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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Monitoring Vulnerabilities in the Residential Real Estate Sector in Poland
  • 其他标题:Monitorowanie ryzyka na rynku nieruchomości mieszkalnych w Polsce
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Magdalena Grothe
  • 期刊名称:Gospodarka Narodowa
  • 印刷版ISSN:2300-5238
  • 出版年度:2020
  • 卷号:302
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:5-24
  • DOI:10.33119/GN/120628
  • 出版社:Warsaw School of Economics
  • 摘要:This paper applies a framework for monitoring vulnerabilities in the residential real estate sector to the case of Poland.The framework considers indicators across three dimensions of real estate-related vulnerabilities, i.e.valuation, household indebtedness and the bank credit cycle, and builds a composite model-free measure shown to have a significant forecasting performance for real estate crises.The paper shows how the monitoring can be implemented for the Polish market, discusses the developments from a historical perspective, and highlights remaining data gaps.
  • 关键词:real estate vulnerabilities; real estate market in Poland; risk monitoring; real estate crises
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