期刊名称：Theoretical and Empirical Researches in Urban Management
印刷版ISSN：2065-3913
电子版ISSN：2065-3921
出版年度：2017
卷号：12
期号：4
页码：5-19
出版社：Research Centre in Public Administration and Public Services, Academy of Economic Studies
摘要：The urbanisation of floodplains is commonly motivated due to the extensive areas with mild slopes. In non-structured
regions, the lack of effective institutional frameworks for flood risk reduction is related to the unawareness of the
hydrological impacts of urban developments, increasing the local vulnerability to natural hazards. It is inherent that,
before the proposal of any land use and land cover (LULC) changes, the possible hydrological effects should be
predicted, enhancing the possibility of mitigating the risk. However, in ungauged basins, hydrological models cannot
always provide realistic outcomes, since data are scarce or non-representative. In the current study, a thorough
discussion is conducted about the concepts of traditional hydrological models as well as the alternative multicriteria
evaluation techniques, both used for the simulation of existing and expected LULC scenarios. The applicability and
efficacy of environmental tools are also brought up to the discussion, in the context of urban planning. Accordingly,
the related concepts revealed to be pertinent and feasible towards the sustainable development of urban floodplains.
