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  • 标题:What Are the Effects of Changes in Taxation and New Types of Mortgages on the Real Economy? The Case of Denmark During the 2000s
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Jesper Pedersen
  • 期刊名称:International Journal of Central Banking
  • 印刷版ISSN:1815-4654
  • 出版年度:2019
  • 页码:47-99
  • 出版社:IJCB Publications Fulfillment
  • 摘要:What are the effects of introducing interest-only, flexiblerate mortgage contracts and a tax freeze on housing wealth for the real and financial economy? I study this within a DSGE model with housing, banking, and financial frictions, and the coexistence of flexible-rate, fixed-rate, and interest-only mortgage contracts. I find that the introduction and the adoption of flexible-rate and interest-only mortgage contracts together with a freeze of taxation of the housing wealth can explain 8 percent of the increase in the real house price in Denmark during the period 2004–06 and 0.75 percentage point of the output gap. The household debt-to-GDP ratio would have been almost constant instead of increasing by 20 percentage points. The analysis points to a more volatile Danish economy after the implementation of the structural changes to the economy.
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