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  • 标题:BAYESIAN DECISION-MAKING CRITERION IN THE SELECTION OF RELIABLE SUPPLIERS
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Snežana Mijailović ; Slavoljub Šljivić
  • 期刊名称:Trendovi u Poslovanju
  • 印刷版ISSN:2334-816X
  • 电子版ISSN:2334-8356
  • 出版年度:2013
  • 卷号:1
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:93-102
  • DOI:10.5937/TrendPos1302093M
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Visoka poslovna škola strukovnih studija Prof. dr Radomir Bojković, Kruševac
  • 摘要:Competitive terms and conditions on the market force organizations to find a way to reduce price of nonconformance increase productivity and improve service to customers. Orientation to customer needs requires continuous improvement of quality of products and services,lower costs,shorter delivery time and the optimal inventory of materials in stock. Company’s decision whether certain components should be bought or produced represents a significant dilemma in terms of uncertainty of the market itself. The paper explains the technique to choose a reliable supplier of castings for the production of heating plate - an alternative to using a priori probability,which are reviewed by the sampling process. The paper presents us with the technique of data collection - binomial sampling,with all the appropriate elements of decision-making analysis. The model based on a combination of a priori distribution of the sampling process,using Bayes's theorem for compliance and audit subjective beliefs and information from the a priori probability of the empirical data. The resulting revised or posterior probabilities are then used to find the expected costs of non-compliance for each alternative and the choice of optimal strategy dedicated..
  • 其他摘要:Konkurentski uslovi na tržištu uslovljavaju organizacije da nađu način da smanje troškove neusaglašenosti,povećaju produktivnost i poboljšaju uslugu kupaca. Orjentacija na kupce i njegove potrebe zahteva kontinuirano poboljšavanje kvaliteta proizvoda i us
  • 关键词:price of nonconformance;Bayes methods;a priori probability;conditional probability;a posteriori probability;selection of reliable suppliers
  • 其他关键词:Troškovi neusaglašenosti;Bajesova metoda;apriori verovatnoće;uslovne verovatnoće;aposteriorna verovatnoća;izbor pouzdanih isporučioca
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