摘要:In this paper, we propose and analyze a stochastic SIVS model with saturated incidence and Lévy jumps. We first prove the existence of a global positive solution of the model. Then, with the help of semimartingale convergence theorem, we obtain a stochastic threshold of the model that completely determines the extinction and persistence of the epidemic. At last, we further study the threshold dynamics of a stochastic SIRS model with saturated or bilinear incidence by a similar method and carry out some numerical simulations to demonstrate our theoretical results. Comparing with the method given by Zhou and Zhang (Physica A 446:204–216, 2016), we find that the method used in this paper is simple and effective.
关键词:Threshold dynamics;Persistence in mean;Extinction;Lévy jumps;