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  • 标题:Brief communication: Solar radiation management not as effective as CO2 mitigation for Arctic sea ice loss in hitting the 1.5 and 2 °C COP climate targets
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Jeff K. Ridley ; Edward W. Blockley
  • 期刊名称:The Cryosphere
  • 印刷版ISSN:1994-0416
  • 电子版ISSN:1994-0424
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:12
  • 期号:10
  • 页码:3355-3360
  • DOI:10.5194/tc-12-3355-2018
  • 出版社:Copernicus Publications
  • 摘要:An assessment of the risks of a seasonally ice-free Arctic at 1.5 and 2.0 ∘C global warming above pre-industrial levels is undertaken using model simulations with solar radiation management to achieve the desired temperatures. An ensemble of the CMIP5 model HadGEM2-ES uses solar radiation management (SRM) to achieve the desired global mean temperatures. It is found that the risk for a seasonally ice-free Arctic is reduced for a target temperature for global warming of 1.5 ∘C (0.1 %) compared to 2.0 ∘C (42 %), in general agreement with other methodologies. The SRM produced more ice loss, for a specified global temperature, than for CO2 mitigation scenarios, as SRM produces a higher polar amplification.
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