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  • 标题:SMALL AREA PREDICTION UNDER ALTERNATIVE MODEL SPECIFICATIONS
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Andreea L. Erciulescu ; Wayne A. Fuller
  • 期刊名称:Statistics in Transition
  • 印刷版ISSN:1234-7655
  • 电子版ISSN:2450-0291
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:17
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:9-24
  • DOI:10.21307/stattrans-2016-003
  • 出版社:Exeley Inc.
  • 摘要:Construction of small area predictors and estimation of the prediction mean squared error, given different types of auxiliary information are illustrated for a unit level model. Of interest are situations where the mean and variance of an auxiliary variable are subject to estimation error. Fixed and random specifications for the auxiliary variables are considered. The efficiency gains associated with the random specification for the auxiliary variable measured with error are demonstrated. A parametric bootstrap procedure is proposed for the mean squared error of the predictor based on a logit model. The proposed bootstrap procedure has smaller bootstrap error than a classical double bootstrap procedure with the same number of samples.
  • 关键词:unit level model;parametric bootstrap;double bootstrap;measurement error;auxiliary information
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