摘要：For power planning development, it's indispensable to forecast the electric energy consumption. However, this analysis is much dependent on socio-economic parameters, seldom considered in these studies. Nowadays, there is a consensus that simple tendency extrapolations will normally lead to bad results, specially for unstable economic environment countries. To avoid this kind of problem explained above, it was developed a theoric and computational model for eletric power consumption simulation, that uses demographic and economic parameters for the country as a whole and/or for the geoqraphic regions.
其他摘要：For power planning development, it's indispensable to forecast the electric energy consumption. However, this analysis is much dependent on socio-economic parameters, seldom considered in these studies. Nowadays, there is a consensus that simple tendency extrapolations will normally lead to bad results, specially for unstable economic environment countries. To avoid this kind of problem explained above, it was developed a theoric and computational model for eletric power consumption simulation, that uses demographic and economic parameters for the country as a whole and/or for the geoqraphic regions.
