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  • 标题:Forecasting Economic, Social and Environmental Growth in the Sanitary and Service Sector Based on Thailand's Sustainable Development Policy
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Pruethsan Sutthichaimethee
  • 期刊名称:Inżynieria Ekologiczna
  • 印刷版ISSN:2081-139X
  • 电子版ISSN:2392-0629
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:19
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:205-210
  • DOI:10.12911/22998993/79407
  • 出版社:Polish Society of Ecological Engineering (PTIE)
  • 摘要:The purpose of this study is to forecast the long run implementation of Thailand’s sustainable development policy in three main aspects, including economic, social and environmental aspect for the the sanitary and service sectors from 2016 until 2045.According to the national data for the years 2000–2015, based on the ARIMAX model, it has been found that Thai economy system is potentially changed and growing rapidly by 25.76%, the population has grown by 7.15%, and the Greenhouse gas emissions will gradually increase by 49.65%, in the year 2045.However, based on the analysis above, if Thailand fails to run the afore-mentioned policy properly, it will be difficulto successfully implement sustainable development, because the increased emission is moving in the same direction with economy and social aspect of Thailand.
  • 关键词:sustainable development ; greenhouse gas ; population growth ; GDP growth ; Income per Capita
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