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  • 标题:The St. Petersburg paradox despite risk-seeking preferences: an experimental study
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:James C. Cox ; Eike B. Kroll ; Marcel Lichters
  • 期刊名称:Business Research
  • 印刷版ISSN:2198-3402
  • 电子版ISSN:2198-2627
  • 出版年度:2019
  • 卷号:12
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:27-44
  • DOI:10.1007/s40685-018-0078-y
  • 出版社:Verband der Hochschullehrer für Betriebswirtschaft e.V.
  • 摘要:

    The St. Petersburg paradox is one of the oldest challenges of expected value theory. Thus far, explanations of the paradox aim at small probabilities being perceived as zero and the boundedness of utility of the outcome. This paper provides experimental results showing that neither diminishing marginal utility of the outcome nor perception of small probabilities can explain the paradox. We find that even in situations where subjects are risk-seeking, and zeroing-out small probabilities supports risk-taking, the St. Petersburg paradox exists. This indicates that the paradox cannot be resolved by the arguments advanced to date.

  • 关键词:Decision-making under risk ; St. Petersburg paradox ; Risk-aversion
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