期刊名称：Development Studies Research: An Open Access Journal
电子版ISSN：2166-5095
出版年度：2020
卷号：7
期号：1
页码：1-18
DOI：10.1080/21665095.2020.1717362
出版社：Taylor and Francis Ltd
摘要：This study examines the effects of economic growth and foreign direct investment (FDI) on child
health outcomes measured by Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) and Child Mortality Rate Under 5
(CMRU5) with several control variables such as corruption, inequality and HIV among others. It
analyzes South Africa’s annual time series data for the period 1985–2016. As variables were
found with mixed order of integration, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model is applied
to determine cointegration and estimate short-run and long-run coefficients.
Results indicate that economic growth and FDI have negative significant effects on both
indicators of child health outcomes in both the short run and the long run. This implies that
both economic growth and FDI contribute towards reducing IMR and CMRU5 in South Africa and
thus help improve child health outcomes. Toda and Yamamoto (TY) causality test confirms
causal association between these variables. Policy implications are discussed.
关键词：ARDL ; IMR ; CMRU5 ; economic growth ; FDI ; South Africa
