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  • 标题:Structured, uncertainty-driven exploration in real-world consumer choice
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Eric Schulz ; Eric Schulz ; Rahul Bhui
  • 期刊名称:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
  • 印刷版ISSN:0027-8424
  • 电子版ISSN:1091-6490
  • 出版年度:2019
  • 卷号:116
  • 期号:28
  • 页码:13903-13908
  • DOI:10.1073/pnas.1821028116
  • 出版社:The National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
  • 摘要:Making good decisions requires people to appropriately explore their available options and generalize what they have learned. While computational models can explain exploratory behavior in constrained laboratory tasks, it is unclear to what extent these models generalize to real-world choice problems. We investigate the factors guiding exploratory behavior in a dataset consisting of 195,333 customers placing 1,613,967 orders from a large online food delivery service. We find important hallmarks of adaptive exploration and generalization, which we analyze using computational models. In particular, customers seem to engage in uncertainty-directed exploration and use feature-based generalization to guide their exploration. Our results provide evidence that people use sophisticated strategies to explore complex, real-world environments.
  • 关键词:exploration ; generalization ; reinforcement learning ; decision making
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