期刊名称：Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi
印刷版ISSN：1301-3688
电子版ISSN：2630-6409
出版年度：1984
期号：6
页码：107-111
语种：Turkish
出版社：Erciyes University
摘要：The modal value of the beta distribution is a functıon of the upper and Iower limits of the range.That is,for a given range,the modal value ol the distribution is determinable.However,in probabilis-tic pert models,along vvith the upper and lovver limits,a modal value is also estimated.The difference betvveen the estimated and the calculatcd modal val-ues causes an error in expected value vvhich is ob-tained using the lovver limit,upper limit and the modal value.In this paper,necessary tools are developed and the magnitudes of errors caused by the estimated modal values are evaluated.Consequently,it is point-ed out that the deviation in expected value may be as much as % 30 of the range.
关键词：olasılıklı pert analizinde kullanılan beta dağılımı;işletme
