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  • 标题:Is There a Beveridge Curve in the Short and the Long Run?
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Robert Pater
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Applied Economics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1514-0326
  • 电子版ISSN:1667-6726
  • 出版年度:2017
  • 卷号:20
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:283-303
  • DOI:10.1016/S1514-0326(17)30013-2
  • 摘要:The theoretical Beveridge curve has a negative slope and is convex to the origin, a relationship most often associated to the short run. However, search and matching theory indicates that certain shocks may affect unemployment and vacancies in the same way. I trace the effects of both types of shocks affecting the vacancy rate and the unemployment rate using U.S. data. I impose common factor restrictions in an unobserved component model and sign restrictions in a vector autoregressive model. I derive negatively and positively-correlated components of vacancies and unemployment. The negatively-sloped Beveridge curve is the result of an aggregate labour demand shock. This shock also causes some more long-lasting effects for vacancies and unemployment, the 'loops' around the Beveridge curve. The shock that creates a positive co-movement between vacancies and unemployment is due to matching efficiency and job destruction. This positive co-movement occurs after recessions and in the long run.
  • 关键词:J64 ; Beveridge curve ; unemployment types ; unobserved components ; common trends
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