摘要：The attempt of this article is to provide a literature review on recent development and progress in seasonal forecasts for tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the western North Pacific (WNP). Since the predictability of seasonal TC activity mainly comes from the slowly-evolving sea surface temperature (SST) conditions and the large-scale atmospheric circulation teleconnection patterns, our current understanding on the relationships between the interannual TC variability and tropical SST forcing and variations of various climate modes is first reviewed. It serves as the scientific basis and gives us ideas how predictable the seasonal TC activity is.
