摘要：In his paper, Cheng Hsiao developed a statistical technique to developing Granger's testing of causality. A sequential method based Akaike's Final Prediction-Error criterion and Granger's concept of causality to multiple autoregressions is suggested. The method not only allows each variabel to enter the equation with a different time lag but also provides a reasonably powerful test of exogenety or causality. In latest development, the Hsiao method developed named Final Prediction-Error Criteria of Hsiao.
