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  • 标题:On a Class of Alpha-stable Distributions and Its Applications in Estimating Market Risk
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Daniel Traian Pele ; Vasile Nicolae Stanciulescu
  • 期刊名称:Review of Finance and Banking
  • 印刷版ISSN:2067-2713
  • 电子版ISSN:2067-3825
  • 出版年度:2015
  • 卷号:7
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:7-15
  • 出版社:Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies
  • 摘要:This paper uses a straightforward application of alpha-stable distributions for Romanian Stock Market, showing how a relatively simple implementation in the real world of a complex mathematical tool can be much more reliable in risk management than the classical Gaussian or log-normal distributions. In this paper we use a SAS macro for estimating the parameters of an alpha-stable distribution, using the time-series regression method from Kogon and Williams (1998). Using the Fast Fourier Transform, we estimate the probability density function, the cumulative distribution function and consequently, the VaR (99.5%) and TVaR (99%). For numerical illustration we are using daily logreturns of the BET Index; the measures of market risk, estimated on rolling windows using alpha-stable distributions and Gaussian distribution, are then compared to the actual logreturns of the BET Index. Numerical experiments show that using alpha-stable distributions for estimating VaR and TVaR can be a better alternative for managing the risk of financial assets.
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