摘要：The aim of this paper is to develop a methodology to calculate the sea level rise (SLR)
caused by global warming in the Outermost Regions (ORs) of the European Union,
mostly represented by islands. ORs are especially vulnerable to SLR since their
economies are based mostly on coastal activities. There is a lack of studies at local scale
about this phenomenon, mainly caused by the data requirements of the statistical methods
used to predict future SLR. Long-term series of tide gauges located on ORs often do not
meet the needs of these methods. Therefore, in this paper we proposed a methodology
based on the comparison between observed local (from tide gauges of ORs) and global
SLR time series. It allows to estimate SLR from short or incomplete time series for future
scenarios in ORs SLR. In general, the results show that most of the ORs will suffer from
a significant SLR. The differences between the predicted SLR and the expected sea level
rise according to future scenarios are not minor.
关键词：sea level rise; ORs; trends; projections; climate change scenarios; EU
