期刊名称：International Journal of Innovative Research in Science, Engineering and Technology
印刷版ISSN：2347-6710
电子版ISSN：2319-8753
出版年度：2018
卷号：7
期号：9
页码：9396-9405
DOI：10.15680/IJIRSET.2018.0709013
出版社：S&S Publications
摘要：Strategic decisions on capital investment in investment development projects are important and require
depth analysis and consideration. This is related to the characteristics of apartment development projects that are very
vulnerable to risk and uncertainty. Risk analysis becomes necessary in the feasibility study, especially at the moment of
financial feasibility study because uncertainty in income and construction costs always exist. This study took a case
study on an apartment project development in Jakarta. The research aims to developers so they can see the feasibility of
developing this apartment from risks that can occur in the future. In this study the analysis of financial feasibility and
risk analysis used Monte Carlo simulation to consider the probability distribution of variables that had been determined
into a model chosen to see the feasibility of developing this apartment. The results of the research on the analysis of the
financial feasibility study showed that this apartment development project had a fairly good level of feasibility. This
was supported by the results of risk analysis using the simulation method which showed that the development of
apartments had a level of feasibility of 83.9% even though the IRR value was different from the results of the analysis
of financial feasibility studies.
关键词：investment; feasibility study; risk analysis; monte carlo simulation;
