期刊名称：Discussion Papers / Ibero America Institute for Economic Research (IAI)
出版年度：2019
期号：244
页码：1-28
出版社：Ibero America Institute for Economic Research
摘要：The purpose of this study is to identify a person’s likelihood of emigrating to another country and
to identify a household’s likelihood of receiving remittances. We also compute average treatment
effects as well as the marginal impact of receiving remittances on household welfare, across
welfare quantiles. The novelty of our approach is to control for omitted variable bias by including
the difference between individual and average propensity scores obtained in an auxiliary
regression. The fact that an individual or household is above or below the average propensity score
can thus be considered as a proxy of being different from the average for a variety of characteristics
that might also be unobservable or unquantifiable. Based on Haitian household survey data from
2012, we find that non-poor individuals are more likely to emigrate but the welfare level of a
household per se does not trigger the receipt of remittances. The receipt of remittances favors nonpoor
households in absolute terms but not in relative terms. While remittances can help overcome
extreme poverty (for the poorest 10% but not for the poorest 1%), they do not help people escape
moderate poverty.
关键词：Migration; Remittances; Household Welfare; Average Treatment Effect; Omitted;
Variable Bias
