期刊名称：International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy
电子版ISSN：2146-4553
出版年度：2019
卷号：9
期号：2
页码：117-122
DOI：10.32479/ijeep.7479
出版社：EconJournals
摘要：The structure of Ecuador's energy matrix over the past 15 years has varied, but in general, the three dominant sources of energy in the country are: oil, hydroelectricity and biomass. In recent years, hydro energy has had a great boost with the construction of important hydroelectric projects, which has allowed to achieve important generation of energy from renewable sources. A system dynamics model evaluates the scenarios of Ecuador's energy model. The analysis describes the relationship between dynamic factors, such as policies, energy dependence and demand. National governmental political scenarios and global trends mark the way forward in search of reduction of energy consumption, energy efficiency and CO 2 emissions mitigation. The results forecast future scenarios and trends in the supply and demand of energy and CO 2 emissions projected until 2030.
其他摘要：In the globalization era, the process of economic growth must be supported by energy; although, it might be leave harmfully residual accumulation such carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions to environment. The aim of this study was to analyze the effect of energy-based economic growth on CO 2 emissions. Estimation using multiple linear regression (multiple regression model) with ordinary least square method to analyze collected data. The results showed that economic growth, primary energy consumption, and population growth positively affected CO 2 emissions, while renewable energy consumption negatively affected CO 2 emissions. The environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis was not confirmed in Indonesian case, and economic globalization had no effect on CO 2 emissions.
关键词：Environmental Kuznets Curve; economic growth; CO2 emissions; renewable energy; globalization
