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  • 标题:Trade Volatility in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations Plus Three: Impacts and Determinants
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Thi Nguyet Anh Nguyen ; Thi Hong Hanh Pham ; Thomas Vallée
  • 期刊名称:Asian Development Review
  • 印刷版ISSN:0116-1105
  • 电子版ISSN:1996-7241
  • 出版年度:2020
  • 卷号:37
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:167-200
  • DOI:10.1162/adev_a_00153
  • 出版社:MIT Press
  • 摘要:This paper investigates trade volatility in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations Plus Three (ASEAN 3) and its links with output volatility, export diversification, and free trade agreements. To achieve this research objective, we apply several econometric estimators to data from all ASEAN 3 member states over the period 1990–2016. We first find evidence of a positive relationship between output volatility and trade volatility. Second, we reveal that the way export diversification is measured can influence its impacts on bilateral export volatility. Moreover, the relationship between income volatility, trade volatility, and export diversification seems to depend on country size and the level of economic development.
  • 关键词:ASEAN 3; export diversification; FTA; output volatility; trade volatility
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