首页    期刊浏览 2025年02月24日 星期一
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Numerical Solutions to the Extinction Problem of Polio Transmission Agents in Nigeria
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Johnson Gbola Olawuwo ; Olabisi O. Ugbebor
  • 期刊名称:Annals. Computer Science Series
  • 印刷版ISSN:1583-7165
  • 电子版ISSN:2065-7471
  • 出版年度:2019
  • 卷号:17
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:154-156
  • 出版社:Mirton Publishing House, Timisoara
  • 摘要:

    In spite of local and international efforts to end the scourge of poliomyelitis in the world, the disease still exists around the world with new cases being detected in otherwise polio-free areas while the known endemic places of Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa are yet to be ridden of the epidemic. Knowing with accuracy whether the disease has finally ended in a population has always being a subject of interest to mathematicians, statisticians and epidemiologists. In this study, we have defined a conditional probability function xic(t) as the probability of zero transmission agents given that there are initially (i) symptomatic (ii) infectives and (iii) asymptomatic carriers. Using the properties of Poisson process, two backward equations were derived which were jointly solved numerically . With these numerical solutions, we were able to formulate a model for the two identified transmission agents of poliomyelitis.

  • 关键词:Modelling; Backward Equation; Picard’s Method; Polio-free Period; Polio Virus.
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有