The effects of perceived and actual financial literacy on financial behaviors.
Allgood, Sam ; Walstad, William B.
The effects of perceived and actual financial literacy on financial behaviors.
I. INTRODUCTION
What adults know about household finance is important because of
the many personal financial responsibilities people assume over a
lifetime. Adults must manage household budgets subject to income
constraints, buy goods and services, monitor financial accounts, handle
credit cards, save and invest for a future event such as a child's
college education or retirement, purchase insurance to reduce risk, pay
taxes, and seek sound financial advice. The difficulty of knowing all
that a person should know about personal finance in an ever-changing and
more complex financial world is an enormous challenge for even the most
educated adults, although the importance of some of this knowledge will
vary based on phases of the life-cycle or personal circumstances. Yet,
the consequences of not knowing even the basics about household
financial matters can prove to be costly for adults as they make
financial decisions for the short term or the long term. It is this
ever-changing and costly financial environment that has stimulated major
interest in financial literacy in recent decades. This growing interest
has led to increased research among economists and other academics on
how financial literacy affects the financial behavior of both adults and
youth and their financial capabilities.
A two-part measure of financial literacy is used in this study to
investigate the likely effects of financial literacy on a broad range of
financial behaviors. The first part of the measure is an objective test
and is based on correct and incorrect answers to test questions, which
has been the traditional way that financial literacy has been measured
and studied in past research. The second part of the measure is a
subjective evaluation and focuses on what people think they know about
personal finance based on self-assessments of their financial literacy.
We are unable to identify a causal relationship between literacy and
behavior, but we do find that this combination of actual financial
literacy (test score) and perceived financial literacy (self-rating) in
the probit analysis provides nuanced insights about how the two
different dimensions of financial literacy are related to financial
outcomes.
To offer evidence on the value of this combined measure, we use a
large national survey of U.S. adults and households (n = 28,146) and
investigate how financial literacy may affect financial behaviors within
and across five topics: credit cards; financial investments; mortgages
and loans; insurance; and financial counseling. Within each topic, we
include 4-5 behaviors to provide depth to our analysis of each topic,
and across topics we look for consistency in the outcomes to demonstrate
the breadth of our findings. We specify a probit regression model and
use it to estimate the marginal effects of perceived and actual
financial literacy on 22 financial behaviors while controlling for the
demographic characteristics of the adults. The results suggest that
financial literacy as measured by both an objective test and a
subjective assessment appear to be more valuable and insightful for
explaining financial behaviors than is the use of test information alone
as the measure of financial literacy. For example, a change in perceived
financial literacy from low to high has a significant and positive
marginal effect on financial behaviors regardless of whether actual
financial literacy is at a high or low level.
II. PREVIOUS RESEARCH
A major challenge for conducting research on financial literacy is
the difficulty of determining how best to measure financial literacy
because there is no standard definition of it in the research literature
(Hung, Parker, and Yoong 2009; Huston 2010; Lusardi and Mitchell 2014;
Remund 2010). Most research on financial literacy focuses on the
cognitive dimensions of the construct and relies on a test measure of
what people know or understand about financial concepts. This objective
approach to the measurement of financial literacy is most often
conducted by economists and other researchers using a set of
multiple-choice test questions or true-false test questions that are
embedded in a questionnaire that also includes questions about
demographic characteristics and asks about financial behaviors and
activities (e.g., Hastings, Madrian, and Skimmyhorn 2013; Hilgert,
Hogarth, and Beverly 2003; Lusardi and Mitchell 2014). These test
measures of financial literacy have been put to productive use by
economists in research studies to explain many different financial
behaviors, such as retirement planning (Lusardi and Mitchell 2007, 2008,
2011; Parker et al. 2012; van Rooij, Lusardi, and Alessie 2011a), wealth
accumulation (Behrman et al. 2012; Gustman, Steinmeier, and Tabatabai
2012), stock investing (Abreu and Mendes 2010; van Rooij, Lusardi, and
Alessie 2011b); banking (Grimes, Rogers, and Smith 2010); and inflation
expectations (Bruine de Bruin et al. 2010).
Just as there is no standard definition of financial literacy,
there is no standardization in the measures that are used in research
studies. In fact, in the list of studies just cited the number of test
questions used for assessing financial literacy varies from as few as
three to as many as 70. The test content within a measure often covers a
wide range even when there are as few as three questions (e.g., interest
compounding, risk diversification, and inflation effects). Content
differences also are found across measures with some studies giving more
emphasis to numeracy, personal finance, economics, or some mixture of
such contents. In spite of the differences within and across these
measures, the operational definition of financial literacy that is
common to these studies is to test what people actually know about
financial concepts. For the purposes of this research, we label it as
"actual" financial literacy, a distinction used in the
research literature (e.g., Hung et al. 2009; Lusardi and Mitchell 2014).
An alternative way to assess financial literacy is to use some type
of subjective measure such as a self-assessment of financial literacy or
knowledge. Although economists have preferred to use objective measures
in their research, there is growing interest in the use of subjective
measures for studying different types of economic or financial behaviors
such as perceptions of life satisfaction, happiness, and well-being
(Kahneman and Krueger 2006); risk attitudes (Hallahan, Faff, and
McKenzie 2004; Leonard 2011); and credit scores (Courchane, Gailey, and
Zorn 2008). Political scientists too have relied on public opinion polls
and similar subjective evaluations in studies of political or voting
behavior (Jacoby 2010; McDonald and Tolbert 2012). Even in the medical
field, doctors use self-assessments, most commonly for getting feedback
from patients on a subjective concept such as pain (Turk and Melzack
2011), (1) and also for assessing patient numeracy (Fagerlin et al.
2007). Finally, studies of subjective and objective knowledge have long
been the focus of consumer or marketing research (Alba and Hutchinson
2000; Carlson et al. 2009; Moorman et al. 2004; Park, Mothersbaugh, and
Feick 1994). In these studies, the two types of knowledge have been
shown to be distinct and useful constructs because self-assessed or
subjective knowledge reveals what people think they know whereas
objective knowledge reveals what they do know about a particular
consumer product.
For this study, and following practices in the research literature
on financial literacy (e.g., Hung et al. 2009; Lusardi and Mitchell
2014), we label the subjective assessment of financial literacy as
"perceived" financial literacy. The research on financial
literacy also suggests that perceived financial literacy is not simply a
proxy for actual financial literacy. One study found that correlations
between perceived and actual financial knowledge of investments varied
considerably depending on the characteristics of the individual (Agnew
and Szykman 2005). Another study reported only a modest correlation
(0.366) between actual financial knowledge and perceived knowledge of
economics and found that perceived knowledge had positive effects on
prudent planning for retirement separate from actual knowledge (Parker
et al. 2012). Other studies found that on average there is a positive
association between subjective and objective measures of financial
literacy, but the cross-tabulations of scores shows sizable percentages
of individuals in each possible combination (Lusardi and Mitchell 2009;
van Rooij et al. 2011b). The relationship between the two types of
scores also may be less positive when the objective test covers more
specific concepts, as indicated by findings from Gallery et al. (2011)
that only 41% of those respondents with a good or very good self-rating
of financial literacy also had scores on the specific investment
questions in the highest two quintiles.
If perceived financial literacy is not simply another measure of
actual financial literacy, it may affect financial behavior through some
other mechanism. Perceived financial literacy may measure financial
confidence, so that a person with high perceived financial literacy and
low actual financial literacy may be thought of as over-confident. In
the literature on stock market behavior and over-confidence, individuals
are overconfident because they believe they have a better ability to
forecast future stock prices, and this leads them to take riskier stock
positions (Barber and Odean 2001; Odean 1998). Many entrepreneurs are
overconfident about their ability to successfully start a business,
which leads them to enter markets where there is a low probability of
success (Camerer and Lovallo 1999). In our study, individuals are
reporting a perception of their financial knowledge which is different
from reporting perceived financial ability (such as forecasting). Also,
in contrast to the research literature on over-confidence related to
stock traders or entrepreneurs, there is no reason, a priori, to assume
that this confidence in financial knowledge among the general population
of adults will lead to poor financial decisions. In fact, confidence in
financial knowledge may improve financial decisions or outcomes because
financial confidence may be needed to take an action (Hung et al. 2009).
A financially confident adult, for example, may be willing to shop for
the best loans whereas a less financially confident adult may simply
take the first loan offered. Probing the reasons, however, for why
people perceived themselves the way they do, whether it be from the
influence of confidence or some other underlying factor is a different
question that is beyond the scope of this study or the available data.
(2) As is the practice with the use of subjective measures for research
studies in economics and in other fields that were previously cited, we
take the subjective assessment as a given and seek to determine if it is
useful for explaining behavior.
III. DATASET AND QUESTIONNAIRE
The National Financial Capability Study (NFCS) was commissioned by
the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) Investor Education
Foundation and was conducted in consultation with the U.S. Treasury
Department and the President's Advisory Council on Financial
Literacy. The primary purpose of this study was to assess the financial
capability of U.S. adults and provide baseline results that could be
tracked over time. The NFCS dataset we used for our research was the
state-by-state survey that was conducted from June through October 2009.
The data were collected through an online survey of 28,146 adults, age
18 or older, with approximately 500-550 interviewed in each state and
the District of Columbia. The NFCS also included state and national data
weights for researchers to use to create a national sample of adults
that was approximately representative of the U.S. adult population. We
followed all NFCS procedures to prepare this national sample from the
NFCS state-by-state data for our analysis. (3)
Conducting our study required selecting and transforming items from
the NCFS survey. Table 1 describes the demographic factors, financial
literacy items, and financial behavior questions that we used and how we
coded them. Our initial interest was with financial literacy, so we
begin with our explanation of those variables, then turn to the measures
of financial behaviors, and end with coverage of demographic factors.
The questionnaire included five items to test for understanding of five
financial concepts--interest compounding, inflation effects on the value
of money, the relationship between bond prices and interest rates,
interest payments differences on shorter and longer mortgages, and stock
diversification and risk. Although the questions appear to be relatively
simple, they have been found to be challenging for many adults and have
served as reliable and valid indicators of financial literacy in several
national surveys (Hastings etal. 2013; Lusardi and Mitchell 2014).
Questions 1, 2, and 5 were used in a 2004 Health and Retirement Survey
and in Wave 11 of a 2007-2008 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth
(Lusardi and Mitchell 2008; Lusardi, Mitchell, and Curto 2010).
Questions 1, 2, 3, and 5 were used in an American Life Panel survey
(Fonseca et al. 2012; Lusardi and Mitchell 2009). A version of question
4 has been used in a University of Michigan survey of consumers (Hilgert
et al. 2003). The five items provide an overall measure that we labeled
as "actual" financial literacy.
The questionnaire also contained an alternative measure of overall
financial literacy. Survey respondents were asked to self-assess their
overall financial knowledge based on a seven-point scale with a rating
of one being very low and a rating of seven being very high. This
subjective item provides insights into how respondents perceive their
level of financial literacy without having to answer test questions. (4)
The availability of the two overall measures of financial literacy
and scales for both that range from low to high allowed us to sort the
national sample into four distinct groups. We first split the sample
into "actual-hi" and "actual-lo" groups using the
composite test score and then split the sample into
"perceived-hi" and "perceived-lo" based on
self-ratings. From the two splits, we sorted the sample into one of four
distinct groups: high actual and high perceived financial literacy; high
perceived and low actual financial literacy; low perceived and high
actual financial literacy; and, low perceived and low actual financial
literacy. It is worth remembering that individuals are asked to assess
their financial literacy and not how they manage their finances.
As previously stated, the survey contained many items asking
respondents about their financial behaviors on many financial topics. We
selected 22 items from the survey for our analysis. We chose credit
cards as the first financial topic to study because there is widespread
use of credit cards by consumers and their use of credit cards has the
potential to offer key insights related to consumer behavior. Credit
cards are frequently used to facilitate consumer purchases and consumers
are expected to review and pay or account for credit card use monthly.
As shown in Table 1, we used five questions about credit card use to
investigate credit card behaviors. There is some redundancy across the
items. Not paying your credit card bill each month implies you are
carrying a balance. We view including both items as a consistency check
on our results.
In contrast to frequent activity represented by credit card use,
the other topics on the survey largely covered financial decisions or
behaviors that were more occasional and infrequent. Examples would be
purchasing a large discrete item with loan financing (buying a house or
an auto), buying coverage for financial liabilities (insurance), holding
a financial asset with risks and returns (investments), or seeking
financial counseling. As shown in Table 1, we used an additional 17
items to assemble a set of behaviors that would be associated with the
four other categories: investment (4), mortgages and loans (4),
insurance (4), and financial counseling (5). In the way that the
variables are constructed, most of these behaviors would be considered
as positive or expected ones for a person with more financial literacy.
A few items, however, are more likely to have an inverse relationship
with financial literacy, such as ever being late on a mortgage payment
or asking a financial counselor for advice on debt.
Before we can explore the relationship between financial literacy
and financial behaviors, we need to control for the effects of
demographic factors. We constructed control variables from the survey
for ten demographics as shown in Table 1. Seven factors were coded
either as dummy variables (gender, race, education, marital status,
employment or work status, living arrangements, and income-drop). The
number of dependent children was a continuous variable. The six
categorical variables for ages (18-24, 25-34, 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, and
65+) and the eight categorical variables for incomes (<$15K; $15-25K;
$25-35K; $35-50K; $50-75K; $75-100K; $100-150K; and >$150K) were
included in the regression but the marginal effects are not reported for
the sake of parsimony.
Table 2 lists the number of observations and mean for each
variable. The full sample has 28,146 observations and respondents were
required to answer all items on the survey. Some variables have fewer
observations because of routing in the survey. For example, you cannot
answer the credit card questions unless you have a credit card. For each
item, respondents could choose "Don't know" or
"Prefer not to say," and this response was treated as a
missing value for all variables except the five items used to measure
actual literacy. For the five literacy dummy variables, a one means a
correct response and a zero reflects an incorrect response,
"Don't know," or "Prefer not to say." (5)
As for demographics, a person in the sample is more likely to be
female, white, have some college education, be married, parent one
child, live with a spouse or partner, and be employed full-time. Over
40% of the respondents reported that during the last 12 months they
experienced a large drop in income. This large percentage was not
unexpected because the nation was in a recession during surveying and in
the proceeding 12-month period.
A number of financial literacy variables are included in Table 2.
Scores on the five test items ranged from a high of 78% correct for
question 1 to a low of 28% correct for question 3. The average correct
score across all five items (actual literacy) was 3, which is barely
above chance. The average self-rating of financial literacy (perceived
literacy) rounds to a mean of five on the seven-point scale. The
split of the sample into "actual-hi" and "actual-lo"
groups was done using the test mean score to determine the sorting (high
> mean; low [less than or equal to] mean). The split of the sample
into "perceived-hi" and "perceivedlo" groups was
based on the mean self-ratings (high = 6 or 7; low = 5 or less). From
the two splits, we sorted the sample into four groups: high actual and
high perceived financial literacy (18%); high perceived and low actual
financial literacy (16%); low perceived and high actual financial
literacy (25%); and low perceived and low actual financial literacy
(41%). (6)
IV. PROBIT MODEL AND GROUP COMPARISONS
We specified a probit model to investigate the relationship between
overall financial literacy and each type of financial literacy (actual
and perceived) on different financial behaviors. The dummy dependent
variable for each equation was one of the 22 financial behaviors we
listed in Table 1. The set of control variables in each equation
included the four financial literacy variables we constructed with the
low perceived and low actual financial literacy category serving as the
omitted group. The other variables in each equation were the ten
demographic factors and their associated variable or sets of variables
as described in Table 1. The omitted categories for the dummy variables
were: female; nonwhite; college graduate; married; full-time employed;
living with spouse or partner; and not a large drop in income.
Probit models are nonlinear regressions where coefficients are
fitted with the maximum likelihood to the following function:
P(Y = 1) = [PHI]([beta]'x)
where [PHI] is the standard normal distribution, x is a vector of
explanatory variables, and [beta] is vector coefficients to be
estimated. The primary sampling unit for the sample is the 50 states and
the District of Columbia. The dataset also provides weights to match
Census distributions for age by gender, ethnicity, education, and Census
division. To compute clustered, robust standard errors for our probit
regressions, we use the survey commands available in Stata. The model is
nonlinear in [beta], meaning that the probit coefficients are difficult
to interpret so the marginal effects are typically reported instead.
Tables 3-7 report the marginal effects of variables on the dependent
variables for the 22 financial behaviors. The marginal effect for each
dummy regressor is the change in the likelihood of the dependent
variable equaling one computed for a discrete change in the dummy
variable from zero to one when evaluating all other variables at their
means. For continuous variables, the marginal effect is obtained by
taking the partial derivative of the likelihood function with respect to
a given variable and evaluating it at the mean. The robust z-values are
reported in parentheses below the marginal effects. Given that our
sample sizes ranged from 4,607 to 27,110, but with most equations having
over 20,000 observations, it is not surprising that many variables
equations are statistically different from zero. (7) Therefore, we limit
the discussion of results to the magnitude of the marginal effects.
In the results that follow, we focus on the interpretation of the
marginal effects from comparing the four financial literacy groups: high
perceived and high actual (I); high perceived and low actual (II); low
perceived and high actual (III); and low perceived and low actual (IV).
The comparison between the high-high (I) and the low-low (IV) groups is
especially valuable because it allows both perceived and actual
financial literacy to vary from high to low. This comparison provides an
estimate of the overall or combined effects of actual and perceived
financial literacy on financial behaviors as they change in one
direction. It also has the largest marginal effect among the group
estimates across the equation results.
The assessment of the relative contributions of perceived or actual
financial literacy in explaining financial behavior is more complex
because each type of financial literacy has two possible comparisons.
For perceived financial literacy, actual financial literacy can be low
and then perceived financial literacy changes (II-IV), or actual
financial literacy can high while perceived financial literacy varies (I
and III). Another way to evaluate the effects of actual financial
literacy would be to hold perceived financial literacy fixed at low and
let actual financial literacy vary (III-IV), or hold perceived financial
literacy fixed at high and let actual financial literacy change (I-II).
Whether the two comparisons within each type of financial literacy
produce similar results can be checked using the marginal effects.
A final group contrast is between groups II and III in which both
perceived financial literacy and actual financial literacy change in
opposite directions. Such a comparison provides a test of whether having
a high level of perceived financial literacy is more important than
having a high level of actual financial literacy when the corresponding
type of financial literacy is low for each group. It differs from the
other group comparisons because both types of financial literacy change
instead fixing one type at high or low and letting the other type
change. For these reasons, this group contrast will be given less
attention as the other comparisons.
Several other points should be kept in mind in reviewing the
results that follow. First, for each financial behavior we used multiple
items to assess its relationship to financial literacy and provide depth
for our findings. We selected four to five items that we thought best
represented each financial behavior and that could be easily understood,
given that there would be 22 in total. We also expected that some of the
behaviors asked about on the survey were not likely to be affected by
financial literacy (see Section IV.F). The equations we estimated
represent 22 tests of our hypothesis about the effect of financial
literacy on financial behaviors. Second, each equation includes
demographic variables. For brevity, we exclude reference to them in the
following discussion of the results. (8) Third, even with this extensive
data set our estimates do not identify a causal relationship between
financial literacy and behavior although we do find a statistically
significant relationship that is consistent with our hypothesis.
A. Credit Cards
In the case of credit card use, we had five relevant survey items
in a set of questions asking about credit card use: (1) I do not always
pay my credit cards in full; (9) (2) In some months, I carried over a
balance and was charged interest; (3) In some months, I paid the minimum
payment only; (4) In some months, I was charged a late fee for late
payment; and (5) In some months, I was charged an over-the-limit fee for
exceeding my credit line. (10) Financial experts would not recommend
that credit card users adopt these financial behaviors because they are
costly and put a credit card user on the path to financial problems if
repeated over time (Stango and Zinman 2009). From this recommended
perspective, it would be expected that greater financial literacy would
be associated with less participation in these potentially costly credit
card behaviors.
Table 3 reports the marginal effects using our four categories of
financial literacy. The marginal effects for credit card behaviors show
that overall financial literacy has a sizeable marginal effect on the
probability that a person engages in each behavior. Respondents with
high perceived and actual financial literacy (I) are 16 percentage
points more likely to always pay their credit card balance in full each
month than were respondents in the omitted group with low perceived and
actual financial literacy (IV). (11) Also relative to this low-low
group, the high-high group was 13 percentage points less likely to carry
a credit balance, 15 percentage points less likely to make only a
minimum payment, 11 percentage points less likely to be charged a late
fee for a late payment, and 6 percentage points less likely to be
charged an over-the-limit fee for exceeding their credit limit. Although
the marginal effect for the high-high group in the Exceedcredit
regression is the smallest, the averages for each of the dependent
variables should be remembered: 58% of respondents reported that they
did not pay their credit card balance in full each month, but only 16%
of the respondents stated that they exceeded their credit card limit
(see Table 2). The percentage of those individuals exceeding their
credit card limit is relatively small, so the marginal effects would be
expected to be less.
Perceived financial literacy appears to influence credit card
behaviors. Actual financial literacy can be fixed at low as perceived
financial literacy varies from high to low (II vs. IV). The results show
that adults with high perceived and low actual financial literacy are
less likely to exhibit any of the five credit card behaviors compared
with adults with low perceived and low actual financial literacy. The
marginal effects are all statistically significant as shown by the
robust z-statistics below each marginal effect in Table 3. Actual
financial literacy also can be fixed at high as perceived financial
literacy varies from high to low (I vs. III). For this comparison,
adults with high perceived and high actual financial literacy are less
likely to participate in the five credit card behaviors than adults with
low perceived and high actual financial literacy. At the bottom of Table
3 is a Wald test of the differences between pairs of marginal effects
showing that each difference is statistically different from zero ([p
< .01). Considering both comparisons (II and IV; I and III), the
results are consistent because the change in perceived financial
literacy has about the same size of an effect, whether actual financial
literacy is low or high.
Actual literacy also has a statistically significant relationship
with credit card behavior. The differences in marginal effects between
groups III and IV provide one of the two contrasts. When perceived
financial literacy is low, adults with high actual financial literacy
compared with adults with low actual financial literacy are 2-8
percentage points less likely not to use the five credit card behaviors
with one of the effects (carrying a credit card balance) being
insignificant. These outcomes appear to indicate that change in actual
financial literacy influences on credit card behaviors, but not as much
as the change in perceived financial literacy. The other way to assess
the effects of changes in actual financial literacy is to hold perceived
financial literacy fixed to be high (I vs. II) and evaluate the change
in actual financial literacy: In this comparison, the differences ranges
from 2 to 7 percentage points less likely and an insignificant
difference was found for Notpaidfull. Although both group comparisons
show that a change in actual financial literacy influences credit card
behaviors in the expected direction, the marginal effects are mixed in
significance and smaller in size when compared with those for perceived
financial literacy.
The final comparison is between the perceived high and actual low
group (II) with the actual high and perceived low group (III). The
marginal effect of perceived high and actual low group is larger than
the marginal effect of the perceived low and actual high and
statistically significant in three of the five regressions (Notpaidfull,
Carrybalance, and Latefee). In the other two regressions the marginal
effects are not statistically significant.
While the regression results appear to confirm our expectations
about the relationship between financial literacy and different credit
card behavior, we note that the explanatory power of the probit model is
modest, as measured by the pseudo [R.sup.2]. The values indicate that
financial literacy and our control variables do not fully explain the
financial behaviors we are investigating. This general point also
applies to the probit results we report for other financial behaviors.
B. Investments
We selected four items on investments for our analysis. We first
wanted to know if households had financial investments in the form of
stocks, bonds, mutual funds, or other securities. Because retirement
often requires initiative and investing, we selected a second item that
asked whether a person had set up a retirement account independent of
any retirement accounts with an employer. Our third item measured
whether or not adults had more than half of their retirement accounts
invested in stocks or mutual funds containing stocks because this
financial practice is often necessary for accumulating enough wealth for
retirement. Finally, investments have to be managed, so our fourth item
asked whether a person rebalanced his or her portfolio in retirement
account(s) at least once a year or once every few years. For each item,
we expected that greater financial literacy would increase the
likelihood of participation in these types of investment activities
based on previous research (Abreu and Mendes 2010; van Rooij et al. 201
lb). (12)
As shown in Table 4, the marginal effect of financial literacy are
significant, suggesting that it affects the probability for each
investment behavior, even more so than was the case with credit card
behaviors. Adults with high perceived and actual financial literacy (I)
are 21 percentage points more likely to have financial investments in
stocks, bonds, mutual funds, or other securities than those adults with
low perceived and actual financial literacy (IV), indicating that they
are more capable of building wealth through investing. They are 17
percentage points more likely to have set up a retirement account (e.g.,
IRA) that is independent of an employer, suggesting that they have a
greater ability to take personal initiative for retirement. These high
financially literate adults are 29 percentage points more likely to be
willing to invest more than half of their retirement accounts in stocks
or mutual funds that contain stocks, demonstrating that the financially
literate are more likely to follow a recommended investment strategy of
building wealth through investing in stocks or mutual funds containing
stocks. (13) They also are more careful about managing their financial
investments because they are 27 percentage points more likely to change
or rebalance the investments in their retirement account(s) at least
once a year or once every few years than are less financially literate
adults.
When actual financial literacy is low (II and IV), adults with high
perceived financial literacy compared with those with low perceived
financial literacy are more likely to engage in each of the four
investment behaviors. Similar outcomes are found when actual financial
literacy is high (I and III). The results suggest that the change in
perceived financial literacy is significant and important in affecting
investment behaviors no matter what the level of actual financial
literacy. Some of these marginal effects are large. Those with high
perceived and high actual literacy (I) are about 13 percentage points
more likely to own stocks than those with low perceived and high actual
literacy (III). As was the case with the credit card results, the change
in actual financial literacy has somewhat less of an effect on the four
investment behaviors regardless of whether perceived financial literacy
is low (III vs. IV) or perceived financial literacy is high (I vs. II).
C. Mortgages or Loans
The list of loan behaviors that we studied is an eclectic
assortment, but that is fitting because loan behavior is tied to a
specific purchase and infrequently occurs. The first three items are
related to homeownership and mortgages because a mortgage is the largest
loan most people ever receive. Our first item asked adults whether they
owned a home because most homes are purchased with a mortgage. The
second item probed the adults about their mortgage payments and whether
any were ever late in making a mortgage payment. The third item asked
whether the adults with a mortgage had ever compared mortgage offers
from different lenders. To provide a consumer loan contrast for
comparing mortgage offers, we included a fourth item on auto loans that
asked whether the adults compared different offers for auto loans. (14)
We expected that adults with more financial literacy would be more
likely to own a home because it is one means of building household
wealth (Behrman et al. 2012; Lusardi and Mitchell 2007), although the
recent recession may have weakened that relationship. Financially
literate homeowners also would be less likely to be late on a mortgage
payment to preserve that wealth. To make the best use of limited
resources, adults with more financial literacy would be more likely to
compare offers for either mortgages or auto loans. The results in Table
5 confirm the expectations.
When actual financial literacy is low, adults with high as opposed
to low perceived financial literacy are 8 percentage points more likely
to own a home, 2 percentage points less likely to ever be late on a
mortgage payment, 8 percentage points more likely to compare mortgage
offers, and an impressive 13 percentage points more likely to shop for
auto loans. When comparing groups I and III, which holds actual
financial literacy fixed at high, we find essentially the same pattern
of results, although the marginal effects are smaller than when actual
literacy was low. When actual financial literacy is low, perceived
financial literacy appears to affect whether consumers shop for auto
loans.
The role of actual literacy is conditional on the level of
perceived literacy. Actual literacy has a positive, statistically
significant relationship with each behavior when perceived financial
literacy is low (III vs. IV). However, when perceived financial literacy
is high (I vs. II), actual literacy is statistically unrelated to
shopping for either type of loan.
D. Insurance
We used four insurance questions, three of which asked whether a
person was covered by one of the three major types of insurance (health,
life, or auto) and one of which asked about how often a person reviewed
their insurance coverage (Table 1). (15) To the extent that purchases of
health or life insurance are voluntary, and not simply provided with
employment, more financially literate adults are expected to be more
likely to have health or life insurance coverage because they are
probably more aware of the value of the protection and more concerned
with managing risk. (16) The same reasoning may apply to the purchase of
auto insurance. Auto insurance is mandatory for licensed owners of
vehicles in each state, although not all owners who are required to
purchase it do so. Thus, it is not obvious how much volition is involved
in the choices to purchase these three types of insurance. As for the
fourth item on review, we expect adults with more financial literacy
would be more likely to review their insurance coverage in their
responsibilities for household management.
The results shown in Table 6 generally support our expectations.
Adults with high perceived and high actual financial literacy are 4
percentage points more likely to have health insurance, life insurance,
or auto insurance compared to adults with low perceived and actual
financial literacy. The differences are relatively small, probably
because there is less volition with the three types of insurance
coverage, as we suspected with auto insurance, and might also be the
case with health and life insurance, if they were included in employment
packages. The other behavior we studied--review of insurance
coverage--appears to be more clearly affected by volition and personal
choice, and thus we see a greater marginal effect from financial
literacy.
Given the small differences in the overall effects of financial
literacy on health, life, and auto insurance, it is not worthwhile
parsing the separate effects of perceived or actual financial literacy
as done previously with the other financial behaviors. The only
noteworthy one is life insurance. Those adults with high perceived
financial literacy and low actual financial literacy are more likely to
have life insurance than those adults with low perceived and actual
financial literacy, indicating again that perception of financial
literacy is significant. In addition, perceived literacy may change
insurance reviews by households. When actual financial literacy is low,
those adults with high perceived financial literacy are more likely to
review their insurance policies once a year than those adults with low
perceived financial literacy. By contrast, when perceived financial
literacy is high or low, and actual financial literacy is allowed to
vary, there is essentially no change in the likelihood of reviewing
insurance.
E. Financial Advice
The survey had a set of five questions asking about advice from a
financial professional in the last five years on different financial
matters such as savings or investments, taking out a mortgage or a loan,
insurance of any type, tax planning, and debt counseling. Presumably
people with a higher level of financial literacy would be more willing
to seek financial advice or counseling than people with less financial
literacy. A likely reason why would be that they may be more interested
in financial planning because they are more aware of what they might
lose or gain financially if they do not make a careful decision and thus
are more willing to seek financial advice. The only advice item that
would be an exception to this expected positive relationship between
financial literacy and seeking financial advice is the one on debt
counseling. Here we anticipated that there would be a negative
relationship because debt has to become a problem before people seek
debt counseling whereas seeking advice on other financial matters is
part of normal information gathering and planning. (17)
The financial advice results conform to our initial expectations.
Before reviewing the results in Table 7, it is worth remembering that
the fewer people seek advice than most of the other behaviors we
consider. The most common advice sought were for investments and
insurance (both about 30%) and the lowest was tax planning (10%). Thus,
smaller marginal effects than those previously estimated might be more
economically relevant. Adults with high perceived and actual financial
literacy compared with adults with low perceived and actual financial
literacy are significantly more likely to seek financial advice about
savings and investments, mortgages or loans, or tax planning. (18) The
13 percentage point marginal effect for seeking financial advice about
investments is large but not surprising because savings and investment
decisions can be complicated and have a broad reach that covers personal
investing, college saving, and retirement accounts. There is a positive,
statistically significant marginal effect of literacy for seeking advice
on loans, insurance, and tax planning is about half the size of the
marginal effect for seeking advice on investments.
Although perceived financial literacy appears to affect the seeking
of financial advice, the relationship is stronger when actual financial
literacy is low (II and IV) than high (I and III). Actual financial
literacy also has significant effects on seeking financial advice,
especially when perceived financial literacy is low (III vs. IV). When
perceived financial literacy is high (I vs. II), the contribution from
actual financial literacy is relatively minor.
Finally, we turn to the overall results for debt counseling, which
are different from the other financial advice results. The estimated
marginal effects show that most financially literate adults (I) were 2
percentage points less likely to use financial counseling. As previously
explained, this negative result was anticipated because getting debt
counseling means that there is already a debt problem. Adults who are
more financially literate are better able to manage their personal
finances and thus would be less likely to seek or use debt counseling.
F. Alternative Explanations for the Results
We now consider several alternative explanations for the likely
positive influence of financial literacy on financial behavior as a
check of the robustness in our results. None of these other explanations
appear to be grounds to reject our findings, but it is important to
identify and discuss each one in turn to make that case. Among the ones
we consider are: (1) reverse causality; (2) more refined sorting of
groups; (3) counterfactual testing of financial behaviors; and (4)
further evidence on the difference between actual and perceived
financial literacy.
The first and most critical issue we addressed is reverse
causality, which implies that actual financial literacy is the result of
experience with financial decision-making. That is, more experience with
financial decision-making will increase financial literacy. A number of
studies of actual financial literacy and financial outcomes using
different research methods find no support for reverse causality (e.g.,
Courchane et al. 2008; Lusardi and Mitchell 2007; van Rooij et al.
2011a). Although reverse causality has not been investigated directly
for perceived financial literacy, it too could be the result of
experience (success or failure) with financial decision-making. For
example, individuals with "good" financial outcomes would
self-assess their overall financial literacy as high while those
individuals with "poor" financial outcomes would self-assess
their financial literacy as low.
In some of the previous research, financial literacy questions were
designed so that they directly related to the financial behavior under
consideration. Clark, Morrill, and Allen (2012), for example,
investigate the link between knowledge about Social Security, Medicare,
and pensions and decisions and attitudes regarding retirement planning.
Thus, the financial knowledge questions were designed to relate
specifically to the financial behavior under consideration. For our
study, the five questions used reflect important financial knowledge,
but they are not directly related to many of the financial behaviors we
investigate. Paying a credit card each month, for example, will not
provide financial knowledge about how bonds are priced (Q3). Similarly,
our perception measure asks individuals to rate their
"overall" financial knowledge, it does not ask them to rate
their "handling of personal finances" or their "ability
to make good investment decisions." Individuals are thus rating a
general type of financial knowledge that will be used to assess behavior
related to specific financial decisions. Reverse causality is less of a
concern given that we use general measures of actual and perceived
literacy with the 22 specific financial outcomes we evaluated.
As noted, reverse causality can occur if experience generates
actual or perceived financial literacy. Although we do not have a direct
measure of experience, age provides a good proxy for it. If our results
simply reflect reverse causality caused by experiences, we would expect
that the relationship between financial literacy and financial behavior
to be stronger for those with more experience (those who are older). To
investigate this issue, we estimated a probit model with the credit card
outcome NotPaidFull as the dependent variable and the standardized
measure of perception an explanatory variable (replacing our hi-lo dummy
variables). The regressions include all other control variables. We
estimated the results for each of the six age groups. Aside from the
youngest group, the marginal effect is between -7 and -10 percentage
points. We find a similar relationship when we estimate the same probit
model but with Stocks as the dependent variable. Neither set of results
suggests that the relationship between perception and the outcome is
driven by experience. (19)
With a perceived measure of financial literacy, the concern is that
those individuals with "good" financial outcomes would
self-assess their overall financial literacy as high while those
individuals with "poor" financial outcomes would self-assess
their overall financial literacy as low. We do not find that adults have
financial outcomes that can be consistently labeled as "good"
or "bad" across the many financial behaviors we studied. For
example, 25% in our sample have been late in paying a credit card bill
and 20% have been late in making a mortgage payment, but only 4% have
been late with a credit card payment and a mortgage payment. This means
that most individuals that are late paying a credit card bill have never
been late in making a mortgage payment. (20) Given the heterogeneous
behavior of households, it appears less likely that perception can be
driven by the types of financial outcomes experienced for most
households.
Lastly, we note that what we call good outcomes or behaviors are
actually what financial advisors would call best practices, as
discussed, for example, in the study by Braunstein and Welch (2002). The
NFCS data reveals what financial behavior individuals report engaging
in, but it does not allow us to assess why a person engages in a
particular financial behavior. A person may have decided not to shop for
a mortgage loan because of a long-standing banking relationship with a
particular bank. In this case, the person is not following best
financial practices, but they probably do not personally view this as a
"bad" financial behavior and it is unlikely to impact their
perceived literacy.
A second issue was whether our financial literacy groups were
sufficiently refined so that we were not comparing people who are not
all that different in their financial literacy. For example, some adults
in the high-high group may have answered one more test question
correctly and ranked themselves one point higher on the perception scale
than some adults in the low-low group. To investigate this issue, we
added a middle category to our financial literacy definition, thus
splitting the sample into nine groups instead of four. This change
produced more separate definitions of high and low financial literacy.
It also would be reasonable to expect that this refinement would
strengthen our results because, for example, a change in perceived
financial literacy from very low to very high would have a greater
effect when actual financial literacy is held constant at a very high or
very low level.
To test this hypothesis, we re-estimated our probit equation for
credit card use with the more refined grouping for perceived and actual
financial literacy and using all of our other explanatory variables. We
found that our results for perceived financial literacy do strengthen
with this new definition, as we expected. For example, in our original
estimation (Table 3) adults are 14 percentage points less likely not to
pay their credit card bill in full when actual financial literacy is
held constant at a low level and perceived financial literacy changes
from low to high. With the more refined definition for high and low, the
difference increases to 26 percentage points more likely. Similarly, in
our original estimation adults are 11 percentage points less likely not
to pay their credit card bill in full when actual financial literacy is
held constant at a high level and perceived financial literacy changes
from low to high. With the extreme definition, the difference doubles to
22 percentage points less likely. We also find that the effects we
reported for perceived financial literacy strengthened considerably for
the four other credit card outcomes we studied with the more extreme
definition of financial literacy. We do not, however, prefer to use this
nine-group scheme over our four-group scheme because it would only add
more complexity without changing the basic findings.
A third issue we studied was the testing of counterfactuals to the
general positive relationship we found between financial literacy and
recommended financial behaviors. The purpose of this exercise was to see
if we could find results where financial literacy did not influence the
outcome and there was no strong reason or expectation for why it should.
To provide evidence for this counterfactual perspective we selected two
financial behaviors: one related to credit card use and the other to
mortgage loan. A credit item from the survey asked for a yes or no
response to the statement: In some months, I used the cards for a cash
advance. It is certainly possible that the regular use of a credit card
for a cash advance could get a consumer in financial trouble by
accumulating substantial debt at high interest rate. But we suspect that
use of a cash advance is more irregular and only a small percentage
access credit this way (only 13% in our sample). The use of a credit
card for a cash advance probably depends more on personal circumstances,
for example, being short of cash while traveling. If getting a cash
advance is not a reliable indicator of poor credit card practices, then
financial literacy should not affect this financial behavior or, if
there is an effect, it would be quite minor. (21) In fact, we found
those results when we estimated the probit equation with cash advance as
a dummy dependent variable. There was significant difference between the
high-high group and the low-low group.
To provide another counterfactual example we used our model to
estimate the effect of financial literacy on whether a homeowner with a
mortgage had an adjustable-rate mortgage. The conventional thinking is
that there is substantial risk to the borrower with an adjustable-rate
mortgage if the interest rate rises in the future, thus making the
selection of an adjustable-rate mortgage a poor decision. As Campbell
(2006, 1560-61) explains, adjustable-rate mortgages are not necessarily
riskier. The mortgage selection decision depends on individual
circumstances, such as the planning, risk aversion, and borrowing
constraints, and economic conditions, such as real interest rates and
expected inflation. The point is that the financial advice on selecting
an adjustable-rate over a fixed-rate mortgage is not certain because
personal circumstances and economic conditions matter, so financial
literacy is not likely to explain why someone has an adjustable-rate
mortgage rather than a fixed-rate mortgage. When we estimated our
regression there was no significant effect of financial literacy on this
mortgage decision.
Finally, we offer further evidence that perceived and actual
financial literacy have separate effects on financial behaviors using
another method to measure the effect of each variable. To conduct it, we
first estimated our set of regressions with actual financial literacy
normalized to have a mean of zero and a standard deviation of one, but
without a measure of perceived financial literacy. We then estimated our
set of regressions with both actual financial literacy and perceived
financial literacy included in normalized form.
In Table 8, we provide an example of the results using this
alternative method for the five credit card outcomes. In each case
perceived financial literacy is a statistically significantly predictors
of the credit card behaviors, indicating that its inclusion in each
regression adds explanatory power. The inclusion of the perceived
financial literacy also has only a minimal effect on the statistical
significance of actual financial literacy. Even in the one case where
actual financial literacy is not statistically significant, that result
holds regardless of whether perceived financial literacy is included in
the regression. In addition, the magnitudes of the marginal effects for
both actual and perceived financial literacy are economically relevant
in most cases. The results for minimum payments, for example, show that
a change from one standard deviation below the mean to one standard
deviation above the mean decreases the probability of making a minimum
payment about 7 percentage points. A comparable effect (6 percentage
points) is found with actual literacy for this same change. (22)
For completeness, we can summarize the results for all the
financial outcomes we studied. The inclusion of perceived literacy in 19
of 22 regressions did not change the sign, magnitude, or significance of
the marginal effect of actual literacy. In the three cases where the
significance of actual literacy was altered, the results for the effect
of actual literacy without perceived literacy were already relatively
weak (significant at only the 5% level). Also, in all 22 regressions,
perceived literacy had a marginal effect of equal or larger value than
actual literacy and it was statistically significant. This alternative
analysis supports the results from our primary analysis based on group
comparisons that perceived financial literacy likely measures something
different than actual financial literacy and that both objective and
subjective constructs may be important in explaining financial outcomes.
V. CONCLUSION
We find evidence that supports the hypothesis that financial
literacy affects financial behavior within a financial topic and across
a set of financial topics. To support this conclusion, we conducted
analyses across five financial topics--credit cards, investments, loans,
insurance, and financial counseling--and within each topic we studied
four or five relevant behaviors to provide some depth to our topical
analysis. We are unable to identify a causal relationship, but in the 22
equations we estimated we found that financial literacy appears to
change these financial behaviors when comparing between adults with high
and low levels of financial literacy. The marginal effects of financial
literacy were stronger with some topics than others (e.g., investment
vs. insurance), and while we cannot statistically rule out the influence
of reverse causality (for example, estimating instrumental variables),
we are able to provide reasonable arguments for why reverse causality
does not fully explain our results. Overall the beneficial effects of
financial literacy are likely to be substantial on financial practices
or behaviors that are often recommended by financial professionals or
experts.
What is more revealing in the findings is that the self-assessment
of financial literacy that we labeled as perceived financial literacy
appears to be as valuable in explaining financial behavior as is tested
knowledge that we labeled as actual financial literacy. It is this
combination of actual financial knowledge and perceive financial
knowledge that may have the greatest influence on the financial
behaviors generally recommended by financial experts for improving
financial well-being. Although there is evidence across the five major
financial topics we studied to support this broad conclusion, we also
should note that the results may well be affected by the shortness of
our test measure.
One implication from this research applies to future research in
financial literacy. Measuring financial literacy with just a test score
and then using it to assess the effects of financial literacy on
financial behavior may understate the contribution that financial
literacy makes to that financial behavior. Future research should take
into account both what people know about financial matters and also what
they think they know when controlling for financial literacy. Both
financial knowledge and perception appear to affect financial literacy
and in turn appear to affect financial decisions and behavior.
doi:10.1111/ecin.12255
ABBREVIATIONS
FINRA: Financial Industry Regulatory Authority
NFCS: National Financial Capability Study
APPENDIX
NATIONAL FINANCIAL CAPABILITY STUDY
The National Financial Capability Study (NFCS) administrated
questionnaires to three different samples: (1) a national sample of
1,488 U.S. adults, ages 18 or older; (2) a state-by-state analysis of
more than 28,000 adult respondents; and, (3) a survey of 800 military
personnel and spouses. The set of items on each questionnaire was
essentially the same, so it is the questionnaire that links the three
survey studies. The NFCS website provides a copy of each questionnaire,
a brief reporting of the survey methods and basic findings, and an SPSS
data file for each sample that can be used by researchers
(www.usfinancialcapability.org).
We used the 2009 NFCS state-by-state dataset for this study. The
survey was conducted with a sample of 28,146 adults age 18 and older
(approximately 500-550 per state plus the District of Columbia) from
June to October 2009. The data were collected by Research Now and SSI
via proprietary, online panels of individuals who have agreed to
participate in the panel and who were compensated for completing
surveys. Nonprobability quota sampling was used to obtain the sample.
The average time to complete the survey was 15 minutes. We used the
dataset weights supplied with the dataset to create the national sample.
This work was accomplished by weighting the state-by-state data to match
U.S. Census distributions using the 2008 American Community Survey data
and several demographic variables at different levels of
aggregation--state, regional, national. Within each state (and
Washington DC), data were weighted to match U.S. Census distributions by
age and gender categories, race and ethnicity categories, and education
level. For each U.S. Census region, data were weighted based on census
distributions to match variables on age by gender, race and ethnicity,
level of education, and state. At the national level, the data were
weighted to match national census distributions based on age by gender,
race and ethnicity, level of education, and census region.
The NFCS questionnaire administered to each adult was extensive and
contained about 135 questions that were divided into 11 sections. The
first section began with a number of demographic questions to obtain
information about the respondents such as age, gender, race and
ethnicity, highest education achieved, marital status, living
arrangements, income, employment or work status, and number of dependent
children. The remaining ten sections focused on a wide assortment of
financial topics that are only briefly described in the following list:
(1) personal financial condition covering such items as spending
relative to income, savings accounts, and credit scores; (2) financial
counseling on saving and investing, loans and mortgages, insurance
purchases, tax planning, and debt management, as well as opinions about
financial professionals; (3) banking practices related to checking and
assets held as investments; (4) retirement accounts and planning for
those respondents who are currently employed; (5) retirement accounts,
living expenses, and money management by those respondents who are
retired; (6) home ownership, mortgages, and home equity loans; (7) the
use of credit cards and paying credit card bills; (8) auto loans,
bankruptcy, and the use of alternative loans (e.g., auto title loans);
(9) insurance coverage for health, home, life, and auto; and, (10)
financial literacy and awareness.
For context, we compared our sample with characteristics of the
U.S. population based on U.S. census data. Age and gender data are
obtained from www.census.gov/prod/ cen2010/briefs/c2010br-03.pdf,
marital status is from table 56 of
www.census.gov/compendia/statab/cats/population/
marital_status_and_living_arrangements.html, race is from
http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/00000.html, and education data
are obtained from table 2 of http://www.census
.gov/hhes/socdemo/education/data/cps/2012/tables.html. Table A1 compares
the unweighted mean from our sample with the census data. We see that
our sample is very similar to the U.S. population based on U.S. Census
data.
TABLE A1
Comparison with U.S. Census Data (%)
Variable Census FINRA
Male 49.1 46.8
Age 18-24 years 12.9 11.7
Age 25 -44 years 40.7 36.7
Age 45-64 years 29.6 27.9
Age 65+years 16.7 14.5
White 77.9 75.5
<Highschool 13.2 2.7
=Highschool 30.0 23.9
Somecollege 28.6 35.1
College 18.4 28.6
Postgrad 9.8 13.9
Married 61.9 56.3
Single/never married 22.2 25.6
Divorced/sep 8.31 13.8
Widowed/er 7.51 4.2
Note: Age for census data is the percent of the
population 18 and over so the total sums to 100%.
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(1.) The following quote explains the medical practice: "There
is no simple thermometer that can objectively record how much pain an
individual experiences. As we have noted, all that can be determined
about the intensity of a person's pain is based on what the patient
verbally or nonverbally communicates about his or her subjective
experience. Often patients are asked to quantify their pain by providing
a single general rating of pain: 'Rate your usual level of pain on
a scale from 0 to 10 where 0 equals "no pain" and 10 is the
"worst pain you can imagine'"" (Turk and Melzack
2011, 7).
(2.) See Parker and Stone (2014) and Parker et al. (2012) for
further discussion of confidence and overconfidence issues.
(3.) Further information on the NFCS, survey methodology, and
sample data are found in Appendix 1, or see www
.usfinancialcapability.org. Appendix 1 also contains a comparison of the
NFCS data and U.S. census data across major variables. It shows that the
weighted characteristics of the NFCS sample are similar to the
characteristics reported in the U.S. census data for most variables. The
FINRA sample, however, is not a random sample of the U.S. population.
(4.) The item asking adults to give themselves a self-rating of
their financial literacy came after the respondents answered questions
in the nine sections of the survey that asked about their financial
behaviors or outcome. The selfrating, however, was not influenced by the
five test items because those items came after they gave their
self-rating.
(5.) For example, 21,011 have credit cards and answered the item
used to create the variable Notpaidfull (see Table 1, for definition).
Of those responding, 161 responded "Don't know" and 218
responded "Prefer not to say" which yields 20,632 observations
as reported in Table 2. This breakdown is typical for most variables
used in the analysis.
(6.) We considered the possibility that our measures of actual and
perceived financial knowledge when treated as continuous variables were
simply measuring the same characteristic, but the pair-wise correlation
is only 0.26. This low correlation is consistent with other findings in
the research literature (Parker et al. 2012). In our data, while those
respondents with high test scores often have higher perceived knowledge,
there is substantial variation. For example, 3.5% of the respondents
rated themselves as a 6 or 7 for perceived knowledge although they had a
score of only 0 or 1 for actual knowledge.
(7.) We also ran our regression repeatedly using a randomly
selected 20% of the sample and the sign and significance of the marginal
effects were largely unaffected.
(8.) The demographic results are broadly consistent with what would
be expected to be found. For example, with the costly credit card
behaviors we studied, people who have experienced a large drop in income
and also households with children are more likely to engage in such
behavior because they are more liquidity-constrained. As another
example, in the case of investments we found that males were
significantly more likely than females to hold more than half of their
retirement funds in stocks or stock mutual funds, consistent with the
research indicating that males are more risk-taking in investing (Dwyer,
Gilkeson, and List 2002).
(9.) On the survey, this first item was originally stated in a
positive direction as "I always pay...," but for the purposes
of this analysis it was changed to make it consistent with negative
behaviors associated with the other four credit card behaviors.
(10.) The set of survey questions on credit card use had a sixth
item the use of cash advances. This item is discussed later as one of
the counterfactuals we tested (see Section IV.F).
(11.) Another perspective on this change would be to compare it
relative to the average. As shown in Table 2,58% of the sample pays
their balance in full each month. A 16 percentage point reduction lowers
the percentage to 42. Thus, this behavior is now 27% less likely to
occur.
(12.) We view the rebalancing of a portfolio on occasion (once a
year or even every few years) as an infrequent activity that is part of
prudent management of portfolio (Tokat and Wicas 2007). It is different
from frequent trading of investment assets, which can be costly for
individuals.
(13.) The results for having more than half of a retirement
portfolio in stocks or mutual funds that contain stocks are not just a
function of age. We re-ran the probit regression, but broke the sample
for those less than 55 years old and those greater than or equal to 55
years old. The results for perceived and actual financial literacy were
essentially the same.
(14.) A fifth item on adjustable-rate mortgages is discussed later
as one of the counterfactuals we tested (Section IV.F).
(15.) The survey had seven questions on insurance, but we excluded
three of them. We excluded one on "homeowner's/renter's
insurance" because it combines two different insurance decisions
unlike the three separate items we used for health, life, and auto
insurance. Two insurance purchasing questions also were excluded because
they asked about purchasing any type of insurance and they were
considered too general to be of use for the analysis.
(16.) This statement is somewhat speculative because financial
literacy effects have not been studied in past research on insurance or
risk tolerance (e.g.. Hallahan et al. 2004; Zietz 2003). A related
study, however, found that financial literacy affected the annuity
decision (Agnew et al. 2008).
(17.) There is ambiguity about the effects of financial literacy on
seeking financial advice in the limited research literature (e.g., see
Hung and Yoong 2010). Seeking financial advice also may be similar to
participation in a financial education program, and thus may be affected
by time preferences and discounting (Meier and Sprenger 2013). Our
working hypothesis is that the type of advice and reasons for seeking
the advice matter. More financially literate adults are more likely to
seek financial advice that simply provides information or assistance,
but the advice is not crisis-driven. Less financially literate adults
are more likely to seek financial advice on matters because of a
financial crisis or problem such as paying debts.
(18.) It is possible that the positive relationship between
financial literacy and asking for financial advice reflects reverse
causality, but it is unlikely for several reasons. The fact that the
effect of financial literacy can be ambiguous based on the type or
reasons for the advice suggests that there is no consistent reverse
causality across the outcomes (see footnote 17). Also, none of the
actual financial literacy questions deal specifically with the topics on
which the advice is sought, such as tax planning. All that was asked in
the survey question was whether a person asked for any advice from a
financial professional in the past five years, but nothing is known
about the quality or the content of the advice given.
(19.) We wanted to demonstrate the result for two types of
outcomes. We chose NotPaidFull and Stocks because they are the first
outcome given for the first two sets of outcomes we analyzed. The
estimates are available from the authors.
(20.) To further illustrate, we restricted our samples to only
individuals that responded to the five credit card items, the four
investment items, owning a home, never being late on a mortgage payment,
comparing mortgage rates, and comparing auto loans. We picked these
financial behaviors or outcomes because they are most clearly seen as
good financial practices. The result was a sample of 1,003 individuals.
We find that only 1.6% of the sample engaged in all 12 good behaviors
and a quarter of the sample had five or fewer of these good financial
behaviors. These results reinforce the idea that individuals are not
consistent in having good and bad behaviors.
(21.) We calculated the correlation among the credit card behaviors
to see if receiving a cash advance was different. The correlation
between receiving a cash advance and the five other credit card
behaviors averages .23. By contrast, the average correlations for the
other credit card behaviors with each other are substantially larger and
ranges from a .37 (exceedcredit) to .43 (carrybaiance).
(22.) An alternative approach would be to estimate the model in
Table 8 and interact the two financial literacy variables. This method
would address the concern raised by MacCallum et al. (2002), who show
that mean-splitting variables may bias the estimates. Greene (2010),
however, explains that such interaction terms can be difficult to
interpret in a probit model. To check that our method does not bias the
results, we also estimated the model in Table 8 with the interaction
terms and found that our estimates were not qualitatively or
quantitatively altered.
SAM ALLGOOD and WILLIAM B. WALSTAD *
* We received very helpful comments on previous drafts of this
study from Michael Salemi, Ben Scafidi, Bill-Skimmyhorn, and from
participants in presentations given at George Washington University, the
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, and Baylor University. We also greatly
appreciated the comments we received from an anonymous referee.
Allgood: Professor, Department of Economics, 369 College of
Business Administration, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE
68588-0489. Phone 402-472-3367, Fax 402-472-9700, E-mail sallgoodl
@unl.edu
Walstad: Professor, Department of Economics, 339 College of
Business Administration, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE
68588-0402. Phone 402-472-2333, Fax 402-472-9700, E-mail
wwalstadl@unl.edu
TABLE 1
Variable Definitions for Financial Literacy Study
(A) Demographic Variables (0,1 Except As Noted)
1. Male = male respondent. [A3]
2. Age: (a) age by groups: 18-24, 25-34, 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, 65+
[A3aw]
3. White = white or Caucasian. [A4]
4. Education: (a) < Highschool = did not complete high school; (b)
= Highschool = high school graduate; (c) Somecollege = some college
work; (d) College = college graduate; (e) Postgrad = graduate
education. [A5]
5. Marital status: (a) Married = married; (b) Single = single; (c)
Divorced/sep = divorced or separated; (d) Widowed/er = widow or
widower. [A6]
6. Children: number of children who are financial dependents.
Continuous. [A11]
7. Employment or work status: (a) Selfemploy = self-employed; (b)
Full-time = work full-time for an employer; (c) Part-time = work
part-time for an employer; (d) Homemaker = homemaker; (e) Student =
full-time student; (f) Disabled = permanently sick, disabled, or
unable to work; (g) Unemployed = unemployed or temporarily laid
off; (h) Retired = retired. [A 10]
8. Living arrangements: (a) LiveAlone = only adult in household;
(b) LivePartner = live with my spouse/partner/significant other;
(c) LiveParents = live in my parents' home; (d) LiveOther = live
with other family, friends, or roommates. [A7]
9. Income: (a) Income by group: $15K, $15-25K, S25-35K, S35-50K,
S50-75K, S75-100K, S100-150K, $150K+ [A8]
10. Income-drop = Yes to: Has your household experienced a large
drop in income you did not expect? [J10]
(B) Financial Literacy Variables
11. Q1 correct = correct answer * to: Suppose you had $100 in a
savings account and the interest rate was 2% per year. After 5
years how much do you think you would have in the account if you
left the money to grow? (a) more than $102*; (b) exactly $102; (c)
less than $102. [M6]
12. Q2correct = correct answer * to: Imagine that the interest rate
on your savings account was 1% per year and inflation was 2% per
year. After 1 year, how much would you be able to buy with the
money in the account ? (a) more than today; (b) exactly the same;
(c) less than today*. [M7]
13. Q3correct = correct answer * to: If interest rates rise, what
will typically happen to bond prices? (a) they will rise; (b) they
will fall*; (c) they will remain the same; (d) there is no
relationship between bond prices and the interest rate. [M8]
14. Q4correct = correct answer * to: A 15-year mortgage typically
requires higher monthly payments than a 30-year mortgage, but the
total interest paid over the life of the loan will be less, (a)
true*; (b) false. [M9]
15. Q5correct = correct answer * to: Buying a single company's
stock usually provides a safer return than a stock mutual fund, (a)
true; (b) false*. [M10]
16. Actual Literacy = sum of correct responses to five financial
literacy test questions. Continuous. [M6-M10]
17. Perceived Literacy = self-rating response to: On a scale from 1
to 7, where 1 means very low and 7 means very high, how would you
assess your overall financial knowledge? Continuous. [M4]
18. Perceived literacy split: (a) Perceived-Hi = self-rating >
mean; (b) Perceived-Lo = self-rating [less than or equal to] mean.
19. Actual literacy split: (a) Actual-Hi = test score > mean; (b)
Actual-Lo = test score [less than or equal to] mean.
20. Financial literacy groups: (a) Perc-Hi/Actual-Hi = self-rating
> mean and test score > mean; (b) Perc-Hi/Actual-Lo = self-rating >
mean and test score [less than or equal to] mean; (c)
Perc-Lo/Actual-Hi = self-rating [less than or equal to] mean and
test score > mean; (d) Perc-Li/Actual-Lo = self-rating [less than
or equal to] mean and test score [less than or equal to] mean.
(C) Credit Card (CC) Behaviors
21. Notpaidfull = / do not always pay my credit cards in full. Yes.
[F2_l; changed to "do not"]
22. Carrybalance = In some months, I carried over a balance and was
charged interest. Yes. [F2_2]
23. Minpayment = In some months, I paid the minimum payment only.
Yes. [F2_3]
24. Latefee = In some months, I was charged a late fee for a late
payment. Yes. [F2_4]
25. Exceedcredit = In some months, I was charged an over the limit
fee for exceeding my credit limit. Yes. [F2_5]
(D) Investment (IV) Behaviors
26. Stocks = Not including your retirement accounts, does your
household have any investments in stocks, bonds, mutual funds, or
other securities? Yes. [B14]
27. IRA = Do you have any other retirement accounts NOT through an
employer, like an IRA, Keogh, SEP, or any other type of retirement
account that you have set up yourself? Yes. [C4]
28. >.5stocks = How much of your retirement portfolio is invested
in stocks or mutual funds that contain stocks? More than half. [C7]
29. Rebalance = How often do you change or rebalance the
investments in your retirement account(s)? At least once a year or
once every few years. [C9]
(E) Loan (LN) Behaviors
30. Ownhome = Do you or your spouse/partner currently own your own
home? Yes. [Ea_1]
31. Everlate = How many times have you been late with your mortgage
payments in the last 2 years? Once or more. [E15]
32. Compmort = When you were getting your mortgage, did you compare
offers from different lenders or mortgage brokers? Yes. [E10]
33. Compauto = Thinking about your most recent auto loan, did you
compare offers from different lenders? [G2]
(F) Insurance (IS) Behaviors
34. Health = Are you covered by health insurance? Yes. [HI]
35. Life = Do you have a life insurance policy? Yes. [H3]
36. Auto = Do you have auto insurance? Yes. [H4]
37. Review = How often do you review your insurance coverage? At
least once a year. [H7]
(G) Financial Advice (FA) Behaviors (in last 5 years)
38. Investing = Have you asked for any advice from a financial
professional about savings or investing? Yes. [K_2]
39. Loan = Have you asked for any advice from a financial
professional about taking out a mortgage or a loan? Yes. [K_3]
40. Insure = Have you asked for any advice from a financial
professional about insurance of any type? Yes. [K_4]
41. Taxplan = Have you asked for any advice from a financial
professional about tax planning? Yes. [K_5]
42. Debt = Have you asked for any advice from a financial
professional about debt planning? Yes. [K_1]
Notes: All but five are (0,1) dummy variables. Bracket item by a
variable or set of variables is the NFCS questionnaire item code.
TABLE 2
Variable Characteristics
Variable Obs. Mean
Male 28,146 0.4867
Age18-24 28,146 0.1352
Age25-34 28,146 0.1708
Age35-44 28,146 0.1828
Age45-54 28.146 0.1960
Age55-64 28,146 0.1631
Age65+ 28,146 0.1520
White 28,146 0.6851
Nonwhite 28,146 0.3149
<Highschool 28,146 0.0348
=Highschool 28,146 0.2932
Somecollege 28,146 0.4193
College 28,146 0.1586
Postgrad 28,146 0.0940
Married 28,146 0.5337
Single 28,146 0.2824
Divorced/sep 28,146 0.1398
Widowed/er 28,146 0.0441
Children 28,146 0.7351 (1.103)
Selfemployed 28,146 0.0807
Full-time 28,146 0.3609
Part-time 28,146 0.0978
Homemaker 28,146 0.0895
Student 28,146 0.0583
Disabled 28,146 0.0423
Unemployed 28.146 0.0980
Retired 28,146 0.1725
LiveAlone 28,146 0.2189
LivePartner 28,146 0.6005
LiveParents 28,146 0.0885
LiveOther 28,146 0.0921
<$15K 28,146 0.1459
$15-25K 28,146 0.1318
$25-35K 28,146 0.1295
$35-50K 28,146 0.1614
$50-75K 28,146 0.1872
$75-100K 28,146 0.1074
$100-150K 28,146 0.0881
$150K+ 28,146 0.0486
Income-drop 27,585 0.4062
Q1 correct 28,146 0.7771
Q2correct 28,146 0.6451
Q3correct 28.146 0.2764
Q4correct 28.146 0.7560
Q5correct 28,146 0.5339
Actual Literacy 28,146 2.9885(1.443)
Perceived Literacy 27,548 4.9474(1.308)
Perceived-Hi 27,548 0.3413
Perceived-Lo 27,548 0.6587
Actual-Hi 28,146 0.4219
Actual-Lo 28.146 0.5781
Perc-Hi/Actual-Hi 27,548 0.1815
Perc-Hi/Actual-Lo 27,548 0.1598
Perc-Lo/Actual-Hi 27,548 0.2487
Perc-Lo/Actual-Lo 27,548 0.4100
CC: Notpaidfull 20,632 0.5818
CC: Carrybalance 20,644 0.5753
CC: Minpayment 20,709 0.4022
CC: Latefee 20,672 0.2635
CC: Exceedcredit 20,662 0.1572
IV: Stocks 25,912 0.3700
IV: IRA 22,081 0.2541
IV: >.5stocks 8,054 0.5190
IV: Rebalance 9,223 0.4073
LN: Ownhome 27,808 0.5911
LN: Everlate 11,494 0.2138
LN: Compmort 4,672 0.6391
LN: Compauto 9,733 0.4523
IS: Health 27,806 0.7963
IS: Life 27,340 0.6010
IS: Auto 27,920 0.8636
IS: Reviewlyear 25,707 0.4580
FA: Invest 27,640 0.3024
FA: Loan 27,697 0.2486
FA: Insure 27,675 0.3231
FA: Taxplan 27,600 0.1743
FA: Debt 27,666 0.1038
Notes: All but three variables are (1,0) dummy variables.
For the continuous variables, the standard deviation is
given in parenthesis beside the mean.
TABLE 3
Credit Card (CC) Behaviors
(1) (2) (3)
Variables Notpaidfull Carrybalance Minpayment
Perc-Hi/Actual-Hi (I) -0.1583 -0.1274 -0.1486
(13.52) * (10.19) * (13.13) *
Perc-Hi/Actual-Lo (II) -0.1389 -0.0949 -0.0829
(8.44) * (5.64) * (4.75) *
Perc-Lo/Actual-Hi (III) -0.0458 -0.0129 -0.0795
(4.23) * (1.00) (7.17) *
Male -0.0482 -0.0381 -0.0097
(5.86) * (4.67) * (1.00)
Age 0.0215 0.0167 0.0114
(10.86) * (6.79) * (4.52) *
Agesquared -0.0002 -0.0002 -0.0002
(10.83) * (6.56) * (6.07) *
White -0.0174 0.0047 -0.0531
(1.52) (0.43) (3.30) *
cHighschool 0.0793 0.0284 0.1001
(2.48) ** (0.82) (2.24) **
=Highschool 0.0667 0.0423 0.0681
(5.36) * (3.20) * (4.85) *
Somecollege 0.0920 0.0788 0.0601
(8.50) * (7.66) * (5.39) *
Postgrad -0.0539 -0.0499 -0.0384
(4.92) * (3.69) * (2.97) *
Single 0.0539 0.0373 0.0289
(3.00) * (2.02) ** (1.64)
Divorced/sep 0.1163 0.0917 0.0690
(5.72) * (4.87) * (3.83) *
Widowed/er 0.0585 0.0512 0.0570
(2.31) ** (1.92) (2.30) **
Children 0.0368 0.0267 0.0428
(6.08) * (5.22) * (7.30) *
Selfemployed -0.0660 -0.0247 0.0057
(4.05) * (1.64) (0.35)
Part-time -0.0655 -0.0447 -0.0642
(3.17) * (2.19) ** (4.52) *
Homemaker -0.1187 -0.1204 -0.0686
(6.44) * (6.61) * (5.44) *
Student -0.1469 -0.1432 -0.0859
(6.20) * (5.01) * (3.03) *
Disabled 0.0402 -0.0191 -0.0249
(1.85) (0.98) (0.96)
Unemployed -0.0575 -0.0586 -0.0321
(3.37) * (3.59) * (1.69)
Retired -0.1395 -0.1381 -0.1021
(8.09) * (7.66) * (7.15) *
LiveAlone -0.1187 -0.0680 -0.0979
(4.48) * (2.78) * (5.55) *
LiveParents -0.1248 -0.1387 -0.0716
(4.54) * (4.10) * (2.91) *
LiveOther -0.0329 0.0039 -0.0331
(1.37) (0.14) (1.49)
Income 0.0000 0.0008 -0.0020
(0.10) (1.68) (3.22) *
Incomesquared -0.0000 -0.0000 -0.0000
(5.23) * (5.21) * (0.15)
Income-drop 0.0780 0.0816 0.1576
(8.53) * (11.02) * (22.45) *
Observations 20.204 20.221 20,279
F-stat 62.81 67.11 151.4
Pseudo [R.sup.2] 0.0869 0.0638 0.119
Wald tests
(I)-(III) 84.83 89.90 35.73
P1 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
(I)-(II) 1.685 4.751 20.93
P2 (0.19) (0.03) (0.00)
(II)-(III) 40.49 32.39 0.0953
P3 (0.00) (0.00) (0.76)
(4) (5)
Variables Latefee Exceedcredit
Perc-Hi/Actual-Hi (I) -0.1134 -0.0612
(11.04) * (9.05) *
Perc-Hi/Actual-Lo (II) -0.0776 -0.0313
(7.00) * (4.95) *
Perc-Lo/Actual-Hi (III) -0.0327 -0.0275
(4.08) * (4.51) *
Male -0.0503 -0.0001
(8.97) * (0.01)
Age 0.0049 0.0018
(2.69) * (1.11)
Agesquared -0.0001 -0.0000
(3.39) * (2.15) **
White -0.0767 -0.0486
(6.80) * (5.11) *
cHighschool 0.0616 0.0908
(1.54) (2.58) **
=Highschool 0.0074 0.0313
(0.55) (3.02) *
Somecollege 0.0249 0.0363
(2.66) ** (3.82) *
Postgrad -0.0035 -0.0052
(0.34) (0.53)
Single 0.0340 0.0246
(2.28) ** (2.04) **
Divorced/sep 0.0383 0.0281
(1.93) (1.71)
Widowed/er 0.0009 0.0301
(0.04) (1.59)
Children 0.0398 0.0229
(9.28) * (8.14) *
Selfemployed 0.0177 0.0003
(1.56) (0.03)
Part-time -0.0358 -0.0359
(3.00) * (3.89) *
Homemaker -0.0774 -0.0351
(7.65) * (4.43) *
Student -0.0445 -0.0494
(1.98) (3.49) *
Disabled -0.0187 0.0067
(0.99) (0.38)
Unemployed -0.0011 -0.0316
(0.08) (3.32) *
Retired -0.0790 -0.0471
(5.66) * (3.91) *
LiveAlone -0.0476 -0.0160
(3.03) * (1.37)
LiveParents -0.0222 -0.0077
(1.38) (0.49)
LiveOther -0.0062 0.0099
(0.29) (0.59)
Income -0.0011 -0.0008
(2.72) * (2.19) **
Incomesquared 0.0000 0.0000
(0.44) (0.10)
Income-drop 0.1376 0.0958
(17.81) * (14.85) *
Observations 20,245 20,242
F-stat 91.99 113.8
Pseudo [R.sup.2] 0.0952 0.0946
Wald tests
(I)-(III) 67.53 19.31
P1 (0.00) (0.00)
(I)-(II) 9.015 10.29
P2 (0.00) (0.00)
(II)-(III) 16.31 0.248
P3 (0.00) (0.62)
Notes: Marginal effects of probit regressions with absolute
value of robust z-statistic in parenthesis. The last six
rows report the Chi-squared statistic of a Wald test that
the marginal effects are different from each other with p
values in parenthesis.
Significance: * p [less than or equal to] 0.1; ** p [less
than or equal to] .05.
TABLE 4
Investment (IV) Behaviors
(6) (7) (8) (9)
Variables Stocks IRA >.5stocks Rebalance
Perc-Hi/Actual-Hi 0.2053 0.1689 0.2921 0.2718
(I) (14.50) * (15.30) * (14.56) * (15.97) *
Perc-Hi/Actual-Lo 0.1078 0.1184 0.0706 0.1325
(II) (7.47) * (7.91) * (2.54) ** (6.25) *
Perc-Lo/Actual-Hi 0.0738 0.0731 0.2109 0.0865
(III) (6.31) * (5.67) * (11.87) * (4.42) *
Male 0.0326 -0.0038 0.1430 0.0297
(3.16) * (0.50) (14.34) * (2.20) **
Age -0.0012 0.0054 0.0055 -0.0046
(0.58) (2.52) * (2.15) (1.09)
Agesquared 0.0001 -0.0000 -0.0001 0.0001
(2.49) ** (0.18) (2.64) (1.41)
White 0.0164 0.0291 0.0493 0.0289
(1.17) (2.53) ** (2.64) ** (1.50)
<Highschool -0.1566 -0.1554 -0.1350 -0.1183
(7.54) * (12.07) * (1.69) (1.68)
=Highschool -0.1196 -0.1129 -0.0746 -0.0502
(9.54) * (13.39) * (4.47) * (1.92)
Somecollege -0.0728 -0.0552 -0.0486 -0.0053
(8.60) * (6.92) * (3.87) * (0.36)
Postgrad 0.0234 0.0419 0.0295 0.0257
(1.53) (3.82) * (1.92) (1.25)
Single 0.0506 0.0023 -0.0015 0.0112
(3.58) * (0.16) (0.07) (0.37)
Divorced/sep -0.0419 -0.0342 -0.0154 -0.0066
(2.55) ** (3.32) * (0.52) (0.18)
Widowed/er 0.0457 -0.0404 -0.0233 -0.0206
(2.05) ** (2.46) ** (0.52) (0.26)
Children -0.0135 -0.0154 0.0064 -0.0008
(2.85) * (4.02) * (1.03) (0.10)
Selfemployed 0.0179 0.0323 -0.0467 -0.0195
(1.20) (3.02) * (2.48) ** (0.73)
Part-time 0.0232 0.0260 -0.0396 -0.0125
(1.37) (2.10) ** (1.82) (0.45)
Homemaker 0.0225 -0.0053 -0.0574 -0.0065
(1.44) (0.41) (2.26) ** (0.29)
Student 0.0161 -0.0557 0.0169 0.0302
(0.73) (2.34) ** (0.44) (0.37)
Disabled -0.1361 -0.1019 -0.0909 -0.0093
(6.24) * (6.48) * (2.95) (0.19)
Unemployed -0.0471 -0.0235 -0.0471 -0.0195
(3.14) * (2.02) ** (2.32) ** (0.65)
Retired 0.0263
(1.81)
LiveAlone 0.0024 0.0441 0.1139 -0.0019
(0.14) (2.65) ** (4.02) * (0.05)
LiveParents -0.0383 -0.0266 0.0436 -0.0825
(1.98) (1.20) (1.18) (1.05)
LiveOther -0.0464 -0.0275 0.0443 -0.0158
(2.89) * (2.63) ** (1.51) (0.38)
Income 0.0067 0.0044 0.0009 0.0028
(14.35) * (8.01) * (1.42) (2.52) **
Incomesquared -0.0000 -0.0000 0.0000 -0.0000
(6.22) * (3.57) * (0.69) (0.48)
Income-drop -0.0234 -0.0220 0.0335 -0.0214
(2.66) ** (3.41) * (2.51) ** (1.98)
Observations 25,232 21,465 10,860 8333
F-stat 158.2 251.0 59.18 50.20
Pseudo [R.sup.2] 0.178 0.218 0.106 0.083
Wald tests
(I)-(III) 128.8 69.74 29.03 119.5
P1 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
(I)-(II) 48.26 11.85 109.8 31.85
P2 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
(II)-(III) 6.444 10.87 47.42 3.511
P3 (0.01) (0.00) (0.00) (0.06)
Notes: Marginal effects of probit regressions with absolute
value of robust z-statistic in parenthesis. The last six
rows report the Chi-squared statistic of a Wald test that
the marginal effects are different from each other with p
values in parenthesis.
Significance: * p [less than or equal to] .01; ** p [less
than or equal to] .05.
TABLE 5
Loan (LN) Behaviors
(10) (11) (12) (13)
Variables Ownhome Everlate Compmort Compauto
Perc-Hi/Actual-Hi 0.1210 -0.0706 0.0895 0.1201
(I) (10.41) * (5.91) * (4.00) * (6.34) *
Perc-Hi/Actual-Lo 0.0780 -0.0241 0.0787 0.1268
(II) (5.79) * (1.68) (3.23) * (6.23) *
Perc-Lo/Actual-Hi 0.0554 -0.0403 0.0418 0.0571
(III) (5.81) * (3.07) * (2.24) ** (3.52) *
Male -0.0445 -0.0125 0.0553 0.0148
(5.13) * (1.09) (2.65) ** (1.30)
Age 0.0154 0.0063 -0.0070 -0.0024
(5.91) * (1.75) (1.44) (0.69)
Agesquared -0.0001 -0.0001 0.0000 0.0000
(2.44) ** (1.85) (0.80) (0.53)
White 0.1097 -0.0887 -0.0394 -0.0165
(5.71) * (6.36) * (1.76) (1.07)
<highschool -0.0360 0.0827 -0.1811 -0.0234
(1.22) (1.53) (2.19) ** (0.50)
=highschool -0.0017 0.0497 -0.0614 -0.0410
(0.14) (3.48) * (3.27) * (1.98)
Somecollege -0.0241 0.0412 -0.0123 -0.0029
(1.90) (3.05) * (0.63) (0.21)
Postgrad 0.0035 -0.0103 0.0063 -0.0096
(0.22) (0.56) (0.27) (0.50)
Single -0.1700 0.0534 -0.0394 -0.0247
(8.36) * (2.43) ** (1.34) (1.29)
Divorced/sep -0.1914 0.0404 -0.0826 -0.0415
(11.07) * (1.61) (2.04) ** (1.33)
Widow/er -0.0734 -0.0043 0.0018 -0.0475
(3.37) * (0.11) (0.03) (0.93)
Children 0.0055 0.0340 -0.0172 0.0078
(1.03) (10.48) * (2.23) ** (1.34)
Selfemployed 0.0416 0.0455 0.0839 0.0205
(3.09) * (2.51) ** (3.27) * (0.73)
Part-time -0.0055 -0.0193 0.0596 -0.0030
(0.35) (1.03) (1.52) (0.14)
Homemaker -0.0134 -0.0283 0.0259 0.0235
(0.83) (2.27) ** (0.90) (1.20)
Student 0.0061 0.0343 -0.0042 0.1107
(0.28) (0.70) (0.04) (3.06) *
Disabled -0.0553 0.0583 -0.0391 -0.0267
(2.75) * (1.90) (0.55) (0.65)
Unemployed -0.0322 -0.0233 -0.0010 -0.0255
(1.65) (1.28) (0.02) (0.85)
Retired 0.0652 -0.0699 0.0127 0.0203
(4.20) * (3.29) * (0.30) (0.87)
LiveAlone -0.0180 -0.0381 0.0595 -0.0074
(1.16) (2.03) ** (1.52) (0.28)
LiveParents -0.1019 -0.0041 0.1132 -0.0829
(3.87) * (0.07) (2.14) ** (2.60) **
LiveOther -0.1152 -0.0116 0.0277 -0.0440
(6.35) * (0.52) (0.59) (1.26)
Income 0.0091 -0.0025 0.0026 0.0012
(19.86) * (4.31) * (2.20) ** (1.79)
Incomesquared -0.0000 0.0000 -0.0000 -0.0000
(11.84) * (1.98) (0.95) (1.12)
Income-drop -0.0097 0.1532 0.0321 0.0236
(0.90) (13.90) * (1.42) (1.95)
Observations 26.918 11,307 4607 9560
F-stat 337.1 46.18 6.134 16.66
Pseudo [R.sup.2] 0.285 0.125 0.042 0.0182
Wald tests
(I)-(III) 29.51 6.670 4.489 11.97
PI (0.00) (0.01) (0.03) (0.00)
(I)-(II) 9.126 9.687 0.121 0.0932
P2 (0.00) (0.00) (0.73) (0.76)
(II)-(III) 3.012 1.247 1.733 11.43
P3 (0.01) (0.26) (0.19) (0.00)
Notes: Marginal effects of probit regressions with absolute
value of robust z-statistic in parenthesis. The last six
rows report the Chi-squared statistic of a Wald test that
the marginal effects are different from each other with p
values in parenthesis.
Significance: * p [less than or equal to] .01; ** p [less
than or equal to] .05.
TABLE 6
Insurance (IS) Behaviors
(14) (15) (16) (17)
Variables Health Life Auto Review1year
Perc-Hi/Actual-Hi 0.0386 0.0369 0.0369 0.1096
(I) (5.59) * (4.17) * (4.55) * (11.23) *
Perc-Hi/Actual-Lo 0.0123 0.0775 0.0075 0.1088
(II) (1.59) (6.78) * (1.61) (12.07) *
Perc-Lo/Actual-Hi 0.0256 0.0330 0.0295 -0.0050
(III) (3.48) * (3.91) * (5.06) * (0.59)
Male -0.0609 -0.0189 -0.0185 -0.0128
(12.23) * (2.19) ** (5.57) * (1.69)
Age -0.0106 0.0094 -0.0022 0.0004
(8.70) * (3.56) * (1.94) (0.18)
Agesquared 0.0002 -0.0000 0.0000 -0.0000
(10.79) * (1.10) (2.60) ** (1.04)
White 0.0131 -0.0078 0.0533 -0.0233
(1.59) (0.62) (4.04) * (2.06) **
<highschool -0.0817 -0.1035 -0.0752 -0.0666
(3.50) * (4.64) * (4.52) * (2.69) *
=highschool -0.0570 -0.0141 -0.0168 -0.0202
(5.24) * (1.31) (2.25) ** (1.36)
Somecollege -0.0380 -0.0121 -0.0093 0.0065
(4.18) * (1.38) (1.46) (0.47)
Postgrad 0.0155 -0.0257 -0.0331 -0.0096
(1.31) (1.83) (2.23) ** (0.70)
Single -0.0560 -0.1493 -0.0808 -0.0251
(5.35) * (8.58) * (4.97) * (1.93)
Divorced/sep -0.0736 -0.1161 -0.0578 -0.0081
(4.78) * (5.89) * (5.35) * (0.41)
Widowed/er -0.0242 -0.0524 -0.0539 0.0365
(1.05) (1.77) (3.27) * (1.61)
Children 0.0006 0.0046 -0.0058 0.0031
(0.16) (1.12) (2.77) * (1.00)
Selfemployed -0.2076 -0.2382 -0.0362 0.0121
(13.42) * (14.70) * (3.12) * (0.80)
Part-time -0.1145 -0.1859 -0.0088 0.0057
(10.89) * (12.87) * (1.33) (0.40)
Homemaker -0.1060 -0.2536 -0.0627 -0.0090
(7.64) * (15.79) * (5.02) * (0.69)
Student -0.0156 -0.1620 -0.0109 -0.0765
(1.00) (6.92) * (1.37) (2.67) **
Disabled 0.0385 -0.2520 -0.1072 0.0269
(3.65) * (10.68) * (5.03) * (1.05)
Unemployed -0.2008 -0.2557 -0.0819 -0.0563
(12.21) * (16.84) * (6.93) * (3.45) *
Retired 0.0178 -0.1698 -0.0323 0.0395
(2.06) ** (11.06) * (2.53) ** (2.79) *
LiveAlone 0.0371 0.0144 -0.0516 -0.0182
(3.39) * (0.82) (4.84) * (1.07)
LiveParents 0.0349 0.0564 -0.0589 -0.0918
(2.91) * (2.57) ** (5.73) * (4.77) *
LiveOther -0.0044 0.0022 -0.0705 -0.0312
(0.30) (0.11) (4.89) * (1.39)
Income 0.0048 0.0080 0.0033 0.0014
(9.75) * (13.59) * (11.55) * (2.91) *
Incomesquared -0.0000 -0.0000 -0.0000 -0.0000
(5.47) * (9.45) * (8.95) * (3.36) *
Income-drop -0.0799 -0.0629 0.0050 0.0310
(13.16) * (9.31) * (1.03) (4.18) *
Observations 26.881 26,468 26,977 25.054
F-stat 137.1 152.6 121.7 31.26
Pseudo [R.sup.2] 0.230 0.177 0.241 0.0162
Wald tests
(I)-(III) 2.637 0.112 2.129 105.1
P1 (0.10) (0.74) (0.15) (0.00)
(I)-(II) 7.696 8.742 20.81 0.00444
P2 (0.01) (0.00) (0.00) (0.95)
(II)-(III) 2.339 12.54 13.69 80.48
P3 (0.13) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
Notes: Marginal effects of probit regressions with absolute
value of robust z-statistic in parenthesis. The last six
rows report the Chi-squared statistic of a Wald test that
the marginal effects are different from each other with p
values in parenthesis.
Significance: * p [less than or equal to] .01; ** p
[less than or equal to] .05.
TABLE 7
Financial Advice (FA) Behaviors
(18) (19) (20)
Variables Invest Loan Insure
Perc-Hi/Actual-Hi 0.1294 0.0766 0.0785
(I) (11.19) * (6.49) * (6.66) *
Perc-Hi/Actual-Lo 0.0883 0.0314 0.0582
(II) (10.38) * (3.29) * (4.99) *
Perc-Lo/Actual-Hi 0.0871 0.0664 0.0521
(III) (8.20) * (8.99) * (7.07) *
Male -0.0218 -0.0301 -0.0253
(2.99) * (4.85) * (3.24) *
Age -0.0137 -0.0040 0.0012
(7.03) * (2.05) ** (0.52)
Agesquared 0.0002 0.0000 -0.0000
(7.62) * (0.17) (1.06)
White 0.0050 0.0196 0.0155
(0.52) (2.63) ** (1.40)
<highschool -0.1302 -0.0978 -0.1226
(7.56) * (5.77) * (6.91) *
=highschool -0.0966 -0.0515 -0.0707
(13.37) * (5.18) * (6.56) *
Somecollege -0.0412 -0.0105 -0.0226
(4.81) * (1.23) (2.78) *
Postgrad 0.0532 0.0147 0.0325
(3.76) * (1.27) (3.30) *
Single 0.0103 -0.0849 -0.0383
(0.65) (6.71) * (2.98) *
Divorced/sep -0.0218 -0.0409 -0.0178
(1.78) (3.31) * (1.32)
Widowed/er 0.0466 0.0054 0.0245
(2.17) ** (0.24) (1.14)
Children -0.0026 0.0118 0.0135
(0.66) (3.02) * (3.46) *
Selfemployed 0.0355 0.0195 0.0571
(2.68) * (1.45) (5.16) *
Part-time 0.0015 -0.0415 -0.0002
(0.13) (3.75) * (0.01)
Homemaker -0.0348 -0.0375 -0.0392
(2.50) ** (3.74) * (2.71) *
Student -0.0094 -0.0709 -0.0641
(0.52) (4.84) * (3.34) *
Disabled -0.0675 -0.0138 0.0130
(3.38) * (0.87) (0.61)
Unemployed -0.0482 -0.0460 -0.0500
(3.24) * (4.46) * (4.37) *
Retired -0.0045 -0.0286 0.0022
(0.40) (2.54) ** (0.15)
LiveAlone 0.0092 -0.0049 -0.0250
(0.64) (0.29) (2.10) **
LiveParents -0.0396 -0.0750 -0.0882
(2.03) ** (3.92) * (4.86) *
LiveOther -0.0250 -0.0009 -0.0060
(1.45) (0.05) (0.39)
Income 0.0038 0.0039 0.0017
(9.71) * (12.00) * (3.21) *
Incomesquared -0.0000 -0.0000 -0.0000
(4.78) * (8.03) * (1.70)
Income-drop 0.0563 0.0498 0.0706
(8.38) * (8.71) * (7.37) *
Observations 27,110 27.110 27,110
F-stat 70.76 72.08 67.92
Pseudo [R.sup.2] 0.0765 0.0718 0.0414
Wald tests
(I)-(III) 15.72 0.951 6.300
P1 (0.00) (0.33) (0.01)
(I)-(II) 10.48 14.61 2.621
P2 (0.00) (0.00) (0.11)
(II)-(III) 0.00 10.30 0.245
P3 (0.98) (0.00) (0.62)
(21) (22)
Variables Taxplan Debt
Perc-Hi/Actual-Hi 0.0640 -0.0210
(I) (7.51) * (4.13) *
Perc-Hi/Actual-Lo 0.0666 0.0151
(II) (8.82) * (2.04) **
Perc-Lo/Actual-Hi 0.0326 -0.0031
(III) (4.00) * (0.54)
Male -0.0053 -0.0014
(1.00) (0.30)
Age -0.0093 0.0045
(5.80) * (3.92) *
Agesquared 0.0001 -0.0001
(5.27) * (4.51) *
White 0.0036 -0.0297
(0.45) (4.44) *
<highschool -0.0607 -0.0393
(3.81) * (3.95) *
=highschool -0.0572 -0.0142
(6.89) * (2.24) **
Somecollege -0.0273 0.0016
(3.91) * (0.28)
Postgrad 0.0471 0.0098
(5.91) * (1.04)
Single -0.0295 -0.0138
(2.76) * (1.94)
Divorced/sep -0.0323 0.0006
(2.97) * (0.09)
Widowed/er 0.0100 -0.0034
(0.60) (0.24)
Children 0.0055 0.0107
(1.77) (4.87) *
Selfemployed 0.0895 0.0026
(6.62) * (0.22)
Part-time 0.0375 -0.0181
(3.79) * (2.29) **
Homemaker 0.0098 -0.0324
(0.95) (6.06) *
Student -0.0060 -0.0357
(0.47) (4.44) *
Disabled -0.0515 -0.0010
(3.88) * (0.0)
Unemployed 0.0013 -0.0270
(0.11) (3.78) *
Retired 0.0336 -0.0124
(3.33) * (1.26)
LiveAlone 0.0135 0.0024
(1.08) (0.34)
LiveParents -0.0469 -0.0167
(3.23) * (1.95)
LiveOther -0.0071 0.0120
(0.60) (1.17)
Income 0.0022 0.0007
(7.75) * (3.41) *
Incomesquared -0.0000 -0.0000
(2.51) ** (4.69) *
Income-drop 0.0511 0.0633
(6.57) * (10.89) *
Observations 27,110 27,110
F-stat 69.78 17.43
Pseudo [R.sup.2] 0.0811 0.0534
Wald tests
(I)-(III) 14.30 8.480
P1 (0.00) (0.00)
(I)-(II) 0.0477 22.98
P2 (0.83) (0.00)
(II)-(III) 12.06 6.803
P3 (0.00) (0.00)
Notes: Marginal effects of probit regressions with absolute
value of robust z-statistic in parenthesis. The last six
rows report the Chi-squared
statistic of a Wald test that the marginal effects are
different from each other with p values in parenthesis.
Significance: * p [less than or equal to] .01; ** p
[less than or equal to] .05.
TABLE 8
Credit Cards and Normalized Financial Literacy Scores
Variables Notpaidfull Carrybalance
Actual -0.0217 -0.0143 -0.0011 0.0029
(3.61) * (2.30) ** (0.29) (0.77)
Perceived -0.0793 -0.0482
(13.10) * (10.17) *
Observations 20,378 20,204 20,394 20,221
Variables Minpayment Latefee
Actual -0.0340 -0.0302 -0.0150 -0.0106
(10.01) * (8.47) * (4.58) * (3.17) *
Perceived -0.0367 -0.0432
(8.00) * (12.19) *
Observations 20,456 20,279 20,422 20,245
Variables Exceedcredit
Actual -0.0116 -0.0093
(4.77) * (3.82) *
Perceived -0.0209
(9.26) *
Observations 20,414 20,242
Notes: Actual is the normalized score for the variable
Actual Literacy and Perceived is the normalized score for
the variable Perceived Literacy. Marginal effects of probit
regressions with absolute value of robust z-statistic in
parenthesis.
Significance: * p [less than or equal to] .01; ** p
[less than or equal to] .05.
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