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  • 标题:ASIAN CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCES AND SPILLOVERS FROM A FOREIGN COUNTRY, A REGION AND THE UNITED STATES
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Seema Wati Narayan
  • 期刊名称:Bulletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan
  • 印刷版ISSN:1410-8046
  • 电子版ISSN:2460-9196
  • 出版年度:2020
  • 卷号:23
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:1-24
  • DOI:10.21098/bemp.v23i1.1207
  • 出版社:Bank Indonesia
  • 摘要:This paper provides an overall picture on the influence of domestic and foreign shockson the current account of selected Asian countries over the period 1978 to 2012. Thepresent value model of the current account theory states that forward looking andconsumption smoothing behaviour of economic agents can promote sustainablecurrent account balances, as long as these are maintained by transitory unanticipatedshocks to the current account. The unexpected transitory domestic and foreign shocksare sourced, respectively, from the domestic and foreign current account. Foreignshocks are developed from an Asian country, a region, and the US. Our empiricalanalysis of the impact of foreign and domestic current account shocks shows thatunexpected domestic shocks, rather than unexpected foreign shocks, matter for thecurrent accounts of Asian countries.
  • 关键词:Current account imbalance; Domestic shock; Unexpected shocks; Spillovers
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