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  • 标题:Seasonal effects: Evidence from emerging African stock markets
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:C. Mlambo ; N. Biekpe
  • 期刊名称:South African Journal of Business Management
  • 印刷版ISSN:2078-5585
  • 电子版ISSN:2078-5976
  • 出版年度:2006
  • 卷号:37
  • 期号:3
  • 页码:41-52
  • DOI:10.4102/sajbm.v37i3.606
  • 出版社:African Online Scientific Information Systems
  • 摘要:The paper investigates seasonal effects in seventeen indices on nine African stock markets using regression analysis and the Kruskal-Wallis and Chi-square Median tests. Significant seasonal effects are found on some, but not all indices. The strongest effect observed is the month-of-the-year effect followed by the day-of-the-week effect. The West African Regional stock Exchange (BRVM) exhibited a reversed ‘December decline - January rise’ pattern, while the turn-of-the-month effect observed for Egypt disappeared after the turn-of-the-year effect was removed. Using the Kruskal-Wallis test, no seasonal effects for Namibia were found. For the other markets, at least one seasonal effect was observed, suggesting some exploitable trading opportunities.
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