Model For Critical Infrastructure Safety Management.
Prochazkova, D. ; Prochazka, J. ; Rusko, M. 等
Model For Critical Infrastructure Safety Management.
1. Introduction
For ensuring the human security and development, there is necessary
the safe human system [1-3]. Ensuring the safe human system is not easy,
because the human system is a system of systems [4], i.e. system of
several mutually interconnected systems of a different nature.
Consequences of interconnections (interfaces) are mutual dependences,
the character of which is physical, cyber, territorial and
organisational [4-6]. Mentioned interdependences are the sources of
further vulnerabilities of human system that magnify the integral risk
of a given system by increase of cross- section risks in the system of
systems [4-6]. As a consequence of growing globalisation the new sources
of disasters take on force, they cause critical infrastructure failures
[7-9].
Corporate sustainability assigns firms the key role of integrating
and pursuing economic, environmental and social goals. Thus, firms
struggle to link corporate sustainability practices and organizational
performance [10-13]. Therefore, using the systems approach may be a
solution to realizing further necessary steps in the area of critical
infrastructure protection.
The paper deals with problems of critical infrastructure in the
broadest concept, i.e. not only from the viewpoint of critical
infrastructure itself, i.e. from the viewpoint of its structure and
co-operation of its individual parts, but also from the viewpoint of its
impacts and profits for a given locality in it is in operation, i.e. for
public assets in locality and region. By this feature the paper concept
differs from the most of current works, and it is reality that its
concept includes the public protection.
From the reasons of fulfilment of targets of humans that may be
realised only if human communities are in safe territory, the object of
present paper is the critical infrastructure safety that ensures the
safe infrastructures that do not threaten their vicinities, i.e. also
another system with which they are mutually interconnected or which they
influence. The result of study, by help of methodology processed in the
frame of project FOCUS [14-16], is the creation of model of
infrastructure chains safety management.
2. Critical infrastructure and associated terms
The critical infrastructure includes the infrastructures that are
parts of different technological systems that ensure the human society
needs [5]. Each of considered systems consists of the control system and
controlled systems [16], which are for company processes, social system
(humans, organisational structures, assets and values, knowledge), and
for own technological system (tools, equipment, procedures,
technologies). It means that they are multistage systems at which among
the individual stages in both directions they run flows of materials,
finances, information and decisions. From these reasons the systems need
to be also analysed from the viewpoint of interactions and
interdependences among technical, human, social and organisational
aspects of a system. The exception is the analysis of human survival
that is either active or passive. The capability of passive survival is
included in the system properties, there are based on knowledge on
defects in environs; the defects are illustrated by causal chain. The
capability of active survival manifests by system behaviour, it
considers uncertainty in projection of future defects and failures.
From the methodological viewpoint the critical infrastructure and
each its partial infrastructure is a system of systems [4, 5]. In
engineering disciplines directed to risk at present we use two
disciplines for trade-off with the risk [5]: a set of disciplines the
target of which is the infrastructure security, i.e. security of
infrastructure without regard to infrastructure vicinity (security
management); and a set of disciplines the target of which is the
infrastructure safety, i.e. security and development of both, the
infrastructure and its vicinity. Many professional works deal with
ensuring the first target, which has been pursued in engineering
disciplines since the beginning of 80s [5]. The other discipline target
is more ambitious on understanding, accessible data and methods of
engineering disciplines. It has been pursued since a half of 80s but
from reasons of big demands on: data (there are necessary data on:
system, system vicinity, linkages and flows between system and its
vicinity); comprehension of problems and their connections in a case of
open system of systems; methods of problem structuring, analysis and
solving the problems, it is only enforced in domain of nuclear
technologies and astronautics [5], namely in spite of it solves
interconnection of targets of humans in domains social, environmental
and technological [3].
Regarding to present way of problem solving given above, we use two
concepts for ensuring the safe entity [4, 5]; i.e. security management
and safety management. The first mentioned concept being simpler is more
often used in practice; i.e. the target is the critical infrastructure
security and impacts of critical infrastructure on its vicinity are out
of interest. The other ensures both, the critical infrastructure
security and the security of vicinity of critical infrastructure. With
regards to works [3-5,16] the definitions of terms connected with
security and safety are:
1. Each infrastructure belonging to the critical infrastructure and
it alone is a multistage system in which among individual stages in both
directions they run material, finance, information and decision flows.
2. The disasters for partial infrastructures and critical
infrastructure are the phenomena that caused damages and losses. They
include phenomena belonging to the category "All Hazards
Approach" [17] and specific phenomena connected with humans and
their behaviour that do harm to the critical infrastructure owners,
operators and that influence the fulfilment of tasks for which they were
established (insufficient co-ordination of activities--organising
accidents, failure of outsourcing activities, intent attacks etc.).
3. The infrastructure vulnerability is a predisposition of
infrastructure (its protected assets) to harm / damage origination.
4. The infrastructure resilience is an infrastructure capability to
overcome impacts of a given disaster.
5. The infrastructure risk is a probable size of losses, harms and
detriment caused by a disaster with size of normative hazard (mostly
design disaster) on infrastructure and public assets or subsystems
rescheduled on selected time unit (e.g.1 year), site unit (e.g. 1
[km.sup.2]) and on basic assets of owners and operators of
infrastructure.
6. The infrastructure security is a situation / condition at which
the probability of infrastructure assets' harms, damages and losses
is acceptable (it is almost sure that harms, damages and losses cannot
origin).
7. The infrastructure safety is a set of measures and activities
for ensuring the security and sustainable development of infrastructure,
its assets and public assets.
8. The infrastructure security management is a planning,
organisation, allocation of resources, humans and tasks with aim to
reach demanded security level of a supply chain.
9. The infrastructure safety management is a planning,
organisation, allocation of resources, humans and tasks with aim to
reach demanded safety level of infrastructure and its vicinity.
10. The infrastructure safety engineering is a set of engineering
measures and activities by which the infrastructure safety is ensured in
real conditions of a given site.
With regard to results from analyses of critical infrastructure
safety and historical experiences, performed on the data given in the
professional literature [1,5,16] and in sources quoted in given works,
it is necessary to follow infrastructures for: energy supply, water
supply, sewer handling, transport system, communication and information
systems, bank and finance system, emergency services (police, fire
rescue service, medical rescue service), basic services (food supply,
waste liquidation, social services, funereal services), industry,
agriculture, state and regional administrations, that are usually
supported by the national legislative. To them there is necessary to
join the infrastructures for both, the education and the research, which
is supported by the EU legislation.
The safety and risk are not complementary quantities even though
they together relate by a certain way. In each system both quantities
depend on processes, acts and phenomena being under way in a given
system and in its vicinity. In advanced concept the concentration to
safety has higher targets than concentration to risk because it follows
system security, system development, system existence, system vicinity
existence and co-existence of different systems [4].
The risk sources are all phenomena included in the term: All
Hazards Approach [17], the phenomena specified in work [4] and further
fulfilled during the FOCUS project (from 77 disasters followed now in
2035 the number of disasters increases to 105) [18]. The risks connected
with infrastructures are: partial that include risks connected with
individual protected assets; integrated that include risks connected
with several assets aggregated by a defined way; and integral that
include risks connected with all protected assets, with linkages and
flows among assets that cause couplings among assets, partial systems
and with vicinity. It is clear that to be able to ensure the system
safety, the system integral risk needs to be considered, managed and
traded-off.
3. Method of criticality judgement and method of infrastructure
safety management model building
For criticality judgement and for building the model for of
management of critical infrastructure safety we use the method of risk
engineering. With regard to the present knowledge it is necessary to
give that for infrastructure safety management fundament, it is the risk
analysis, risk assessment and trade-off with risks connected with mutual
interconnections in infrastructure sectors and in whole infrastructure
(i.e. in agreement with [4] it is necessary to consider interdependences
in a system of systems; i.e. at risk identification it is necessary also
to use cross-sectional criterions). The procedure of work with risk is
shown in Figure 1. It starts with definition of concept of work with
risk (system characteristics, determination of assets, specification of
aims), on the basis of which risks are identified, analysed, assessed,
judged, managed, traded-off and monitored. Feedbacks denoted in this
Figure 1 are used if risk level is not on required level [16].
In present practice we distinguish five different concepts for work
with system risks: close system, technical faults as risk sources,
aim--risk reduction; close system, human factor and technical faults as
risk sources, aim--risk reduction; open system, external disasters,
human factor and technical faults as risk sources, aim--secure system;
open system, external disasters, human factor and technical faults as
risk sources, aim--safe system; open system of systems, external
disasters, human factor, technical faults and interdependences among the
systems as risk sources, aim--safe system of systems. The details are
summarized and described in work [5].
For human safety and for human system safety (i.e. territory,
organisation, plant) we need to manage the integral risk including the
human factor, i.e. to find the way of cross-section risks management and
to concentrate the investigation on interdependences and critical spots
with a potential to start the system cascade failures, domino effects,
strange behaviour etc., and on the basis of such site knowledge to
prepare measures and activities ensuring the continuity of limited
infrastructure operation and of the human survival.
From results summarised in work [3] it follows that in each
correctly strategically managed territory it is several disasters that
can evoke the critical conditions in territory and in its facilities and
infrastructures. Individual infrastructures that comprise the critical
infrastructure possess the comparable and quite specific items that are
mutually incommensurable; the critical infrastructure in practice
contain: 1--energy system; 2--water supply system; 3--sewage system;
4--transport system; 5--communication and information systems; 6--bank
and finance system; 7--emergency services; 8--basic services; 9--state
and regional administrations. For its capability to cope with abnormal
and critical conditions it is necessary to create the tool by help of
which it is possible by a simple way to control the critical
infrastructure safety.
At infrastructure safety management and whole critical
infrastructure safety management we need to concentrate to critical
items, and therefore, it is necessary to judge the criticality of
individual items. The assessment of criticality of individual systems
(sectors) of infrastructures and the whole critical infrastructure is
not trivial matter because under different conditions the sectors and
the whole have a different role--active, reactive, critical or damping
(not additive); e.g. the existence of several variants of electricity
supply to one site decreases the energy infrastructure criticality but
it increases expenses etc. The method for judgement of criticality of
individual infrastructures and of whole critical infrastructure is
described in [19]. According to this method, we:
--use factors that are targeted to protection of protected assets
of human system: 1 -rate of capability of protection; 2-rate of
vulnerability; 3-rate of hazard for human lives and health; 4-rate of
impact on environment; 5-rate of expensiveness of exchange or repair;
6-rate of time necessary for exchange or repair; 7-rate of relevance for
ensuring the rescue and emergency functions in territory; 8-rate of
relevance for ensuring the functions of government on levels local,
regional and state; 9-rate of relevance for ensuring the functions of
army and police; 10-rate of redundancy or replaceable service; 11-rate
of relevance for ensuring the communication functions; 12-rate of impact
of supply failure on economy of region (state); 13-rate of relevance of
operability and interoperability; 14-rate of relevance in domain of
symbols and culture,
--determine the scale for criticality rate 0 to 5 (0--factor
contributes to criticality little, ... 5--factor contributes to
criticality fundamentally); e.g. 0--losses and damages are lower than 50
EUR, 1--losses and damages are between 50--500 EUR, 2--losses and
damages are between 500--5000 EUR, etc. OR sum of maximum values for all
14 factors is SS = 14 x 5 = 70; if real value is more than 95%
SS--criticality is extreme high, if real value is between 70--95%
SS--criticality is very high; if real value is between 45--70%
SS--criticality is high; if real value is more between 25--45%
SS--criticality is medium; if real value is more between 5--25%
SS--criticality is low; if real value is lower than 5% SS--criticality
is very low (i.e. negligible),
--select five or six experts so that all important aspects
connected with the human protection and the human system safety are
covered who appreciate the real situation with help of all 14 factors
for each critical disaster in a given territory and for each concept
from five concepts of work with system risks (criterions for expert
selection are in [16]),
--norm the criticality rate values to values between 0 and 1,
--determine the optimum values of criticality rate for each and
each disaster on the basis of assumption that safety rate =
1--criticality rate and application of Maximum Utility Theory [20] on
safety rate,
--perform the same for the whole critical infrastructure. But here
it is problem with lack of knowledge at evaluation of interdependences
among individual infrastructures, and therefore, we often use integrated
criticality rate (sum of criticality rates of individual infrastructures
normed to value between 0 and 1or weighted sum of criticality rates of
individual infrastructures normed to value between 0 and 1).
By the evaluation of real values criticality rates we can determine
critical spots to which we need to concentrate attention at territory
safety upgrade.
The purpose of model for infrastructure safety management is to
show basic steps by which it is possible to ensure infrastructure
security and infrastructure vicinity security. The model building method
goes out from a system concept of infrastructures; it considers them as
system of systems (several overlapping systems) [4], which means that
their complex behaviour, function and development depend on both, the
number and properties of partial systems and the diversities of their
interconnections, i.e. their linkages and flows among them and also
across them. The linkages and flows going across the partial systems are
the originators of internal dependences (interdependences). The
presented model is created by method of analogy to existing safety
management models [3-5].
4. Assessment of capabilities of concepts of risk management and of
engineering trade-off with risks applied to critical infrastructure to
ensure the territory safety.
The results of research [21], based on the application of the
Maximum Utility Theory [20], which dealt with the evaluation of the
criticality rates of concepts of risk management and trade-off with
risks, show that none of the concepts, used today for the management and
trade-off with risks, has not a negligible rate of criticality, taking
into account the assets of the human system (i.e. human lives, health
and security; property and welfare; environment; critical
infrastructures and technologies), i.e. the rate of criticality in the
application:
--the classical concept of risk management and engineering
trade-off with risk (considering the technical faults as risk sources)
is extremely high,
--the classical concept of risk management and engineering
trade-off with risk (considering the human factor and technical faults
as risk sources) is very high,
--the concept of management and engineering trade-off with risk
focused on secure system is high,
--the concept of management and engineering trade-off with risk
focused on safe system is the medium,
--the concept of management and engineering trade-off with risk
focused on the safe system of systems is low.
From safety reasons the above results means that tool for ensuring
safety of important facilities' including the critical
infrastructure is the concept system of systems.
5. Model for infrastructure safety management
With regard to: data and knowledge in [3-5,16,18,19,22-26]; the
concept promoted by the OECD [27]; the method described in works [5,7];
and the assumption that each infrastructure is an open system (i.e. risk
sources are internal and external disasters and human factor [3-5]), it
is created a model for safety management having ten processes, i.e.:
1. Process 1 that ensures the risk management of disasters, the
sources of which are inside and outside of infrastructure plus human
factor; i.e. it follows infrastructure and parameters of vicinity in
which infrastructure operates. It is composed of: assessment of expected
disaster size; determination of occurrence probability of important
disasters; judgement of infrastructure vulnerabilities at important
disasters; determination of impacts of important disasters on
infrastructure. It creates a base for ensuring the safe infrastructure.
2. Process 2 that ensures designing and planning the measures and
activities for ensuring the infrastructure security at considering all
important disasters [3,17]; i.e.: infrastructure layout (structure,
function, sitting, buildings, equipment); performing the measures and
activities for ensuring the infrastructure security; plan of renovation
of infrastructure after disaster; plan of training the personnel
performing the infrastructure; infrastructure activities'
monitoring; and correcting measures and activities for a case of
important deviations in infrastructure operation.
3. Process 3 that ensures designing and planning the measures and
activities for ensuring the infrastructure vicinity security at
considering all important disasters [3,17]; i.e.: infrastructure layout
by a way that it may not threaten vicinity, i.e. all public assets;
performing the measures and activities for ensuring the infrastructure
vicinity security; plan of renovation of infrastructure vicinity after
disaster; plan of training the personnel performing the infrastructure;
infrastructure activities' monitoring; and correcting measures and
activities for a case of important deviations in infrastructure
operation.
4. Process 4 that ensures the harmony among the main activities
connected with infrastructure commodities, i.e.: subject of supply (its
manufacture, transport and distribution); following the deviations in a
process of commodity management; and operating loops. It goes on
ensuring the stabilities of processes, the minimisation of delays, the
quality and the other critical aspects connected with the operation.
5. Process 5 that ensures the safe assets of infrastructure, i.e.
problems connected with: facilities, equipment or services; vehicles;
shipping; products; and data systems. It also goes on averting of
insiders' activities.
6. Process 6 that ensures the safe human sources, i.e. problems
connected with: acceptation of employee; understanding the employee
behaviour features important for infrastructure operation; employee
training; employee self-control; implementation of procedures that
ensure correct employee behaviour; and employee stimulation.
7. Process 7 that ensures good business partners, i.e. problems
connected with: screening the possible partners; authentication of
possible partners; producing the ways of negotiation with partners
regarding to their behaviour; monitoring the partners' behaviours;
and audits of partners.
8. Process 8 that generates the capabilities for overcoming the
impacts of extreme disasters that affect infrastructure, i.e. problems
connected with: business continuity; specific response training;
investigation of causes of extreme impacts; assembling the evidences;
reparation of harms; and court settlement.
9. Process 9 that ensures the dislocation of criminal and illegal
infrastructures and chains, i.e. problems connected with: formation of
base for disruption (ensuring the sources, determination of means,
logistics, transport of means, distribution of means); and with support
of governments and customers.
10. Process 10 that ensures the integral safety of infrastructure,
i.e. the coordination of all pillars, i.e. processes directing to
infrastructure safety (PSM--process safety management).
The infrastructure safety management model is shown in Figure 2.
The base constitutes the concept at which there are determined processes
that are important for all infrastructures and the critical
infrastructure. On this figure it is evident the principal role of
concept on the basis of which the important internal and external
processes and phenomena are determined. It is followed by:
processes' monitoring; judgement of impacts of all disasters (i.e.
internal and external processes and phenomena) on infrastructure; and
determination of optimal measures and activities directed to security of
both, the infrastructure and its vicinity. Demands on determination of
optimal solution for all processes and phenomena are fundamental [3,4]
because there are under way frequent conflicts among the most suitable
measures for some processes [28]. Because the implementation of measures
and activities needs sources, forces and means and time for realisation,
it is necessary in harmony with [3]: to process program for increase of
safety of infrastructure; to determine measures for judgement of safety
level in the sense of effectiveness of measures and activities for
ensuring the infrastructure safety (indicators); and to fill program by
projects that are interconnected and contain processes realising the
individual measures and activities.
The safety management system (SMS) of infrastructure operators
includes the organisation structure, responsibilities, practices, rules,
procedures and sources for determination and invoking the prevention for
disasters that are results of processes inside and outside of
infrastructure or at least mitigation of their unacceptable impacts. As
a rule, it is connected with many aspects, apart from the organisation
of employees, identification and assessment of hazard size, risk size,
organising system, management of changes, emergency and crisis planning,
safety monitoring, audits and scrutiny processes.
With regard to data in works [3,27] the program for increase of
infrastructure chain safety has the following steps:
1. Determination of tasks (partial targets) and strategic goals for
infrastructure with regard to safety directed to security of both, the
infrastructure and the infrastructure vicinity.
2. For each process that is connected with infrastructure to
determine suitable target and running indicators for safety level
judgement.
3. To process dictionary for needs connected with integral safety
management.
4. To harmonize standards, good practice methods and local
procedures.
5. To determine set of target indicators.
6. To determine set of running indicators.
7. To determine way of assessment of target indicators specific for
a given supply chain.
8. To determine way of assessment of running indicators specific
for a given supply chain.
9. To determine way of assessment of all indicators together and
marginal limits for a given infrastructure.
In practice it means that for each sector of selected authority the
target and running indicators are determined and they have form of
limits and checklists [3,27]. To them there are assigned criteria for
assessment and scales by which it is determined if target is reached or
is not reached. For creation of an effective safety management system
the basic principle is that all participants play certain roles and at
safety realization they must fulfil these roles (see stage in Figure 3
"distribution of tasks among participants").
Because the world dynamically changes it is necessary to follow
continuously the safety level, i.e. the size of integral risk that
includes also the cross-sectional risks connected with interdependences
and important partial risks of infrastructure. In case that limits and
conditions are not kept, it is necessary to perform changes as shown
feedbacks in Figure 2.
Because changes require sources, forces and needs, firstly it is
realised feedback 1 and only if it does not ensure expected result the
feedback 2 is realised etc. Only in the case of occurrence of extreme
phenomena with catastrophic impacts, the feedback 4 is immediately
realised.
Safety management system for infrastructure is lean on the concept
of disaster prevention or at least of mitigation of severe disaster
impacts that include the obligation to introduce and keep the safety
management system [3,27] in which the following problems are taking into
account:
--roles and responsibilities of persons participating in important
hazards management on all organising levels and in ensuring the
training,
--plans for systematic identification of important hazards and
risks connected with them that are connected with normal, abnormal and
critical conditions, and for assessment of their occurrence probability
and severity,
--plans and procedures for ensuring the safety of all components
and functions, namely including the object and facilities maintenance,
--plans for implementation of changes in territory, objects and
facilities,
--plans for identification of foreseeable emergency situations by a
systematic analysis including the preparation, tests and judgement of
emergency plans for response to such emergency situations,
--plans for continuous evaluation of harmony with targets given in
safety concept and in the SMS, and mechanisms for examination and
performance of corrective activities in case of failure with aim to
reach determined targets,
--plans for periodic systematic assessment of safety concept,
effectiveness and convenience of the SMS and of criterions for judgement
of safety level by top workers group.
6. Real result for the transport infrastructure in the Czech
Republic
Transportation infrastructure belongs to the basic systems that
make up the critical infrastructure in the European Union, in developed
countries and also in the Czech Republic. According to the detailed
discussion given in [16] the criticality of item means that item has
simultaneously great importance and great vulnerability. Detail
investigation for transport infrastructure is in detail described in
[19]; its results are in Table 1.
Table 1 shows that the greatest criticality has rail transport,
which is followed by air transport, road transport and water transport.
According to the chosen concept, the chosen scale and evaluation
provided by the experts the criticality rates of both, the rail
transport and the air transport are very high, the criticality rate of
road traffic is high and the criticality rate of water transport is
medium, and the criticality rate of whole transport system is high.
From Table 1 it is clear that to the size of criticality rate
mostly contributes the vulnerability to attacks, little capability of
protection (the protection of long linear networks in the territory is
always a big problem), the importance for ensuring the functions of the
army and the police, a big impact of transport failure on the economy of
region (State), and the big importance for ensuring the emergency and
rescue functions in the territory. The above facts show that it is
urgent to pay increased attention to safety issues of transportation
systems. It needs to be processed as a separate concept of
transportation system safety, so the concept of critical infrastructure
safety, as it shows the work [29].
From works [30,31] it follows that at reaching the threshold value
for criticality rate "high", it is necessary from reason of
protection of inhabitants and economic sphere to carry out preventive,
mitigation and reactive measures and activities. Because measures
against one disaster may be disserviceable against another one [28], it
is necessary to seek for optimum for all possible disasters in a given
territory that belong to critical ones as the strategic management
principles stipulate [3].
7. Conclusion
The paper solves the problems of critical infrastructure safety. It
shows that the critical infrastructure safety depends on concept of work
with risks and on concept by which we model the critical infrastructure
(close system, open system, open system of systems). The results given
above shows that for ensuring the critical infrastructure safety it is
necessary to use the concept of work with system risks which is directed
to system of systems safety. This proves ideas of authors as Rinaldi,
Moteff etc. who are cited in text. The paper shows the real plan how to
solve the complex problem as the critical infrastructure safety
management is. On the present knowledge basis, the model for safety
management of infrastructures is compiled. This model is constructed as
the process model in which they are represented the both, the individual
important elements of process of safety management, and the feedbacks by
which it is possible to correct cases in which demands of safety are not
fulfilled. For application in practice the model for critical
infrastructure safety management is supplemented by mechanism for
ensuring the capability to be effective at abnormal and critical
conditions. The authors verify this model in practice step by step and
give the real recommendations to critical infrastructures entrepreneurs
and operators.
DOI: 10.2507/28th.daaam.proceedings.085
8. Acknowledgement
Authors thanks to the Czech Technical University in Prague for
support (grant SGS2015-17).
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Caption: Fig. 1. Process model of work with risks, numbers 1, 2, 3
and 4 denote feedbacks.
Caption: Fig. 2. Model of management of infrastructure safety;
black block--concept for specification of important processes of
infrastructure; dotted line--feedback 1; broken line--feedback 2; dashed
line--feedback 3; full line--feedback 4.
Table 1. Rates of criticality of the transportation infrastructure in
the Czech Republic
Rail Road Air Water Entire
Factor transport transport transport transport transport
1 5 4 5 2 16
2 5 4 5 3 17
3 4 3 4 3 14
4 4 3 3 2 12
5 4 3 5 2 14
6 3 2 4 3 12
7 5 5 4 1 15
8 3 3 2 2 10
9 5 5 5 2 17
10 3 2 3 1 9
11 3 2 3 1 9
12 5 4 4 4 17
13 4 4 4 2 14
14 3 2 3 2 10
All factors 56 46 54 30 186
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