期刊名称：Document de Travail / Centre d'Etudes Prospectives et d'Informations Internationales
出版年度：2017
页码：1-45
出版社：Paris
摘要：This paper investigates the debate between the Mundellian trilemma and the dilemma. It focuses on the active role of the exchange rate regime. Overall, the global financial cycle magnifies the binding effect of financial openness on monetary policy autonomy, thus at the same time sharply reducing the effectiveness of the floating exchange rate regime to isolate the domestic economy against financial pressures. We provide empirical evidence that the trilemma does not morph into a dilemma. Furthermore, the sensitivity to the global financial cycle depends less on the fluctuations of these financial forces than on the presence of global investors and global banks.
关键词：Trilemma ; Dilemma ; Exchange;Rate Regime ; Global Financial Cycle ; Global Players
