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文章基本信息

  • 标题:RESEARCH OF EARLY STAGES OF MODELING
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:nikolaev andrey Borisovich ; stroganov Victor yurevich ; Berner leonid Isaakovich
  • 期刊名称:International Journal of Advanced Studies
  • 印刷版ISSN:2328-1391
  • 电子版ISSN:2227-930X
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:6
  • 期号:4
  • 页码:46-55
  • DOI:10.12731/2227-930X-2016-4-46-55
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Science and Innovation Center Publishing House
  • 摘要:In represented article the questions of estimate of accuracy of an average integral characteristics of random process in the course of imitation modeling is considered. For the purposes of analytical treatment of initial stage of modeling a conditionally nonstationary Gaussian process is analyzed as stationary Gaussian process with boundary prehistory. A model of approximant autocorrelation function is recommended. Analytical expression for variance and mathematical expectation of average integral estimation are obtained. Statistical estimation efficiency criterion, the probability of belonging to correct parameter interval is introduced. Dependences of closeness in estimation statistics clearing interval at transient behavior are researched for various types of processes.
  • 关键词:simulation experiment;Gaussian process;autocorrelation function;queuing networks;the trend is a random process
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