期刊名称：IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science
印刷版ISSN：1755-1307
电子版ISSN：1755-1315
出版年度：2019
卷号：242
期号：5
页码：1-8
DOI：10.1088/1755-1315/242/5/052053
出版社：IOP Publishing
摘要：Risk, which is intrinsically a hidden uncertainty, often conceals in all links of a project, making it groundless for reasoning and demonstration in risk identification. In a practical project, risks combine and interact with each other in a complicated manner, so that it is difficult to directly quantify the probability of their occurrence under the impact of interaction. For this reason, this paper utilizes the common risk identification methods to obtain a risk list, and then constructs a risk interaction network to identify their interaction and determine its strength. Subsequently, the approach of multi-agent simulation is taken to determine the probability of risk occurrence while taking into account the interaction of risks.
