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  • 标题:Evaluating the effect of geopolitical risks on the growth rates of emerging countries
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Barış Soybilgen ; Huseyin Kaya ; Dincer Dedeoglu
  • 期刊名称:Economics Bulletin
  • 电子版ISSN:1545-2921
  • 出版年度:2019
  • 卷号:39
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:1-10
  • 出版社:Economics Bulletin
  • 摘要:In this study, we analyze the relationship between geopolitical risks and growth using annual panel data from 18 emerging countries for the period from 1986 to 2016. For a robustness check, we use panel data with 5-year intervals. The news-based indices of Caldara and Iacoviello (2018) were used as a proxy for geopolitical risks. Our results show that the effect of geopolitical risks on growth rates is negative and significant. A 10 point increase in the geopolitical risk index causes a 0.2–0.4% decline in the GDP growth rate.
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