首页    期刊浏览 2025年02月18日 星期二
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Comments on: “Notes on the appropriateness of ‘bred modes’ for generating initial perturbations”
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Zoltan Toth ; Istvan Szunyogh ; Eugenia Kalnay
  • 期刊名称:Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
  • 电子版ISSN:1600-0870
  • 出版年度:1999
  • 卷号:51
  • 期号:3
  • 页码:442-449
  • DOI:10.3402/tellusa.v51i3.13594
  • 摘要:We are gratified by Errico and Langland’s (EL, 1999) interest in the use of bred vectors (BVs) inensemble forecasting. Since they offer detailed comments on only 2 of our papers related to breeding,we would like to bring attention to a number of other related papers that are not referenced by EL.In addition to Toth and Kalnay 1997 (TK97), which discussed in detail properties of breeding andits operational implementation at NCEP, these papers cover mathematically-oriented studies(Smith, 1997; Smith andGilmour, 1998), experiments with low- or intermediate-dimensionalmodels(Houtekamer and Derome, 1994; Swanson et al., 1998; Noone and Simmonds, 1998), and the useand verification of ensemble forecasts with operational numerical weather prediction models(Rennick, 1995; Barker, 1998; Atger, 1999; Zhu et al., 1996; Toth et al., 1996, 1997, 1998). Withrespect to EL’s comments, we agree with many of their points in which they restate important andbasic information available from different sources. We read with interest about EL’s ideas andexperiments regarding the geostrophic balance (or lack of it) of the total energy based (TE) singularvectors (SVs).We are grateful to the authors for helping us find 2 minor inconsistencies in the paperby Szunyogh et al. (SKT, 1997). First, the cross section latitude in Fig. 1b of SKT (45 S) wasaccidentally omitted from the legend. And second, on page 206, SKT used the wrong phrase ‘‘sign’’for distinguishing among the different phases of the leading LLV. At most other places, however,we believe that EL’s criticisms are unjustified for 3 reasons. First, at several places EL erroneouslyattribute statements to us that we have not made in any of our papers. Second, EL make statements,or form conclusions that, based on independent research, are incorrect or very questionable. Finally,at other places, EL make statements that are confusing. We believe that most of the misdirected,incorrect or confusing statements could have been avoided either by reading some of the publishedreferences, especially the TK97 paper mentioned above, or by informal discussions. For the sake ofbrevity, we address only the most relevant issues below, grouped by topic areas.
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有