摘要：Semarang City is one of the largest city in Indonesia.Tidal flooding at the coast and landslide at the hills,are the issues the city currently dealing with as a side effect of land conversion.The study on spatial pattern and its change of landscape/land cover is important for a better understanding in environmental management at this city.Landsat images from 1996,2003 and 2016 and landscape indices were used to analyze landscape/land cover pattern and its change.Binary Logistic Regression and GIS were used to build a mathematical and spatial modelling of landscape/land cover change using driving factors.Land cover change mostly happened to shrubs that turned into mixed crops at 1996-2003;while at 2003-2016,it happened to agriculture that turned into settlements.Landscape indices shows that the highest land utilization and land fragmentation with high mixing and diversity mostly occurred at elevation 25-100 MASL at 1996-2003;and at 2003-2016,it occurred at elevation 100-500 MASL.Spatial modeling of landscape/land cover at Semarang City can explain 61,98% from its actual condition.Elevation has the strongest significance relation to the landscape/land cover change.
