摘要：Based on the VAR model and the time series data of the development of Chinese vocational education and the upgrading of industrial structure from 1985 to 2016, this paper empirically analyzes the interaction between the development of vocational education and the upgrading of industrial structure through the co-integration test and Granger Cause test. The research obtains the following three conclusions: First, there is a long-term equilibrium relationship among the rationalization of industrial structure, the upgrading of industrial structure, the scale of vocational education development and the quality of vocational education. Second, from an overall perspective, there is an interactive relationship between the development of vocational education and the upgrading of industrial structure. The industrial structure is rationalized, the industrial structure is advanced. The scale of development of vocational education and the quality of vocational education are promoted to varying degrees. Third, although the scale of development of vocational education and the scale of development of vocational education are Granger causes of each other. The high quality of the industrial structure and the quality of the development of vocational education are the causes of Granger causation. The high-level industrial structure is the cause of Granger causality in the development of vocational education, but the latter is not the Granger causality of the former. The development scale of vocational education and the quality of the development of vocational education are the causes of Granger causation.
关键词：vocational education scale; quality of vocational education; rationalization of industrial structure; advanced industrial structure; VAR model.
