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  • 标题:An evaluation of total project risk based on fuzzy logic.
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Doskocil, Radek
  • 期刊名称:Business: Theory and Practice
  • 印刷版ISSN:1648-0627
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 期号:March
  • 出版社:Vilnius Gediminas Technical University
  • 摘要:Introduction

    Project management is nowadays a widely discussed theme. This fact is substantiated by numerous scientific articles, books and publications dealing with these problems (Bergantinos, Vidal-Puga 2009; Perez et al. 2005; Rosenau 2007; Schwable 2011). This discipline is also included in the courses of numerous faculties focusing on economy both in the Czech Republic and abroad. Experts are also associated in various professional organizations or associations (International Project Management Association 2014; Project Management Institute 2014; AXELOS 2015).

    Project risk management is the responsibility of the entire life cycle of project. Risk management of the project consists of process of risk analysis and process of risk monitoring. Project manager or other members of project team can for risk project analysis use some methods (Rais, Smejkal 2013): scoring method (Podmolik 2006), FRAAP method--Facilitated Risk Analysis and Assessment Process (Peltier 2005), RIPRAN method (Lacko 2004; Dolezal et al. 2012) and more.

    Risks evaluations are essential activities of management of proj ect risk. It is directly determines the success or failure of a project. It is often based on vague, inconsistent, partially subjective data (knowledge) items of interdisciplinary nature.

    For this reason, in risk management used different approaches, techniques and tools, both traditional and advanced. For example expert method, brainstorming, simulation, fuzzy sets, e.g. methods of fuzzy numbers and fuzzy logic.
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