the estimates are benchmarked against column 6 of Table
3, which included the geographic controls). These findings imply that a
longer statehood confers a stronger state capacity, which enables legal
philosophies to develop deeper roots in society and the legal approach
used has a greater policy impact. Importantly, the statistical
significance of the State X Common Law LO interaction remains largely
intact, suggesting that our main findings are unlikely to be driven by
the formation of states due to the Western colonization.
To ensure that the results are not driven by the exclusion of the
remaining statehood period, we also add statehood 1501-1800 AD to the
model in column 1 and statehood 1651-1800 AD to the specification in
model 3. As shown in the results reported in columns 2 and 4,
respectively, we obtain very similar findings.
In column 5, we measure statehood experience by considering only
the presence of states for the period 175 1-1800 AD. Doing so enables us
to check whether it is the long-term statehood experience or the state
presence at the peak of colonialism that matters. Interestingly, the
estimates show that climate change policy strictness is unrelated to the
state presence during this period. This finding therefore provides
further credence to our proposition that the ability of a country to
implement the legal philosophies transplanted by its colonial powers
depends on the length of its statehood experience.
The results in column 6, which uses statehood from 1 to 1750 AD,
confirm our previous finding that the length of statehood matters. In
column 7, we show the results in column 5 are unchanged when state
history up to 1750 AD is controlled for.
D. Further Robustness Checks
Some further sensitivity checks are in order, and the results are
reported in Table 5. First, we use the legal tradition classification of
La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, and Shleifer (2008) to check if our results
are robust to a coding method that is more widely used in the
literature. The key difference between these two coding approaches
relates to the classification of some jurisdictions as "mixed"
by Klerman et al. (201 1), which is not done by La Porta,
Lopez-de-Silanes, and Shleifer (2008). Consequently, Mixed Law LO and
State X Mixed Law LO are excluded from the regression for this
sensitivity check. In our sample of 78 countries, only nine
classifications are different. In the study by Klerman et al. (201 1),
eight of these countries (i.e., Botswana, Cyprus, Guyana, Israel,
Lesotho, South Africa, Sri Lanka, and Zimbabwe) are classified as having
a mixed system and one (i.e., Swaziland) as having adopted the French
legal system, whereas La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, and Shleifer (2008)
treat all of them as having British common law tradition. Hence, in
principle, we should not expect much variation in the results as the
common law dummy variables based on these two different coding
procedures yield a correlation coefficient of 0.78. This conjecture is
confirmed in the estimate reported in column 1.
We include continent fixed effects in column 2 in order to ensure
that the results are not being spuriously driven by unobserved
time-invariant region-specific characteristics. Moreover, countries
within the same continents tend to have similar colonization history and
state performance, and these arbitrary correlations may bias our
results. To address this concern, standard errors are clustered by
continent to allow for these patterns within but not across continents.
That is, the observations are assumed to be independent across
continents but not within continents. The estimates in column 2,
however, remain largely insensitive to this consideration.
Next, our results may be influenced by the presence of some
influential observations such as Fiji, Korea, and Uzbekistan. As there
is no compelling reason to exclude them from the estimations, we perform
a robust regression analysis, which is a form of weighted regression
technique that takes into account the presence of extreme data points
(see, e.g.. Andersen 2008). The results reported in column 3 indicate
that our main findings prevail. We have also tried to separately exclude
the low statehood experience outlier (i.e., Fiji) and the two high
statehood experience outliers (i.e., South Korea and Uzbekistan) from
the estimations, and the coefficients of interest remain significant at
the 5% level. When all three influential observations are removed, the
coefficient of interest is still significant at the 10% level. The
additional results are not reported to conserve space (available upon
request).
Additionally, our results may potentially be driven by the failure
to control for the initial conditions of colonization. In particular,
civil law countries were previously colonized mainly by France,
Portugal, and Spain whereas common law countries by Great Britain. These
countries developed different colonial models, based on differentials in
endowment factors in the colonies, which had significant bearing on
settlement decisions, institutional building (inclusive or exclusive),
and consequently the legacies they left in the postcolonialism era (see
also Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson 2001; Sokoloff and Engerman 2000).
For instance, the Spanish colonizers mostly settled in the most
politically and economically advanced regions (i.e., those with older
states), whereas the British colonizers did largely the opposite.
Consequently, the civil law variable may be a proxy for endowment
factors in precolonial areas such as the statehood experience. In this
connection, we do not find this conjecture supported by our data, given
that statehood experience and legal origins are only weakly related (the
correlation is only 0.15 between State and French civil law legal origin
dummy).
Nevertheless, we cannot rule out the possibility that significantly
different mean values of State exist between civil law and common law
countries, thus reflecting the fact that endowments shape colonial
institutional building. That is, if countries with a civil law tradition
indeed have longer statehood experience than those with a common law
origin due to the pursuit of different colonization strategy, then what
we find would not reflect the effect of legal origins conditional upon
the level of statehood experience. but rather the fact that statehood
experience is longer in civil law countries due to different
colonization strategy. We address this concern in the following ways.
First, in order to compare the mean values of State between civil
law and common law countries, we perform the two-group mean-comparison
test. This is essentially a t test designed to compare means of the same
variable between two groups. When the independent variable is chosen to
be common law so that the two groups are common law (N = 24) and
non-common law (N = 54) group, the t statistic is 1.72 and the
corresponding p value is 0.09. When a comparison is made between French
civil law countries versus others, the p value is 0.189. Clearly,
whether the difference of means in State between civil law and common
law countries is statistically different from zero depends on the
decision rule we adopt. The evidence is therefore not conclusive.
Second, we directly control for endowment effects using the settler
mortality measure of Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson (2001). Doing so,
however, does not change the results in any significant manner (see
column 4). Note that the results are almost unchanged when the improved
measure of settler mortality rate provided by Albouy (2012) is used
(results unreported to conserve space; available upon request). Third,
in order to account for the possibility that legal origins are shaped by
colonial strategy, which may confound our results, we include four
colonial origin dummies (British, French, Portuguese, and Spanish with
other European as the excluded group). Our main results prevail (see
column 5).
We also provide some additional estimation by considering the
individual components of the aggregate statehood experience index. Does
one component of the index drive our results, or do all contribute? The
overall index considered so far is based on three subcomponents, which
capture the presence of a government above the tribal level
([ST.sup.presence]), whether this government is foreign or locally based
([ST.sup.autonomy]), and the proportion of the current territory covered
by this government ([ST.sup.C0VERAGE]). The presence of a state above
the tribal level appears highly relevant as a measure of the
administrative capacity to adopt the colonizer's legal philosophy,
for example. Appendix B provides the details of the individual
components.
The results provided in the last three columns show that
coefficients of the interaction between State and common law dummy are
significant in all cases, suggesting that all dimensions of statehood
experience matter. The interaction between [ST.sup.COVERAGE] (which
captures the extent to which the territory of the modern country under
consideration was ruled by a particular government) and common law dummy
is found to have the most significant correlation. (7)
E. Endogeneity Issues
As is common in all empirical studies, it is necessary to correct
for the endogeneity of statehood experience due to measurement errors or
omitted variable bias. In this case, it is expected that the interaction
between statehood experience and the legal origin dummies are also
endogenous regressors. In order to isolate the exogenous variation in
statehood experience, we use the timing of agricultural transition as
the instrument. The data are obtained from the study by Putterman
(2006). (8)
The instrumental variable results and the firststage regressions
are presented in Table 6. It is evident that, in line with its ordinary
least squares counterpart, the interaction term between statehood
experience and common law legal origin is found to have a significant
effect (columns 4). In the first-stage regressions, the timing of
agricultural transition is found to be a significant determinant of
statehood experience, consistent with our prediction (column 1).
Similarly, the interaction of agricultural transition and legal origins
significantly explains the interaction of statehood experience and legal
origins (columns 2 and 3).
The first-stage F statistics provide supportive evidence that
agricultural transition is a suitable instrument. Given that multiple
endogenous regressors are used, we also adopt the procedure of Shea
(1997) for testing instrument relevance. This approach tests for the
strength of the relationship between every endogenous variable and the
excluded instruments, after partialing out the included instruments and
other endogenous variables. A small value of the Shea partial R-squared
would indicate that the instruments lack sufficient relevance to explain
all the endogenous regressors. The Shea's partial R-squared
statistics range from 0.114 to 0.455, providing evidence that the
instruments are quite strongly correlated with the endogenous variables,
and hence are sufficiently relevant to explain the endogenous
regressors.
Additionally, we also use the Anderson-Rubin (Anderson and Rubin
1949) method for testing the significance of the endogenous regressors
in the structural equation. This approach is robust to weak instruments.
The test rejects the null hypothesis that the coefficients of the
excluded instruments are jointly equal to zero at the 5% level of
significance, thus providing evidence that the endogenous regressors are
relevant even in the presence of weak instruments.
To further increase the credibility of the results, we also perform
the fractionally resampled Anderson-Rubin (FAR) test, using the
procedure developed by Berkowitz, Caner, and Fang (2012), to test the
joint significance of the endogenous regressors in our IV estimations.
This weak exogeneity test is performed under the assumption that our
instrument nearly, but not completely, satisfies the exclusion
restriction. A rejection of the null implies that our instrument is
endogenous. Clearly, the results indicate that the exclusion restriction
assumption is not violated.
F. Alternative Environmental Policy Measures
Our analysis has so far focused only on testing the interaction
effect of statehood experience and legal origins on climate change
policy. Our results indicate that common law countries with experienced
statehood are less inclined to adopt stringent climate change policies.
Can the same effect be observed on additional environmental policy
outcomes, including those that address more local or regional pollution
problems? We adopt the same regression framework and consider four other
environmental protection variables.
First, in addition to the C[C.sup.policy] policy index used above,
Bernauer and Bohmelt (2013) also provide a more encompassing index of
climate change policy outcomes, C3-I, which takes into consideration the
level and trend effects of emissions. We use this overall index as the
dependent variable in column 1 of Table 7. Note, however, that the
C[C.sup.policy] is our preferred measure because emissions are not
necessarily policy-determined and are often affected by other
hard-to-control-for socioeconomic and political factors, and hence are
more likely to subject our results to endogeneity bias. As a second
measure of environmental policy stringency, we use the (inverse) maximum
lead content per gallon of gasoline in 1996 collected from Lovei (1998)
in column 2; Reyes (2015) discusses some health risks associated with
lead exposure. Next, in column 3 we use the comprehensive environmental
performance index of Hsu et al. (2014), which uses a broad spectrum of
indicators to measure countries' protection of human health from
environmental harm and the protection of ecosystems in year 2012.
Finally, we also use a measure of the stringency of environmental
regulations in the agricultural sector for year 1990 from Eliste and
Fredriksson (2002) in the last column. This seeks to capture the overall
regulatory framework (policies, legislation, and enforcement) addressing
environmental problems associated with the agricultural sector.
The results in Table 7 do not alter our main findings markedly
given the fact that the coefficient of State X Common Law LO remains
significant at conventional levels with a negative sign. These results
suggest that our findings may apply also to more local or regional
environmental problems.
G. Effects on Regulation of Labor Markets
Finally, we consider whether the interaction between statehood
experience and legal origins also affects other outcomes more broadly.
La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, and Shleifer (2008) note that a number of
studies have established that several outcomes such as investor
protection, government ownership of banks, entry regulations, and
regulation of labor markets vary among legal traditions. It is therefore
plausible that how legal origins determine these outcomes also depends
on the length of state history.
In the following analysis, we test our hypothesis by focusing on
labor regulation as, similar to our environmental outcome measure, this
outcome is also designed to address social problems and hence is
conceptually closely related to our underlying hypothesis (see Botero et
al. 2004). Moreover, understanding the sources of labor regulation is
important because, as summarized in the review article of La Porta,
Lopez-de-Silanes, and Shleifer (2008), it has implications for resource
allocation through affecting productivity growth (Caballero et al.
2013), replacing permanent with temporary employment (Pierre and
Scarpetta 2013), labor turnover (Haltiwanger, Scarpetta, and Schweiger
2006), labor misallocation (Lafontaine and Sivadasan 2007), and firm
efficiency (Mamatzakiset al. 2015).
In particular, we analyze the following measures of labor market
regulation: (1) the social security law index of Botero et al. (2004),
(2) the employment protection legislation in terminating regular
contracts (also known as EPLEX) of ILO (2015), (3) the ratio of
unemployment insurance benefits to a worker's last earnings
(Schindler and Aleksynska 2011), and (4) the extent of unemployment
benefits coverage (Schindler and Aleksynska 2011). A larger value of
these measures generally indicates more rigid or stringent labor market
regulations. Appendix A provides the detailed definition of these
variables.
The results reported in Table 8 suggest that our results indeed
have some broader implications in which experienced common law states
generally tend to adopt less stringent policies on labor markets than
their civil law counterparts. These findings therefore suggest that our
empirical framework can be extended to understand how the regulation of
labor markets depends on legal tradition and state history.
V. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
A country's history of, for example, agricultural development,
urbanization, money, taxation, and government administration, all build
stocks of human capital and experience. The cumulative experience with
statehood influences a country's ability to consolidate power and
create a capable bureaucracy, which may be summed up as "state
capacity." We argue that the level of long-term statehood
experience should influence the propensity of former colonies to absorb
and implement the legal frameworks transplanted by the colonial powers.
This study tests the hypothesis that the influence of former
colonies' legal heritage on modern climate change policies is
conditional on their historical experience with statehood (state
capacity). Our empirical work provides support for this hypothesis. The
positive difference in the climate change policy stringency in former
colonies with common law and civil law systems is enlarged by a longer
history of statehood experience. Consistent with this finding, we also
find that legal origin has no effect on countries which had no statehood
experience around the time of colonization. We obtain similar results
also for several alternative environmental policies. In addition, the
identified mechanism is found to also hold for several labor market
regulations. Our results suggest that long-term historical processes
should not be ignored when studying and designing modern policymaking,
in particular those addressing climate change.
APPENDIX A: DATA
TABLE A1
Definition of Variables and Data Sources
Variable Description Source
Main variables
C[C.sup.policy] A composite index capturing Bernauer and
several key components of Bohmelt (2013)
climate change policy,
including the ratification
of the UNFCCC and the Kyoto
Protocol, the submission of
national climate report, and
financial contributions to
the UNFCCC secretariat. The
index also considers whether
these activities were
accomplished in a timely
manner
Slate An index of state history Putterman
covering the period from 1 (2004)
to 1800 AD, scaled to take
values between 0 and 1. The
latest version. v3.1, is
used. In the robustness
checks, two alternative
periods, 1 -1500 and 1 -1650
AD, are used
Caminan Law LO A dummy variable that Klerman et
Civil Law LO identifies the legal al. (2011);
Mixed Law LO tradition of the company law La Porta,
or commercial code of each Lopez-de-
country as British common Silanes, and
law. French civil law, German Shleifer (2008)
civil law, or Mixed law.
An alternative classification
that excludes the "Mixed"
category, by La Porta.
Lopez-de-Silanes, and
Shleifer (2008), is used in
the robustness checks
Control variables
Manufacturing Manufacturing value added as World Bank
(% GDP) a percentage of GDP (averaged (2015a)
over the period 1996-2008)
Income per Logged GDP per capita World Bank
capita converted to constant 2005 (2015a)
(logged) international dollars using
purchasing power parity rates
(averaged over the period
1996-2008)
Democratic Measures of a country's Fredriksson
capital discounted stock of democracy and Neumayer
from 1800 to 2010 (2013)
Control of An index reflecting World Bank
corruption perceptions of the extent (2015b)
to which state power is used
to obtain private gains
(averaged over the
period 1996-2008)
Political An index reflecting World Bank
stability perceptions of the likelihood (2015b)
that the government will be
destabilized or toppled
(averaged over the period
1996-2008)
Latitude Value of the latitude of CIA(2015)
each country
Ethnolinguistic An index capturing the Alesina et
fractionalization probability that two randomly al. (2003)
selected individuals from a
country's population would
belong to different ethnic
groups. The primary source
used by Alesina et al. (2003)
is Encyclopedia Britannica
(2000). The dates are
generally from the early to
mid-1990s (the range is
1979-2001. and the median
year is 1994)
Landlockedness A dummy variable that equals CIA(2015)
1 if a country is fully
enclosed by land and 0
otherwise
Distance to coast The mean distance of a Gallup,
country to the nearest Mellinger, and
coastline or sea-navigable Sachs(2010)
river (in km)
Elevation The mean elevation of a G-Econ(2008)
country above sea level
(in km)
Precipitation The average monthly G-Econ(2008)
precipitation of a country
over the period 1961-1990
(in mm)
Years since The number of years elapsed, Putterman
agricultural in 2000 AD, since the (2006)
transition transition to agriculture was
estimated to occur
(in thousand years)
Colonial origins A dummy variable that Nunn and
identifies the colonial Puga(2012)
origin of a country as
Spanish, British, French.
Portuguese, or other European
Settler European settler mortality Acemoglu,
mortality rate rates in the nineteenth Johnson, and
century. Revised estimates Robinson
of Albouy (2012) are also (2001); Albouy
used as a check (2012)
Other environmental policy variables
C3-I The aggregate C3-I of Bernauer and
Bernauer and Bohmelt (2013). Bohmelt (2013)
It combines C[C.sup.policy]
(our baseline measure of
climate change policy) with
data on the emission level
and trend
Maximum lead The maximum lead content of Lovei (1998)
content lease gasoline in 1996 (g/L)
permitted. The data are
rescaled so that a higher
value indicates more
environmental protection
Environmental An environmental performance Hsu et al.
performance index index for year 2012. Its (2014)
computation covers the
following nine policy
dimensions: health impacts,
air quality, water and
sanitation, water resources,
agriculture, forests,
fisheries, biodiversity and
habitat, and climate and
energy
Environmental An index measuring the Eliste and
regulation in stringency of environmental Fredriksson
agriculture regulation in agriculture in (2002)
year 1990. Covers water
pollution, air pollution,
land use, and biodiversity
Indicators of labor market regulations
Social security A composite index of social Botero et
laws security laws covering the al. (2004)
following three areas: (1)
old-age, disability, and
death benefits: (2) sickness
and health benefits; and (3)
unemployment benefits
EPLEX A composite indicator of ILO (2015)
EPLEX governing the
termination of regular
contracts
Unemployment The ratio of unemployment Schindler and
insurance insurance benefits a worker Aleksynska
benefits ratio receives relative to the (2011)
worker's last gross earning
Unemployment The fraction of unemployed Schindler and
benefits coverage individuals who collect Aleksynska
unemployment insurance (2011)
benefits
TABLE A2
List of Countries Included in the Estimations (by Legal Origin)
Common Law LO (Avg = 0.243)
Australia 0.000
Bangladesh 0.507
Barbados 0.094
Canada 0.056
Fiji 0.000
Gambia 0.216
Ghana 0.366
Grenada 0.082
India 0.736
Jamaica 0.153
Kenya 0.000
Malawi 0.270
Malaysia 0.585
New Zealand 0.000
Nigeria 0.544
Pakistan 0.806
Papua New Guinea 0.000
Sierra Leone 0.003
Singapore 0.322
Sudan 0.703
Trinidad and Tobago 0.107
Uganda 0.196
United States 0.086
Zambia 0.000
French Civil Law LO (Avg = 0.358)
Algeria 0.603
Angola 0.266
Armenia 0.561
Azerbaijan 0.462
Benin 0.112
Burkina Faso 0.262
Burundi 0.123
Cambodia 0.882
Cameroon 0.395
Cape Verde 0.175
Central African Republic 0.000
Chad 0.219
Congo. Dem. Rep. 0.262
Congo. Rep. 0.205
Cote d'Ivoire 0.223
Dominican Republic 0.153
Egypt 0.688
Gabon 0.000
Guinea 0.215
Indonesia 0.590
Kazakhstan 0.373
Kyrgyzstan 0.265
Laos 0.662
Madagascar 0.230
Mali 0.462
Mauritania 0.390
Morocco 0.829
Mozambique 0.173
Niger 0.350
Rwanda 0.262
Sao Tome and Principe 0.162
Senegal 0.448
Swaziland 0.035
Syria 0.569
Tajikistan 0.524
Togo 0.029
Tunisia 0.751
Turkmenistan 0.267
Uzbekistan 0.794
Mixed Law LO (Avg = 0.256)
Botswana 0.299
Cyprus 0.583
Guyana 0.107
Israel 0.501
Jordan 0.505
Lesotho 0.000
Mauritius 0.045
Philippines 0.168
Seychelles 0.025
South Africa 0.046
Sri Lanka 0.795
Zimbabwe 0.000
German Civil Law LO (Avg = 0.667)
Georgia 0.561
Korea. Rep. 0.933
Mongolia 0.508
Notes: The estimations include up to 78 countries listed in the table.
Figures in the table indicate statehood experience
accumulated over the period 1-1800 AD (State).
APPENDIX B: CONSTRUCTION OF STATE HISTORY VARIABLE (State)
The state history index of Putterman (2004) includes 39 periods of
50 years spanning from 1 to 1950 AD. In our study, we restrict the
period to 1-1800 AD (i.e., 36 periods). The index is made up of the
following three components:
[ST.sup.PRESENCE]: Is there a government above the tribal level?
[ST.sup.AUTONOMY]: Is there a government foreign or locally based?
[Local = 1; In between = 0.75: Foreign = 0.5]
[ST.sup.COVERAGE]: How much 0f the territory of the modern
country was ruled by this government?
[>50% = 1 ; 25-50% = 0.75; 10-25% = 0.5;
<10% = 0.3]
The extent of state presence (S[A.sub.t]) in any particular 50
years period (t) is measured as the product of the scores on these
components and 50. Consequently, a score of 0 indicates no presence of
state. 25 reflects that a country has a supratribal authority but its
entire territory is ruled by a foreign authority, and 50 indicates the
presence of an autonomous nation, and so on.
SA, = [ST.sup.PRESENCE] X [ST.sup.AUTONOMY] X [ST.sup.C0VERAGE] X
50
(A1) 0 [less than or equal to] SA, [less than or equal to] 50, t =
1, 2, ..., 36
The length of state history, or state antiquity (State), is
measured as the cumulative presence of state by combining data over the
entire 36 periods. A 5% discount rate is applied to allow for the fact
that states formed in the more distant past have relatively less
influence on today's economic conditions. To ease interpretation,
the series is scaled into 0 and 1 using its maximum possible value.
Accordingly, state history for a particular country over 18 centuries
(1-1800 AD) is calculated as follows:
State = [[SIGMA].sub.36.sub.t=1] [(1.05).sup.1-t] * S[A.sub.t]/
[[SIGMA].sub.36.sub.t=1] [(1.05).sup.1-t] * 50
The distribution of State and its components for all available 151
countries is given in Table Bl. In general, states in Asia and Europe
are at least twice as old as those in Africa and America. Cambodia,
China, Ethiopia, Japan. South Korea, Morocco, Myanmar, Nepal, and Turkey
were among the nations with the highest levels of state experience
(average State = 0.883) by 1800 AD. Countries in Oceania, including
Australia, New Zealand, Fiji, and Papua New Guinea had zero state values
as of 1800 AD. African nations such as Central African Republic, Gabon,
Kenya, Lesotho, Liberia. Seychelles, Sierra Leone, Togo, Zambia, and
Zimbabwe (average State = 0.006) are among those countries that have the
youngest states, many of which also had no state experience at that
time. It is interesting to observe that the emergence of states in
several sub-Saharan African countries, such as the Central African
Republic, Gabon, Kenya, and Zimbabwe, was in fact the outcome of the
nineteenth-century colonization by the Western powers, either the
British or the French, without which these nations may not have existed.
Tables B2 and B3 illustrate how the state history index is
constructed for older and younger states, respectively, in each
continent by giving a country example for each continent. Although our
measure covers only 1-1800 AD, for completeness we provide information
for all time periods available (1-1950 AD). The relatively experienced
states considered are Egypt (Africa), China (Asia), Peru (America),
France (Europe), and Australia (Oceania) whereas the relatively
inexperienced states are Kenya (Africa), the Philippines (Asia), Uruguay
(America), Latvia (Europe), and Papua New Guinea (Oceania).
TABLE B1
Average Values of State with Subindices across Continents
PRESENCE AUTONOMY COVERAGE State No.
of State of State of State Countries
Africa 0.419 0.371 0.332 0.282 46
Asia 0.866 0.688 0.786 0.619 37
America 0.364 0.233 0.325 0.193 27
Europe 0.829 0.609 0.770 0.551 37
Oceania 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4
All countries 0.608 0.473 0.541 0.407 151
Notes: PRESENCE of State is measured as: [36.summation over (t=1)]
[(1.05).sup.1-t] * [ST.sup.PRESENCE.sub.t] * 50)/([36.summation
over (t=1)] [(1.05).sup.1-t] * 50) and so on. [ST.sup.PRESENCE]
captures the presence of a government above the tribal level;
[ST.sup.AUTONOMY] reflects whether this government is foreign or
locally based; and [ST.sup.COVERAGE] measures the proportion of the
current territory covered by this government. State is given as
([36.summation over (t=1)] [(1.05).sup.1-t] * S[A.sub.t]) /
([36.summation over (t=1)] [(1.05).sup.1-t] * 50), where S[A.sub.t]
= [ST.sup.PRESENCE] x [ST.sup.AUTONOMY] x [ST.sup.COVERAGE] x 50.
Data for all countries available are shown.
TABLE B2
Examples of State History Construction for Experienced
States in Each Continent
Region Africa Asia America
Country Egypt China Peru
1-50 AD 1, 0.5, 1 (under 1,1,1 (ruled by 0, 0, 0
51-100 AD Roman occupation) the Han dynasty) (nonexistence
of states)
101-150 AD
151-200 AD
201-250 AD 1.1, 0.75 (the
251-300 AD Han empire was
301-350 AD split into
several warring
states)
351-400 AD
401-450 AD
451-500 AD
501-550 AD
551-600 AD
601-650 AD 1,1,1 (unified 1.1, 0.5 (the
651-700 AD under the Sui Huari state
and, later, the existed in the
T'ang dynasties) southern part)
701-750 AD 1.1.1 (Huari
grew to become
an empire)
751-800 AD 1,1, 0.75
(central regime
broke down,
followed by some
political chaos)
801-850 AD 1, 1, 1 (the 1.1, 0.75 (the
T'ang power was Huari empire
restored) collapsed and
the area was
ruled by a
number of
smaller
states)
851-900 AD 1, 1, 1
(establishment
of the
Tulunid dynasty)
901-950 AD 1, 0.5, 1 (became 1.1, 0.75
a foreign-based (centralized
caliphal order collapsed
province) again and
multiple kingdoms
emerged)
951-1000 AD 1, 0.77, 1 (the
Fatimid Caliphate
was established
in 973)
1001-1050 AD 1, 1, 1 (under 1, 1, 1 (power was
the rule of the united under the
Egypt-based Sung dynasty)
Fatimids)
1051-1100 AD
1101-1150 AD
1151-1200 AD 1, 0.855, 1 (the
Ayyubid dynasty
became allegiant
to the foreign-
based Abbasid
Caliphate in
1171)
1201-1250 AD 1, 0.75, 1
(became quasi-
independent
under the
Ayyubids)
1251-1300 AD 1, 1,1 (under 1, 0.895, 1 (the
the autonomy Yuan dynasty was
of the Mamluk established
dynasty) in 1279)
1301-1350 AD 1, 0.75, 1 (under
the quasi-local
Mongol rule)
1351-1400 AD 1, 0.91, 1
(the Yuan dynasty
collapsed and was
replaced by the
Ming dynasty in
1368)
1401-1450 AD 1, 1, 1 (the
Chinese rule was
integrated under
the Ming and
Ch'ing dynasties)
1451-1500 AD 1,1,1 (the
Inca empire
united the
entire area)
1501-1550 AD 1, 0.67, 1 1, 0.82, 1
(conquered by (conquered
the Ottomans by the
in 1517) Spanish in
1532)
1551-1600 AD 1, 0.5, 1 1,0.5. 1
(under the (under the
Ottomans' rule) Spanish
colonial
rule)
1601-1650 AD
1651-1700 AD
1701-1750 AD
1751-1800 AD
1801-1850 AD 1, 0.75, 1 1, 0.79, 1
(allowed partial (gained
autonomy under independence
the Ottomans in 1821)
and the French)
1851-1900 AD 1, 0.66, 1 1,1,1 (under
(under the independent
British rule)
occupation
in 1882)
1901-1950 AD 1, 0.78, 1 1, 1, 0.875 (the
(independent Ch'ing rule
from Britain ceased in 1911
in 1922) and was replaced
by the Republic
of China, but
the nation was
politically
fragmented)
Region Europe Oceania
Country France Australia
1-50 AD 1, 0.5, 1 0, 0, 0
51-100 AD (Gaul was under (nonexistence
the Romans' rule) of states)
101-150 AD
151-200 AD
201-250 AD
251-300 AD
301-350 AD
351-400 AD
401-450 AD
451-500 AD 1, 1, 0.75
501-550 AD (controlled by
multiple Germanic
kingdoms)
551-600 AD
601-650 AD
651-700 AD
701-750 AD
751-800 AD 1, 1, 0.895 (rule
was unified by
Charlemagne in
771)
801-850 AD 1, 1, 1 (under
unified
domestic-rule)
851-900 AD 1, 1, 0.75 (rule
was divided among
several Frankish
kingdoms)
901-950 AD
951-1000 AD
1001-1050 AD
1051-1100 AD
1101-1150 AD
1151-1200 AD
1201-1250 AD
1251-1300 AD 1, 1, 1 (under
centralized rule and
area expanded to nearly
its current size)
1301-1350 AD
1351-1400 AD 1, 0.75, 0.75 (a large
part of the area was
held by the English
during the Hundred
Years War)
1401-1450 AD
1451-1500 AD 1.1,1 (the Hundred
Years War ended and
territory was regained)
1501-1550 AD
1551-1600 AD 1, 1, 0.75 (rule was
divided by domestic
religious wars)
1601-1650 AD 1, 1, 1 (mostly under
unified control)
1651-1700 AD
1701-1750 AD
1751-1800 AD
1801-1850 AD 1,0.75, 1 (British
settlement)
1851-1900 AD 1,1,1 (gained
independence from
Great Britain)
1901-1950 AD
Notes: The values in each entry reflect [ST.sup.PRESENCE],
[ST.sup.AUT0N0MY], and [ST.sup.COVERAGE]. For instance,
[ST.sup.PRESENCE] is 1, [ST.sup.AUTONOMY] is 0.5, and
[ST.sup.COVERACE] is 1 for Egypt in every 50-year period from 1 to
850 AD.
Source: Putterman (2004).
TABLE B3
Examples of State History Construction for Inexperienced
States by Continent
Region Africa Asia America
Country Kenya Philippines Uruguay
1-50 AD 0, 0, 0 0, 0, 0 0, 0, 0
(nonexistence (nonexistence (nonexistence
of states) of states) of states)
51-100 AD
101-150 AD
151-200 AD
201-250 AD
251-300 AD
301-350 AD
351-400 AD
401-450 AD
451-500 AD
501-550 AD
551-600 AD
601-650 AD
651-700 AD
701-750 AD
751-800 AD
801-850 AD
851-900 AD
901-950 AD
951-1000 AD
1001-1050 AD
1051-1100 AD
1101-1150 AD
1151-1200 AD
1201-1250 AD
1251-1300 AD
1301-1350 AD
1351-1400 AD
1401-1450 AD
1451-1500 AD
1501-1550 AD 1,1, 0.75 (ruled
by two local
Islamic
sultanates)
1551-1600 AD 1,0.75, 0.75
(partially
occupied by the
Spanish)
1601-1650 AD 1, 0.5, 1 (rule
was unified by
the Spanish)
1651-1700 AD
1701-1750 AD 1, 0.5. 1
(occupied by
foreign forces)
1751-1800 AD
1801-1850 AD 1, 0.72. 1
(independent
since 1828)
1851-1900 AD 1,1.1 (under
independent rule)
1901-1950 AD 1, 0.5, 1 1, 0.75, 1
(became a (local autonomy
colony of coexisted with
the British) control by the
United States)
Region Europe Oceania
Country Moldova Papua
New Guinea
1-50 AD 0, 0, 0 0, 0, 0
(nonexistence (nonexistence
of states) of states)
51-100 AD
101-150 AD
151-200 AD
201-250 AD
251-300 AD
301-350 AD
351-400 AD
401-450 AD
451-500 AD
501-550 AD
551-600 AD
601-650 AD
651-700 AD
701-750 AD
751-800 AD
801-850 AD
851-900 AD
901-950 AD 1. 0.5, 1
(ruled by
Kievan Rus)
951-1000 AD
1001-1050 AD
1051-1100 AD
1101-1150 AD
1151-1200 AD
1201-1250 AD 1,0.5, 1 (pledged
allegiance to the
Tartars)
1251-1300 AD
1301-1350 AD
1351-1400 AD
1401-1450 AD 1, 0.5, 1 (became
part of the
principality of
Moldavia until 1513)
1451-1500 AD
1501-1550 AD
1551-1600 AD 1, 0.5, 1
(belonged to the
Ottoman Empire)
1601-1650 AD
1651-1700 AD
1701-1750 AD
1751-1800 AD
1801-1850 AD 1, 0.5, 1 (largely
occupied
by Soviet Union)
1851-1900 AD
1901-1950 AD 1, 0.5, 0.75
(occupied by the
British, Germans,
and Dutch)
Note: The values in each entry reflect [ST.sup.PRESENCE],
[ST.sup.AUTONOMY], and [ST.sup.COVERAGE].
Source: Putterman (2004).
ABBREVIATIONS
C3-I: Climate Change Cooperation Index
EPLEX: Employment Protection Legislation
FAR: Fractionally Resampled Anderson-Rubin
GDP: Gross Domestic Product
LOT: Legal Origins Theory
SD: Standard Deviation
UNFCCC: United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
doi: 10.1111/ecin.12441
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JAMES B. ANG and PER G. FREDRIKSSON *
* The authors are grateful for helpful comments on this article
from the editor Chuck Mason; three knowledgeable referees, Roger von
Haefen, Kathryn Perry, and Melissa Lane; the seminar participants at
Florida Gulf Coast University; and the participants at the SSRCdemocracy
Working Group on Climate Change Workshop. Princeton University. The
usual disclaimers apply. James Ang acknowledges financial support from
Singapore Ministry of Education Academic Research Fund Tier 1, and Per
Fredriksson acknowledges research support from the College of Business,
University of Louisville.
Ang: Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Nanyang
Technological University, Singapore 637332, Singapore. Phone +65
65927534, Fax +65 67955797, E-mail james.ang@ntu.edu.sg
Fredriksson: Professor, Department of Economics, University of
Louisville, Louisville, KY 40292. Phone 502-8524858, Fax 502-8527672,
E-mail per.fredriksson@louisville.edu
(1.) See, for example, Congleton (1992), Damania, Fredriksson, and
List (2003), Fredriksson and Svensson (2003), Barbier, Damania, and
Leonard (2005), Farzin and Bond (2006), List and Sturm (2006), Hotte and
Winer (2012), and Oliva (2015).
(2.) The literature on the very long run determinants of economic
development include, for example, Kremer (1993), Galor and Weil (2000).
Comin. Easterly, and Gong (2010), and Putterman and Weil (2010).
(3.) See Klerman and Mahoney (2007) and Roe (2007) for critical
views of the LOT by La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, and Shleifer (2008).
(4.) Botero et al. (2004) show that British common law legal origin
is associated with a substantial decrease in labor regulations.
(5.) See Michalopoulos and Papaioannou (2013), Supplementary
Appendix Table 16.
(6.) One may suspect that statehood experience may be highly
correlated with democratic capital and economic development. Their
correlations are surprisingly low: -0.121 between State and GDP per
capita and -0.138 between State and democratic capital.
(7.) Territorial integrity appears important for building
bureaucratic capacity, possibly due to the associated stability.
(8.) This identification strategy is based on the well-known
proposition of Diamond (1997) that agricultural transition significantly
increased food supply, which enabled settled agricultural villages with
small-scale political entities governed by supra-tribal authorities to
compound into larger polities, leading to the emergence of fully Hedged
states. Dramatic improvements in agricultural productivity also enabled
polities to enhance their fiscal capacity through raising more tax
revenues. Hence, the onset of the institutionalization of power
relations triggered by the Neolithic transition was a key catalyst for
state formation and the development of state capacity. This hypothesis
suggests that an earlier transition to agriculture is expected to have a
positive influence on the length of statehood experience.
Caption: FIGURE 1 Distribution of State (1-1800 AD) across the
World
Caption: FIGURE 2 The Correlation between Climate Change Policy
Index (C[C.sup.policy]) and Statehood Experience (State)
Caption: FIGURE 3 The Relationships between Climate Change Policy
Index and Statehood Experience across Different Legal Traditions
Caption: FIGURE 4 Partial Effect of State x Common Law LO
TABLE 1
Descriptive Statistics of Key Variables
Variable Observations Mean
C[C.sup.policy] 78 35.35
C[C.sup.policy]--common Law LO 24 33.65
C[C.sup.policy]--Mixed Law LO 12 34.23
C[C.sup.policy]--0ther LO 42 36.64
State 78 0.32
State--Common Law LO 24 0.24
State--Mixed Law LO 12 0.26
State--Other LO 42 0.38
Common Law LO 78 0.31
Mixed LO 78 0.15
Other LO 78 0.54
State X Common Law LO 78 0.07
State X Mixed Law LO 78 0.04
State X Other LO 78 0.20
Manufacturing (% GDP) 76 13.34
Income per capita (logged) 76 7.14
Democratic capital 68 0.42
Control of corruption 78 40.98
Political stability 78 37.72
Ethnolinguistic frac. 72 0.53
Latitude 78 0.22
Landlocked 75 0.31
Elevation 78 560.83
Distance to coast 78 429.94
Precipitation 78 95.10
Variable SD Min. Max.
C[C.sup.policy] 10.64 14.49 62.74
C[C.sup.policy]--common Law LO 9.13 18.75 56.77
C[C.sup.policy]--Mixed Law LO 10.12 14.49 52.16
C[C.sup.policy]--0ther LO 11.61 16.46 62.74
State 0.26 0.00 0.93
State--Common Law LO 0.27 0.00 0.81
State--Mixed Law LO 0.27 0.00 0.79
State--Other LO 0.25 0.00 0.93
Common Law LO 0.46 0.00 1.00
Mixed LO 0.36 0.00 1.00
Other LO 0.50 0.00 1.00
State X Common Law LO 0.18 0.00 0.81
State X Mixed Law LO 0.14 0.00 0.79
State X Other LO 0.26 0.00 0.93
Manufacturing (% GDP) 7.69 2.89 38.67
Income per capita (logged) 1.46 4.82 10.62
Democratic capital 0.35 0.00 1.00
Control of corruption 26.39 1.46 97.57
Political stability 26.17 0.48 90.38
Ethnolinguistic frac. 0.25 0.00 0.93
Latitude 0.15 0.00 0.67
Landlocked 0.46 0.00 1.00
Elevation 510.29 31.64 2672.87
Distance to coast 454.08 3.68 1875.13
Precipitation 65.63 2.91 259.95
Notes: The descriptive statistics provided in the table include
up to 78 countries used in the baseline regressions. Sources and
definition of data are described in the text and in the Appendices.
TABLE 2
Main Results
Dep. Var. = (1) (2) (3)
C[C.sup.policy]
State 5.346 17.194 **
(1.027) (2.188)
Common Law LO -2.996 6.186
(-1.155) (1.595)
Mixed Law LO -2.409 5.710
(-0.714) (1.355)
State X Common -28.069 ***
Law LO (-2.914)
State X Mixed -23.365 *
Law LO (-1.743)
R-squared 0.018 0.018 0.130
Observations 78 78 78
Notes: Robust Standard errors are used and t statistics
are reported in the parentheses. The intercept estimate is not
shown. The omitted legal origin group is "other legal origins,"
which includes 39 French and 3 German civil law countries.
* Significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant
at 1%.
TABLE 3
Robustness Analysis: Including Control Variables
Dep. Var. = (1) (2) (3) (4)
C[C.sup.policy]
State 12.99 14.03 * 13.09 15.71 *
(1.64) (1.81) (1.56) (1.99)
Common Law LO 5.93 * 2.18 3.53 1.98
(1.68) (0.54) (0.66) (0.45)
Mixed Law LO 2.23 3.97 3.58 3.26
(0.54) (0.85) (0.71) (0.79)
State X Common -27.13 *** -20.88 ** -22.30 ** -21.99 **
Law LO (-3.00) (-2.11) (-2.01) (-2.15)
State X Mixed -17.43 -25.56* -19.56 -26.22*
Law LO (-1.30) 1-1.75) (-1.24) (-1.76)
Manufacturing 0.54 ***
(% GDP) (3.03)
Income per capita 2.50 **
(logged) (2.39)
Democratic capital 1.43
(0.26)
Control of 3.79 *
corruption (1.76)
Political -0.55
stability (-0.28)
Ethnolinguistic
frac.
Latitude
Landlocked
Elevation
Distance to coast
Precipitation
R-squared 0.243 0.195 0.089 0.184
Observations 77 77 68 78
Dep. Var. = (5) (61 (7)
C[C.sup.policy]
State 13.66 * 15.94 * 6.30
(1.69) (1.73) (0.641
Common Law LO 5.47 7.03 5.91
(1.35) (1.61) (1.05)
Mixed Law LO 3.86 5.54 0.97
(0.80) (1.07) (0.15)
State X Common -24.61 ** -28.43 ** -25.75 **
Law LO (-2.39) (-2.60) (-2.16)
State X Mixed -20.68 -21.42 -20.08
Law LO (-1.41) (-1.52) (-1.U)
Manufacturing 0.55 ***
(% GDP) (2.80)
Income per capita 2.07
(logged) (1.24)
Democratic capital 2.64
(0.55)
Control of 4.29
corruption (114)
Political -0.71
stability (-0.27)
Ethnolinguistic -6.98 3.34
frac. (-1.30) (0.48)
Latitude 0.03 0.09
(0.40) (0.86)
Landlocked -0.64 -0.22
(-0.19) (-0.05)
Elevation 0.00 0.00
(0.99) (0.75)
Distance to coast 0.00 0.01
(0.13) (1.07)
Precipitation -0.00 -0.00
(-0.01) (-0.14)
R-squared 0.150 0.155 0.339
Observations 72 75 65
Notes: Robust standard errors are used and t statistics are
reported in the parentheses. The intercept estimate is not shown.
The omitted legal origin group is "other legal origins." which
includes 39 French and 3 German civil law countries. The following
countries are excluded due to unavailability of data: Israel
(column 1); Zimbabwe (column 2): Barbados, Grenada, New Zealand,
Sao Tome and Principe. Canada, United States, South Korea,
Australia, Israel, and Seychelles (column 3); Democratic Republic
of the Congo, Kyrgyzstan, Sao Tome and Principe, Barbados,
Seychelles, and Grenada (column 5); and Barbados, Grenada, and
Seychelles (column 6). The last column includes all control
variables and hence has only 65 observations.
* significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%.
TABLE 4
Alternative Statehood Periods
(1) (2) (3)
Dep. Var. = State History State History State History
C[C.sup. up to 1500 AD up to 1500 AD up to 1650 Al)
policy] (State 1) (State 1) & (State 1)
1501-1800 AD
(State 2)
Slate 1 12.960 (1.596) 9.893 (1.135) 14.299(1.655)
Common Law LO 3.873 (1.091) 6.404 (1.097) 5.415 (1.395)
Mixed Law LO 2.601 (0.591) 9.099(1.233) 3.929 (0.843)
State 1 X -26.194 *** -24.362 * -27.307 ***
Common Law LO (-2.737) (-1.849) (-2.680)
State 1 X -15.928 -7.234 (-0.588) -18.612
Mixed Law LO (-1.351) (-1.470)
State 2 6.660(0.810)
State 2 X -5.317 (-0.397)
Common Law LO
Stale 2 X -21.138
Mixed Law LO (-1.209)
R-squared 0.148 0.166 0.152
Observations 75 75 75
Geographic Yes Yes Yes
controls
(4) (5)
Dep. Var. = State History State History
C[C.sup. up to 1650 AD 1751-1800 AD
policy] (State 1) & (State 2)
1651-1800 AD
(State 2)
Slate 1 11.603 (1.217)
Common Law LO 6.763 (1.045) 7.031 (0.994)
Mixed Law LO 8.757 (1.022) 2.917 (0.339)
State 1 X -28.707 *
Common Law LO (-1.919)
State 1 X -13.139 (-0.986)
Mixed Law LO
State 2 5.888 (0.667) 0.186 (0.990)
State 2 X -1.330 (-0.086) -0.328
Common Law LO (-1.311)
Stale 2 X -14.029 -0.146
Mixed Law LO (-0.720) (-0.426)
R-squared 0.164 0.094
Observations 75 75
Geographic Yes Yes
controls
(6) (7)
Dep. Var. = State History State History
C[C.sup. up to 1750 AI) up to 1750 AI)
policy] (State 1) (State 1) &
1751-1800 AD
(State 2)
Slate 1 15.503 * (1.726) 15.409 (1.528)
Common Law LO 6.539 (1.565) 5.596 (0.808)
Mixed Law LO 5.046 (1.022) 3.321 (0.389)
State 1 X -28.166 ** -34.780 **
Common Law LO (-2.643) (-2.026)
State 1 X -20.792 (-1.539) -21.804 (-1.561)
Mixed Law LO
State 2 0.025 (0.136)
State 2 X 0.124 (0.349)
Common Law LO
Stale 2 X 0.098 (0.294)
Mixed Law LO
R-squared 0.156 0.163
Observations 75 75
Geographic Yes Yes
controls
Notes: Robust standard errors are used and t statistics are
reported in the parentheses. The intercept estimate is not shown.
The omitted legal origin group is "other legal origins." which
include 39 French and 3 German civil law countries. The geographic
controls included are latitude, landlockedness. mean elevation,
distance to the nearest coast or river, and precipitation. The
estimations exclude Barbados, Grenada, and Seychelles.
*
Significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%.
TABLE 5
Further Robustness Checks
(2) (3) Robust
(1) Include Regression
La Porta Continent (For Presence
et al. Data Dummies of Outliers)
State 16.93 * 9.74 ** (3.83) 15.64 * (1.84)
(1.79)
Common Law LO 6.54 2.48 (0.66) 6.31 (1.27)
(1.56)
Mixed Law LO 1.80 (0.43) 4.93 (0.76)
State X Common -29.18 *** -22.47 *** -28.80 **
Law LO (-2.72) (-6.36) (-2.34)
State X Mixed -16.56 (-1.75) -20.31 (-1.30)
Law LO
Settler
mortality
Colonial
origins
(F - stat)
R-squared 0.176 0.323 0.144
Observations 75 75 75
Geographic Yes Yes Yes
controls
(4) (5) (6)
Include Include Using
Settler Colonial Presence
Mortality Origin of State
Dummies
State 14.82 (1.46) 7.34 (1.05) 8.95 ** (3.29)
Common Law LO 6.07 (1.31) -4.57 (-1.05) 6.19 (1.09)
Mixed Law LO 4.11 (0.68) -5.93 (-1.27) 4.84 (1.25)
State X Common -22.88 * -16.33 * -17.61 * (-2.56)
Law LO (-1.85) (-1.76)
State X Mixed -22.26 * -10.27 -12.30 (-1.47)
Law LO (-1.95) (-0.83)
Settler -0.01 **
mortality (-2.29)
Colonial 8.03 *** =
origins 0.000)
(F - stat)
R-squared 0.264 0.426 0.122
Observations 51 75 75
Geographic Yes Yes Yes
controls
(7) (8)
Using Using
Autonomy Coverage of
of State State
State 8.65 ** (3.19) 14.75 ** (4.39)
Common Law LO 5.70 (1.15) 7.27 (1.28)
Mixed Law LO 3.77 (0.99) 5.74(1.66)
State X Common -20.08 ** -23.24 **
Law LO (-2.89) (-3.26)
State X Mixed -13.99 (-1.69) -16.13 (-1.68)
Law LO
Settler
mortality
Colonial
origins
(F - stat)
R-squared 0.123 0.149
Observations 75 75
Geographic Yes Yes
controls
Notes: Robust standard errors are used and t statistics are
reported in the parentheses. The intercept estimate is not shown.
The omitted legal origin group is "other legal origins," which
includes 39 French and 3 German civil law countries. The geographic
controls included are latitude, landlockedness, mean elevation,
distance to the nearest coast or river, and precipitation. The
continent dummies are Asia, Africa, America, and Europe (Oceania is
the excluded group). Due to the unavailability of data, Barbados,
Grenada, and Seychelles are excluded from all columns. Column 4
also excludes another 24 countries, including Armenia, Azerbaijan,
Botswana, Cambodia, Cape Verde, Cyprus. Georgia, Israel, Jordan,
Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Lesotho. Malawi, Mongolia, Mozambique.
Philippines, Sao Tome and Principe, Swaziland, Syria, Tajikistan,
Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Zambia, and Zimbabwe. "Significant at
10%; "significant at 5%; ""significant at 1%.
TABLE 6
Addressing Endogeneity Issues
(1) (2)
First-Stage First-Stage
Regression Regression
(Dep. Var. = State) (Dep. Var. =
State X
Common
Law LO)
Common Law LO -0.215 ** (-2.577) -0.056 (-1.142)
Mixed Law LO -0.016 (-0.156) 0.014(0.733)
Agr. transition 0.045 ** (2.238) 0.002 (0.425)
Agr. transition X Common 0.041 ** (2.314) 0.095 *** (12.936)
Law LO
Agr. transition X Mixed -0.021 (-1.137) -0.002 (-0.786)
Law LO
State
State X Common Law LO
Slate X Mixed Law LO
First-stage F statistic for 19.16 55.88
excluded instrument
Shea's partial ft-squared 0.114 0.263
Anderson-Rubin Wald test -- --
FAR test
R-squared 0.500 0.777
No. obs. 73 73
Geographic controls Yes Yes
(3) (4)
First-Stage Second-Stage
Regression Regression
(Dep. Var. = (Dep. Var. =
State X C[C.sup.policy])
Mixed Law LO)
Common Law LO -0.000 (-0.021) 13.874(1.513)
Mixed Law LO 0.059 (0.759) 9.694(1.233)
Agr. transition 0.001 (0.075)
Agr. transition X Common 0.000(0.019)
Law LO
Agr. transition X Mixed 0.050 *** (6.046)
Law LO
State 39.300(1.380)
State X Common Law LO -50.394 ** (-2.107)
Slate X Mixed Law LO -30.112 (-1.261)
First-stage F statistic for 12.98 --
excluded instrument
Shea's partial ft-squared 0.455 --
Anderson-Rubin Wald test -- 10.65 (p = 0.013)
FAR test 6.861 (p = 0.147)
R-squared 0.749 0.017
No. obs. 73 73
Geographic controls Yes Yes
Notes: Robust Standard errors are used and t statistics are
reported in the parentheses. The intercept estimate is not shown.
The omitted legal origin group is "other legal origins," which
includes 39 French and 3 German civil law countries. The geographic
controls included are latitude, landlockedness, mean elevation,
distance to the nearest coast or river, and precipitation. The
estimations exclude Barbados, Grenada, Fiji, Sao Tome and Principe,
and Seychelles.
* Significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%;
*** significant at 1%.
TABLE 7
Additional Environmental Policy Outcomes
(1) (2)
C3-I Max. Lead
Content
Dep. Var. (Inversed)
Stale 1.514 (1.344) 0.22 (0.81)
Common Law LO 0.537 (1.046) 0.39 ** (2.57)
Mixed Law LO 0.249 (0.483) 0.39 *** (2.82)
State X Common Law LO -3.346 *** (-2.665) -0.56 * (-1.71)
State X Mixed Law LO -1.174 (-0.840) 0.01 (0.02)
R-squared 0.124 0.469
No. obs. 74 43
Geographic controls Yes Yes
(3) (4)
Environmental Environmental
Performance Regulation in
Dep. Var. Index Agriculture
Stale 1.77 (0.41) 10.98 (0.21)
Common Law LO 8.46 *** (2.78) 69.73 *** (3.04)
Mixed Law LO 0.23 (0.03) 60.62 *** (3.86)
State X Common Law LO -21.67 *** (-2.95) -89.50 * (-1.75)
State X Mixed Law LO 7.16(0.57) -151.59 ** (-3.15)
R-squared 0.478 0.548
No. obs. 52 26
Geographic controls Yes Yes
Notes: The alternative dependent variables are measured on
different scales and hence sizes of the estimates are not directly
comparable with earlier results or across table columns. Robust
standard errors are used and t statistics are reported in the
parentheses. The intercept estimate is not shown. The omitted legal
origin group is "Other legal origins," which includes 39 French and
3 German civil law countries. The geographic controls included are
latitude, landlockedness. mean elevation, distance to the nearest
coast or river, and precipitation.
* Significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%.
TABLE 8
Labor Market Regulation Outcomes
(1) (2)
Social EPLEX
Security
Dep. Var. Laws
State 0.18 (0.93) 0.18 ** (2.42)
Common Law LO 0.10(0.80) 0.01 (0.30)
Mixed Law LO 0.13 (1.12) 0.13 (1.59)
State X Common Law LO -0.51 * (-1.95) -0.41 ** (-2.71)
State X Mixed Law LO -0.49 (-1.69) -0.27 * (-1.80)
R-squared 0.483 0.421
No. obs. 37 42
Geographic controls Yes Yes
(3) (4)
Unemployment Unemployment
Insurance Benefits Coverage
Dep. Var. Benefits Ratio
State 0.10(1.44) 0.18 (1.13)
Common Law LO 0.12 ** (2.09) 0.42 ** (2.44)
Mixed Law LO 0.12 (1.64) 0.12 (1.48)
State X Common Law LO -0.26 * (-1.94) -0.86 ** (-2.41)
State X Mixed Law LO -0.24 * (-1.79) -0.12 (-0.60)
R-squared 0.411 0.473
No. obs. 38 35
Geographic controls Yes Yes
Notes: The alternative dependent variables are measured on
different scales and hence sizes of the estimates are not directly
comparable with earlier results or across table columns. Robust
standard errors are used and t statistics are reported in the
parentheses. The intercept estimate is not shown. The omitted legal
origin group is "Other legal origins," which includes 39 French and
3 German civil law countries. The geographic controls included are
latitude, landlockedness, mean elevation, distance to the nearest
coast or river, and precipitation.
* Significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%.
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