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  • 标题:Nowcasting of Economic Development Indicators Using the NBU’s Business Survey Results
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Roman Lysenko ; Nataliia Kolesnichenko
  • 期刊名称:Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine
  • 电子版ISSN:2414-987X
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 期号:235
  • 页码:43-56
  • DOI:10.26531/vnbu2016.235.043
  • 出版社:National Bank of Ukraine
  • 摘要:The article was devoted to the research of possibilities to use Business Outlook Survey results, which are carried out by National Bank of Ukraine, for the short-term forecasting of economic development, in particular, the Gross Domestic Product of Ukraine. The different methods of building of the leading index of economic development, their advantages, and their restrictions are examined. The choice of the best index, which provides for the higher accuracy of forecasting the GDP, is carried out with the use of econometric models.
  • 关键词:business expectations; business outlook survey; GDP; nowcasting
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