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  • 标题:Analysis and prediction of apple production in the Republic of Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina
  • 其他标题:Analiza i predviđanje proizvodnje jabuke u Republici Srbiji i Bosni i Hercegovini
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Užar Dubravka ; Tekić Dragana ; Mutavdžić Beba
  • 期刊名称:Ekonomija: teorija i praksa
  • 印刷版ISSN:2217-5458
  • 电子版ISSN:2620-0228
  • 出版年度:2019
  • 卷号:12
  • 期号:4
  • 页码:1-10
  • DOI:10.5937/etp1904001U
  • 出版社:University Business Academy - Faculty of Economics and Engineering Management, Novi Sad, Serbia
  • 摘要:The paper analyzes the parameters of apple production in the Republic of Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina in the period 2006-17. The prediction of apple production parameters for next year was carried out using the linear trend model and moving average. The following parameters were analyzed: harvested area (ha); yield (t/ha) and total production (t). On average; there were 24;760 hectares with apple trees in Serbia and 19.040 hectares in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The average apple yield was 12.7 t/ha in Serbia and 3.43 t/ha in Bosnia and Herzegovina. In the observed period; there was an average tendency of increase in yield by 3.78% per year in Serbia; whereas in Bosnia and Herzegovina; there was a noticeable negative rate; namely a tendency of yield decline by 1.17% on average per year. The average annual apple production in Serbia was 313;177 tons and in the analyzed period there was a tendency of increase in yield by 4;22%. In Bosnia and Herzegovina; the average annual apple production was 65;186 tons and in the analyzed period there was a negative rate of 0.96% i.e. a decline in yield. In the next year; the Republic of Serbia should achieve apple production of 431;305 tons; while Bosnia and Herzegovina is expected to produce 60;657 tons.
  • 关键词:proizvodnja jabuke; predviđanje; Republika Srbija; Bosna i Hercegovina
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