出版社:Faculty of Business and Entrepreneurship, Belgrade
摘要:The objective of this paper was to research the impact of microfinance bank loans on employment generation in Serbia in 2014 with a seasonal dynamics,around which was situated the scope of the paper too as a case study.The hypotesis formulated as possible impact of microfinance bank loans in employment generation was positive.Jobs created were devided in gropus of: sustained jobs,indirect,induced,second-order “growth” effects,and net job creation,with multipliers,such as the total number of jobs in an economy generated per one direct job,frequently used to assess and benchmark the job-creation effects of private sector activities.Mathematical and descriptive statistical methods are used,as well as a typical fitting measure,Coefficient of determination,for measure of fitting the trend-line with the empirical data,88.28% of contribution towards in the prediction of created jobs dynamics,and 93.09% of contribution towards in the prediction of sustained jobs dynamics.
关键词:Job creation;Microfinance bank credit;Business -cycle theory