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  • 标题:Bayesian Model for Constructing Factors Affecting Ship Accidents and Accident Consequences
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Mengying Wang
  • 期刊名称:Open Journal of Social Sciences
  • 印刷版ISSN:2327-5952
  • 电子版ISSN:2327-5960
  • 出版年度:2019
  • 卷号:7
  • 期号:9
  • 页码:168-175
  • DOI:10.4236/jss.2019.79013
  • 出版社:Scientific Research Publishing
  • 摘要:Global economic growth has stimulated the growth of international trade, leading to more maritime transport activities. However, in a complex and high-risk environment at sea, heavy ship accidents are difficult to eliminate. In order to prevent ship accidents more effectively, this paper attempts using Bayesian network model to construct the dependence relationship among ship’s inherent properties (ship age, ship flag, classification society, ship size and types), Port State Control (PSC) inspection defect items, accident and consequences. In addition, the model can be continuously updated as the external environment changes.
  • 关键词:Ship Safety;Ship Accident;Port State Control Inspections;Deficiencies;Accident Consequences
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