期刊名称：IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science
印刷版ISSN：1755-1307
电子版ISSN：1755-1315
出版年度：2019
卷号：252
期号：4
页码：1-8
DOI：10.1088/1755-1315/252/4/042114
出版社：IOP Publishing
摘要：Based on research of national vulnerability, Grey prediction and regression analysis are applied to predict the impact of environment change of Brazilian fragility. According to the result, the impact of climate change on Brazilizan agricultural production is relatively larger. We define the breakthrough point as that climate change severely undermines national economic stability and predict that Brazil will reach the breakthrough point in 2060 without state intervention measures.
