出版社:National Research University Higher School of Economics (HSE)
摘要:The paper investigates the geographical features of demographic aging using the age of retirement as the main definition for old age boundary. The study is based on the demographic statistics of Rosstat and the UN Population Division. The possible interdependence between population aging and the implementation of social policies in the field of pension regulation have been studied. The hypothesis about the relationship between low levels and high pace of population aging for countries of the world and regions of the Russian Federation was tested. A cartographic and statistical analysis of spatial data at the level of regions and municipalities made it possible to identify and describe the main geographical factors of population ageing differentiation. ‘National’ subjects of the Russian Federation, as well as the Northern regions of new development (autonomous okrugs), where the minimum proportion of the elderly of retirement age is observed, are growing older most rapidly.At the same time, the echo of social сrises that took place during the 20th century still plays a significant part in the pace of ageing. However, over the course of this century its influence will increasingly weaken. At the local level ethnic and rural-urban differentiation is becoming a less significant population ageing factor in comparison to migration: the working-age population continues to concentrate in the largest urbanised areas. The main territories of the “young” population concentration are the administrative centres of Russia’s regions and areas with a high proportion of non-Russian ethnic groups with a high total fertility rate (TFR), as well as some other ‘azonic’ municipalities.
其他摘要:Статья посвящена поиску географических особенностей демографического старения с точки зрения экономической границы старости – возраста выхода на пенсию. Исследование основано на демографической статистике Росстата и Отдела народонаселения ООН. На основе д
关键词:population ageing; retirement age; spatial differentiation; pension reform; dependency ratio